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Everything posted by brooklynwx99
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yup, I will reassess in 2030 or so. the sample size is just too small and we could get blasted a few times to close the decade for all anyone knows. people also thought the massive WC ridges from 2013-15 were going to be the new norm. how laughable that seems now
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i mean, it is, but 48 hours is a bit much. the models capitulated and it totally blew, but it was at 120-144 hours out. that happens. we're in agreement that it would be a different story if we were inside of three days god, i can't wait for an effective El Nino. hopefully next year
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that's kinda silly. that attitude is borne out of frustration rather than anything scientific
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yup, some people never understand that good patterns just increase the odds for snow, not guarantee it. we literally just saw that play out this week!
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anything of substance to add? no? no wonder why mets barely post here anymore. doesn't seem to be an issue in other subforums
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I'm banking on shorter wavelengths and a weak WAR to help us out here
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yeah, my guess is it has something to do with climate change. maybe higher velocities are messing with modeling or something like that. combine that with higher res, as you said, and it's a recipe for large swings though Feb 2021 was modeled very well and i can't imagine CC has accelerated that much in the last 4 years to mess with modeling that much. I don't want to overattribute either
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that isn't all that surprising at this range