brooklynwx99

SPC is forecasting a thundersnow risk! ...Discussion... Strong short-wave trough is digging southeast toward the OH Valley late this evening. This feature will phase with the southern stream and induce a surface low off the NC coast early in the period. Intense deepening is expected with this offshore cyclone which will lift north-northeast during the overnight hours. Isolated thunderstorms may develop along the trailing cold front as it surges south across the FL Peninsula during the day, but poor lapse rates and weak buoyancy suggest the risk for robust convection is not particularly high. Intense low-level warm advection will aid the potential for lightning discharge in midlevel convection along the middle Atlantic coast and southern New England. Forecast soundings suggest the majority of this activity will be within heavier snow bands along the northwest-north side of the cyclone. Across the Pacific northwest, significant midlevel cooling and steepening lapse rates are expected along the WA coast by early afternoon. Weak SBCAPE is expected to develop across this region and some risk for lightning is possible with convection that develops within this warm-advection regime.

NYC 18.6 LGA 19.2 ISP 21.1 JFK 20.3 EWR 18.1

it has never been more happening in the history of happenings

lol

thing of beauty already

lol 3km is just a more pedestrian 12-24" historic blizzard

NAM is a fucking climate emergency

this will be better than 18z. what the fuck

lord

this is just giving me BDB vibes. bombing low in the 960s in the perfect spot, insane dynamics. city is 14-20" at this point IMO

lol

i have no words

just soak it in

NAM is going to blow the top off

blizzard warnings!!! incredible

in terms of the general trough amplitude and tilt, it definitely caved to the other guidance

NYC has the easiest 12-18" forecast ever

lol

what a cave

i hope that you guys are aware that you are watching a borderline BDB level resurgence

sorry man, that's awful

HOLY SHIT

ICON is going to crank

this is right out of the KU playbook, it's coming

glue factory awaits.