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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    euro is notably more amped with the whole trough. holy shit
  2. brooklynwx99
    AIFS is pretty similar, no significant changes
  3. brooklynwx99
    it's notably more amped though
  4. brooklynwx99
    I would have to think that the GFS is cracked out, but it was able to actually revert back to a 00z-like solution. combine that with the trends on the AIFS and the GEFS becoming way more amped and I'm a bit intrigued. I would like to see any other guidance entertain it... AIFS/ICON are close and UKMET made a big amped move. certainly possible, but temper enthusiasm for now
  5. brooklynwx99
    I would have to think that the GFS is cracked out, but it was able to actually revert back to a 00z-like solution. combine that with the trends on the AIFS and the GEFS becoming way more amped and I'm a bit intrigued. I would like to see any other guidance entertain it... AIFS/ICON are close and UKMET made a big amped move. certainly possible, but temper enthusiasm for now
  6. brooklynwx99
    i agree with you there. it's possible, but needs more support
  7. brooklynwx99
    agreed, but this is notable
  8. brooklynwx99
    OP is obv on the more amped side of its own ensemble (though they're more or less different models at this point after the GFS got upgraded) the GEFS itself is more amped compared to its 06z run
  9. brooklynwx99
    i said the same thing last night and I am lowkey shocked that the GFS amped up like that again
  10. brooklynwx99
    this is really low predictability... you have the NS vort digging and then buckling, you have another wave out west trying to dampen upstream heights, and then you have the issue of how the TPV impacts the trough. what a mess
  11. brooklynwx99
    yeah, it's been trending, as has the AIFS, which makes me feel a bit better CMC is snow showers, which is kinda hilarious. kind of in its own universe with the TPV
  12. brooklynwx99
    there's just no way pt 2
  13. brooklynwx99
    GFS is about to do something real dumb
  14. brooklynwx99
    meanwhile, the CMC has a beach ball of boredom over NE
  15. brooklynwx99
    there’s just no way that’s right lmao i would like to see some more support
  16. brooklynwx99
    what the fuck is this
  17. brooklynwx99
    agreed, 16th isn't impossible, but would take some doing in its current presentation
  18. brooklynwx99
    yeah, nice to see that forcing move east into the CPAC and WHEM coinciding with the WWB taking place. should keep canonical Nina impacts at bay
  19. brooklynwx99
    this is literally full of condescension and yet, you are going to say that i was being insulting after you said that my degree was undeserved and unearned. I am going to stop responding to you, as I do not want to clutter this thread, but you should look at what you're doing here. it's really not cool
  20. brooklynwx99
    it was mentioned because my qualifications were questioned, as if the degree or title I earned was not deserved. it absolutely was
  21. brooklynwx99
    true. at least the antecedent airmass is better... hopefully we can get some height suppression beforehand, should be a beefy vort
  22. brooklynwx99
    GFS is explosive but I think it'll be tough to pull off... I think the 18th holds better potential with the 16th trying to act as some confluence
  23. brooklynwx99
    you can't even really forecast events that far in the future... you just kinda have to look at trends and the general longwave pattern and see how that goes. i don't think any respectable met would make a deterministic forecast more than 72 hours out
  24. brooklynwx99
    you're right. just kinda hard to take sometimes when someone's insulting your intelligence in that way. i worked my ass off for this lmao
  25. brooklynwx99
    i literally won most forecasting competitions in my classes at school and had a negative Z-score in WxChallenge. just stop it
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