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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. this is looking legit at this range. really impressive synoptic support for a potentially major system... just need to see it hold for a couple more days before we get truly excited
  2. pretty impressive model agreement and synoptic support for a potentially major storm at this range
  3. this speaks for itself... AIFS-ENS is very similar to Feb 21. not advertising impacts like that, obviously, but it's becoming clear that this setup holds high end potential. we'll see how things trend in the coming days, but man that is uncanny
  4. really nice configuration on the AIFS-EPS synoptically... Pacific trough is spiking a ridge over MT, decaying block over SE Canada with confluence, and vort amping underneath the block. one of the better setups we've had recently
  5. really nice configuration on the AIFS-EPS synoptically... Pacific trough is spiking a ridge over MT, decaying block over SE Canada with confluence, and vort amping underneath the block. one of the better setups we've had recently
  6. really nice configuration on the AIFS-EPS synoptically... Pacific trough is spiking a ridge over MT, decaying block over SE Canada with confluence, and vort amping underneath the block. one of the better setups we've had recently
  7. the ridge spikes right over ID/MT as the trough amps, which is what matters
  8. can already tell the euro is going to increase wave spacing early on at 12z. should be better and then you're literally only left with the CMC OP. we shall see but yeah, agreed. the AIFS is deadly with synoptics
  9. that trend in the ridge out west is encouraging
  10. me too. just weird seeing the most skilled piece of guidance we have end up that aggressive. something will give by tomorrow
  11. this would be quite the flop from the AIFS-ENS
  12. if only it wasn't the highest skill model we have at this range
  13. why even look at the euro do this shit when you have the AIFS
  14. its ensemble has consistently been farther north FWIW
  15. this can work. vort is a lot more defined than 00z
  16. still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here
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