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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    i agree with you there. it's possible, but needs more support
  2. brooklynwx99
    agreed, but this is notable
  3. brooklynwx99
    OP is obv on the more amped side of its own ensemble (though they're more or less different models at this point after the GFS got upgraded) the GEFS itself is more amped compared to its 06z run
  4. brooklynwx99
    i said the same thing last night and I am lowkey shocked that the GFS amped up like that again
  5. brooklynwx99
    this is really low predictability... you have the NS vort digging and then buckling, you have another wave out west trying to dampen upstream heights, and then you have the issue of how the TPV impacts the trough. what a mess
  6. brooklynwx99
    yeah, it's been trending, as has the AIFS, which makes me feel a bit better CMC is snow showers, which is kinda hilarious. kind of in its own universe with the TPV
  7. brooklynwx99
    there's just no way pt 2
  8. brooklynwx99
    GFS is about to do something real dumb
  9. brooklynwx99
    meanwhile, the CMC has a beach ball of boredom over NE
  10. brooklynwx99
    there’s just no way that’s right lmao i would like to see some more support
  11. brooklynwx99
    what the fuck is this
  12. brooklynwx99
    agreed, 16th isn't impossible, but would take some doing in its current presentation
  13. brooklynwx99
    yeah, nice to see that forcing move east into the CPAC and WHEM coinciding with the WWB taking place. should keep canonical Nina impacts at bay
  14. brooklynwx99
    this is literally full of condescension and yet, you are going to say that i was being insulting after you said that my degree was undeserved and unearned. I am going to stop responding to you, as I do not want to clutter this thread, but you should look at what you're doing here. it's really not cool
  15. brooklynwx99
    it was mentioned because my qualifications were questioned, as if the degree or title I earned was not deserved. it absolutely was
  16. brooklynwx99
    true. at least the antecedent airmass is better... hopefully we can get some height suppression beforehand, should be a beefy vort
  17. brooklynwx99
    GFS is explosive but I think it'll be tough to pull off... I think the 18th holds better potential with the 16th trying to act as some confluence
  18. brooklynwx99
    you can't even really forecast events that far in the future... you just kinda have to look at trends and the general longwave pattern and see how that goes. i don't think any respectable met would make a deterministic forecast more than 72 hours out
  19. brooklynwx99
    you're right. just kinda hard to take sometimes when someone's insulting your intelligence in that way. i worked my ass off for this lmao
  20. brooklynwx99
    i literally won most forecasting competitions in my classes at school and had a negative Z-score in WxChallenge. just stop it
  21. brooklynwx99
    lol the people at my job that I actually forecast for would beg to disagree. you're just an ass
  22. brooklynwx99
    what else is there to do? not analyze models? that's what we're here for
  23. brooklynwx99
    this is why we look at ensembles and not OP runs
  24. brooklynwx99
    well hey, it's trending that way right now
  25. brooklynwx99
    yeah i think that's the one to watch. very tough to get two waves in two days and the 18th has a more favorable config to work with
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