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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. it's odd, one would think that the EPS would be "worse" than the GFS since there is less stretching, but that is not the case at all. such a weird setup
  2. yeah, there has been a 18z euro tax. not sure why. but fun to see
  3. they literally made the euro run at off hours so that it could be less accurate and more annoying to use. what a concept
  4. euro was quite a bit better with the confluence and overall alignment of the low
  5. this speaks for itself. insane to see this 6 days out
  6. this speaks for itself. insane to see this 6 days out
  7. this signal has really grown since yesterday
  8. yeah, we have seen this signal grow since yesterday
  9. i see zero reason to deviate from 6-10" for the city and about 8-12" here closer to 287... using mostly a RGEM/ECMWF blend with some consideration for the NAM very strong 700mb FGEN will allow for rates up to 2"/hr for a time midday into the early-mid afternoon. should be a fun day tomorrow
  10. if the Pacific jet does not overwhelm things and push the trough axis too far east, then no, not really
  11. no joke, this pattern is how you get a storm like that. two distinct vorts and a massive block rotting in central Canada encouraging a phase. the flow slows to a crawl
  12. lol how is this like every other SWFE in the last 5 years? temps are in the teens and you can get 2" per hour rates
  13. the fact that the CMC is a clear amped outlier and still delivers sig to borderline major snow is a testament to how favorable this setup is
  14. CMC looks like a clear amped outlier so far at 00z... even then, it's still 6-8" for the metro with some mix at the end, which shows how good this setup is
  15. i doubt that happens with this kind of mid-level forcing moving in
  16. the 10th percentile on the EPS is a significant event. take a breath
  17. exactly, the WAA is insane and i find it hard to believe you guys do without sig snowfall. it's just so cold going in and the 700mb FGEN will be off the charts
  18. it's still uncomfy for you guys, but i still think most of the damage is done before any mixing... nobody should be complaining about 8" of snow in like 4 hours followed by some mix. if the mix does end up occurring at all
  19. everything still looks good here for a significant snowfall, some sleet potential at the end when precip is dying down notwithstanding
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