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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. groan if you want, but it's really not that different. i'm still thinking this is a near miss but this is a super nonlinear setup
  2. the funny thing is that when you look under the hood, the ECMWF and GFS are really not that different. this is such a high sensitivity setup
  3. GFS digs its heels in and CMC looks worse. incredible stuff
  4. not even being a weenie, but it seems like the AI is lagging the OPs a bit, it’s been the case with the GFS AI as well
  5. GFS probably did the best, RGEM at least picked up on the fail yesterday 12z. euro was bad the whole way
  6. also, just saying, the euro did an absolutely awful job with tonight’s nonevent this was within 90 hours and was a simpler setup, it was too amped with the wave
  7. it sucks, if it was any other model than the euro, i would have no problem tossing it
  8. it’s just nearly always progressive with EC storms
  9. if this is indeed real, the GEFS will be SE until the very end
  10. this is pretty undeniably good. i like seeing the Pacific trough back up so that the ridge axis is closer to ID
  11. you would think this is meaningful, but the euro will somehow find a way when it’s been god awful all year
  12. lol it's like clockwork how every model looks so much better for the euro to look worse. what is the physical explanation for that BS, exactly
  13. as if right on cue, euro looks like total dogshit it's incredible how the 06/18z runs of the euro are just always erratic just to revert back to whatever the 00/12z runs show
  14. why must it be that way, though? it doesn’t make actual scientific sense. it’s just a big cosmic middle finger
  15. the one time the euro is doing the best this year is when it has a shitty outcome. gotta love it
  16. i think a MECS is totally possible, but would like to see the EPS jump on board soon
  17. i will 100% take this 5-6 days out, let the chips fall where they may
  18. lol absolutely not, if the euro was the only model showing a hit without the support from the AIFS it would be tossed in the trash
  19. this is looking legit at this range. really impressive synoptic support for a potentially major system... just need to see it hold for a couple more days before we get truly excited
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