if this was the other way around with the GFS/GEFS only showing something and everything else relatively unenthused, the GFS would be launched to Pluto
that kicker actually helps pump the PNA for a brief time as the trough amps. pretty common before it flattens things, but if the spark is already lit it doesn't matter
I would argue the GFS is the one with little to no support. GEPS, EPS, ECMWF, CMC, and UKMET all had amped solutions. GFS is the only one that’s pretty flat
lol no model shows a cutter. could it get a little too close for comfort for the immediate coast, sure, but i find it highly unlikely that we see a system cut through the Apps. more likely to see suppression than a wet outcome here