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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here
  2. 11-12th is more coherent on the EPS, pops a few coastals
  3. lol models have no clue. this is the run to run change, not regular 500mb
  4. looks like any warmup is pretty brief with the -WPO building poleward... with some Canadian ridging / low NATL heights lingering, would remain conducive to some marginal threats
  5. thanks for the kind words, snowman. always appreciated hopefully we see a continuation of this cold and wintry pattern… the beating the SPV is going to take likely helps us there
  6. well, here we go. not sure when exactly the blocking is going away
  7. this is pretty striking. retrograding block and a legit 50/50 in place... vort over the Four Corners is making its way under the block
  8. 18z EPS had almost 1" liquid into Boston and the GFS and CMC both have nothing. what a world we live in
  9. it's odd, one would think that the EPS would be "worse" than the GFS since there is less stretching, but that is not the case at all. such a weird setup
  10. yeah, there has been a 18z euro tax. not sure why. but fun to see
  11. they literally made the euro run at off hours so that it could be less accurate and more annoying to use. what a concept
  12. euro was quite a bit better with the confluence and overall alignment of the low
  13. this speaks for itself. insane to see this 6 days out
  14. this speaks for itself. insane to see this 6 days out
  15. this signal has really grown since yesterday
  16. yeah, we have seen this signal grow since yesterday
  17. i see zero reason to deviate from 6-10" for the city and about 8-12" here closer to 287... using mostly a RGEM/ECMWF blend with some consideration for the NAM very strong 700mb FGEN will allow for rates up to 2"/hr for a time midday into the early-mid afternoon. should be a fun day tomorrow
  18. if the Pacific jet does not overwhelm things and push the trough axis too far east, then no, not really
  19. no joke, this pattern is how you get a storm like that. two distinct vorts and a massive block rotting in central Canada encouraging a phase. the flow slows to a crawl
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