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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. very good agreement on an anomalous, west-based -NAO, 50/50 ULL, and vort digging into the Rockies. if you're looking for a bigger storm, this is the timeframe to watch. makes sense, as retrograding Scandinavian blocks often lead to larger storms when they decay
  2. pretty stunning blocking signal around that time. vort digging into the Rockies, confluence in place, and a rotting west based block
  3. you tell me. rotting west based -NAO, huge 50/50 signal, and vort digging through the Rockies
  4. i get your point, but could you imagine the weenies thrown if the ensembles showed the TPV west and a ridge popping over the east and someone posted a loop of the D12-15 OP showing a cold pattern? they would get clowned
  5. yeah, why use the ensembles when you can use a random OP run
  6. the -PNA is temporary. that trough in the west swings through and it's full steam ahead
  7. Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS
  8. Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS
  9. Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS
  10. excuse me, you said that's a +NAO? in what world is this a +NAO
  11. the 10th percentile for NYC on the EPS is like 10”. anything but skewed high
  12. EPS has 24” mean snowfall for BOS
  13. this is with like 12-18” on the mean already btw
  14. and this is before this pattern sets up. absurd
  15. absolutely locked in on the GEPS and GEFS. rotting block in place over the Davis Strait and elongated TPV in SE Canada
  16. trying not to be hyperbolic but it's insane. how is the mean that lit up with the block not even having decayed yet? that's when you usually get the big dog
  17. just so people understand how absurd modeling is getting for mid-late month, this is the GEPS through 300. insane amounts of snow this is the pattern during that mean. the block is still strong over the Davis Strait. the largest storm from this pattern likely hasn't even occurred yet and NYC/BOS still have 18" on the mean. wild
  18. just so people understand how absurd modeling is getting for mid-late month, this is the GEPS through 300. insane amounts of snow this is the pattern during that snowfall mean. not after the block breaks down, which is when you'd probably get your largest storm. it's beyond lmao
  19. if this is "not bad" then expectations have gotten ever so slightly inflated
  20. GEPS is ridiculous. has 15" on the mean with this pattern still in place
  21. the shift in confluence is pretty notable. the evolution is much more similar to that of a Miller B than a SWFE at this point
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