brooklynwx99
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99
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Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
brooklynwx99 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
really nice configuration on the AIFS-EPS synoptically... Pacific trough is spiking a ridge over MT, decaying block over SE Canada with confluence, and vort amping underneath the block. one of the better setups we've had recently
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really nice configuration on the AIFS-EPS synoptically... Pacific trough is spiking a ridge over MT, decaying block over SE Canada with confluence, and vort amping underneath the block. one of the better setups we've had recently
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really nice configuration on the AIFS-EPS synoptically... Pacific trough is spiking a ridge over MT, decaying block over SE Canada with confluence, and vort amping underneath the block. one of the better setups we've had recently
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the ridge spikes right over ID/MT as the trough amps, which is what matters
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so much more phasing there, great to see
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lol what happened to the EPS, man
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can already tell the euro is going to increase wave spacing early on at 12z. should be better and then you're literally only left with the CMC OP. we shall see but yeah, agreed. the AIFS is deadly with synoptics
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that trend in the ridge out west is encouraging
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AIFS going for broke too
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lots to like here IMO
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lol
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lol hold that thought
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me too. just weird seeing the most skilled piece of guidance we have end up that aggressive. something will give by tomorrow
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this would be quite the flop from the AIFS-ENS
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spread tightened up
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if only it wasn't the highest skill model we have at this range
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why even look at the euro do this shit when you have the AIFS
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well, euro is a full phaser
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its ensemble has consistently been farther north FWIW
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this can work. vort is a lot more defined than 00z
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still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here
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still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here
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11-12th is more coherent on the EPS, pops a few coastals
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lol models have no clue. this is the run to run change, not regular 500mb
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looks like any warmup is pretty brief with the -WPO building poleward... with some Canadian ridging / low NATL heights lingering, would remain conducive to some marginal threats
