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Everything posted by brooklynwx99
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looks like any warmup is pretty brief with the -WPO building poleward... with some Canadian ridging / low NATL heights lingering, would remain conducive to some marginal threats
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2025-2026 ENSO
brooklynwx99 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
thanks for the kind words, snowman. always appreciated hopefully we see a continuation of this cold and wintry pattern… the beating the SPV is going to take likely helps us there -
2025-2026 ENSO
brooklynwx99 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
brooklynwx99 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
18z EPS had almost 1" liquid into Boston and the GFS and CMC both have nothing. what a world we live in -
Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
brooklynwx99 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
it's odd, one would think that the EPS would be "worse" than the GFS since there is less stretching, but that is not the case at all. such a weird setup -
Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
brooklynwx99 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
brooklynwx99 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
yeah if it holds at 00z it's real -
Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
brooklynwx99 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
yeah, there has been a 18z euro tax. not sure why. but fun to see -
Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
brooklynwx99 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
they literally made the euro run at off hours so that it could be less accurate and more annoying to use. what a concept -
Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
brooklynwx99 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
brooklynwx99 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
EPS tripled precip from 12z lol -
Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
brooklynwx99 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
brooklynwx99 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
brooklynwx99 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26
brooklynwx99 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
i see zero reason to deviate from 6-10" for the city and about 8-12" here closer to 287... using mostly a RGEM/ECMWF blend with some consideration for the NAM very strong 700mb FGEN will allow for rates up to 2"/hr for a time midday into the early-mid afternoon. should be a fun day tomorrow -
if the Pacific jet does not overwhelm things and push the trough axis too far east, then no, not really
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no joke, this pattern is how you get a storm like that. two distinct vorts and a massive block rotting in central Canada encouraging a phase. the flow slows to a crawl
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Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26
brooklynwx99 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
lol how is this like every other SWFE in the last 5 years? temps are in the teens and you can get 2" per hour rates -
the fact that the CMC is a clear amped outlier and still delivers sig to borderline major snow is a testament to how favorable this setup is
