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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. if this is "not bad" then expectations have gotten ever so slightly inflated
  2. GEPS is ridiculous. has 15" on the mean with this pattern still in place
  3. the shift in confluence is pretty notable. the evolution is much more similar to that of a Miller B than a SWFE at this point
  4. the CPC forecast is based on the GEFS, which looks the same. those indices aren't really that useful since they provide no context
  5. why use your eyeballs and your brain to analyze the pattern when you can doom over some pressure calculation developed like 40 years ago?
  6. those index charts are such bullshit. this is a -NAO, full stop
  7. absolutely sickening weenie behavior. not all that much has changed since yesterday... there remains elevated potential for a significant storm from DC-NYC basically. details TBD
  8. looks like a Weeklies run lmao also the pattern is still well established at that time. block is maturing
  9. this is as robust as you will ever see the EPS
  10. comparing the two setups, this one is more favorable for a more potent storm. lower downstream heights in SE Canada help foster coastal redevelopment and a better thump
  11. comparing the two setups, this one is more favorable for front end snow for NYC. lower downstream heights in SE Canada help
  12. i mean yeah i get the skepticism but these probabilities are objectively ridiculous
  13. yeah, moves towards the typical KU pattern at that point
  14. ridiculous Arctic blocking on the GEFS
  15. why even bother talking about a potential pattern hiccup when this is on the horizon? lmao
  16. it looks temporary. not really worried about that
  17. luckily with this kind of thermal gradient you can get a significant event with like a 1015mb low
  18. also, big signal on the GEFS for the 12th
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