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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    yeah, I feel like there would have been a secondary developing. jet is at least better aloft
  2. brooklynwx99
    AIFS-EPS likes that idea
  3. brooklynwx99
    EPS has more phasing
  4. brooklynwx99
    i mean, you have overrunning and then a rotting, highly anomalous block with +PNA due to tropical forcing
  5. brooklynwx99
    AIFS might be the most ridiculous shit i have ever seen
  6. brooklynwx99
    i'd be getting excited down here. this has all the hallmarks of a mid-Atlantic MECS (up by me is less certain for sure)... ample moisture, strong 250mb jet, some phasing potential, antecedent Arctic air, and confluence in place
  7. brooklynwx99
    i'd be excited if I was in the metro... northern fringes can do well with banding and these systems love to tick north up to game time. we'll have to monitor confluence and the phasing potential, but this could be formidable. and that's not even mentioning the 28-29th
  8. brooklynwx99
    this might do it for you then
  9. brooklynwx99
    this can def work. legit overrunning chance, anyone from DC to BOS should be watching
  10. brooklynwx99
    this is probably the best shot at repeating a Feb 2021 type stretch (sure, ended up not awesome for the MA, but you’d run it back) in quite some time. hopefully we can cash in… we have high end overrunning potential around the 25th and then a more prototypical big coastal chance as the -NAO decays and the PNA rises
  11. brooklynwx99
    this is probably the best shot at repeating a Feb 2021 type stretch in quite some time. hopefully we can cash in… we have high end overrunning potential around the 25th and then a more prototypical big coastal chance as the -NAO decays and the PNA rises
  12. brooklynwx99
    another animation, I know, but this is how you get a MECS. retrograding Scandi block, 50/50 ULL, PNA rising nothing is guaranteed, but this is how you pull it off
  13. brooklynwx99
    it probably moderates for a week as the Pacific jet overextends but you'd probably get another window as it retracts
  14. brooklynwx99
    obviously nothing is guaranteed, but that is what you want to see if you are big game hunting
  15. brooklynwx99
    this is eye popping. classic MECS preloading and pattern progression with the retrograding/decaying Scandi block, rising PNA, departing 50/50 ULL and amping trough over the E US
  16. brooklynwx99
    this is eye popping. classic MECS preloading and pattern progression with the retrograding/decaying Scandi block, rising PNA, departing 50/50 ULL and amping trough over the E US
  17. brooklynwx99
    also, yeah, the GFS was obv going to be flatter lmao
  18. brooklynwx99
    lol summer (weather wise) sucks balls. we get no legit severe weather and watching my street flood a few times a year does nothing for me. sure, socially it’s more fun the tropics are cool at times
  19. brooklynwx99
    AIFS-ENS with a significant shift west, 0.5” liquid to BOS down to E LI
  20. brooklynwx99
    AIFS is more amped
  21. brooklynwx99
    george
  22. brooklynwx99
    bro what
  23. brooklynwx99
    the RGEM is actually really similar to the AI models... has the main precip with the PVA ahead of the main vort
  24. brooklynwx99
    the Pacific trough pumps the PNA... that's part of the reason why it usually torches after big storms as the jet overextends
  25. brooklynwx99
    yup. first, moisture pushing into a cold dome and then a shot at a retrograding block to end the month. can't ask for more at this range
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