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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    you are never going to get a warm pattern with the TPV on this side of the globe and -EPO. not happening
  2. brooklynwx99
    notice the trend for a stronger Pacific jet as we move forward in time, which has been common this year... this helps push the Aleutian ridging closer to AK, allowing the trough in the Rockies to push east a bit more. would be nice to see this keep going
  3. brooklynwx99
    notice the trend for a stronger Pacific jet as we move forward in time, which has been common this year... this helps push the Aleutian ridging closer to AK, allowing the trough in the Rockies to push east a bit more. would be nice to see this keep going
  4. brooklynwx99
  5. brooklynwx99
    meh, that AK trough is from a strong -WPO. it's just modified Arctic air, not nearly the same as a Pacific blowtorch. the pattern moderates but it never really gets all that warm. weird looking, though
  6. brooklynwx99
    SE ridge continues to be overmodeled in time
  7. brooklynwx99
    SE ridge getting squashed again
  8. brooklynwx99
    easily could have been very snowy up here, but we have had shit luck with kickers... one a couple of weeks ago and another this coming week. things just aren't coming together. however, the MA is going to be AN on the year through the end of Jan
  9. brooklynwx99
    i mean, it should take years between each KU. we've been spoiled with one every 1-2 years
  10. brooklynwx99
    southern stream vort into TPV is a good way to get snow. hopefully it works out
  11. brooklynwx99
    true. out of all the years that I thought were analogous, 13-14 might look the most similar at 500mb. we'll see if late Jan into Feb/Mar is any better for snow. it'll get wetter at least
  12. brooklynwx99
    although we get a bit more Nina-ish into the end of the month, it never really looks all that warm with the TPV nearby. we'll have chances
  13. brooklynwx99
    snowfall is much harder to predict at long lead times
  14. brooklynwx99
    Morristown
  15. brooklynwx99
    0.8 here as of half an hour ago, probably close to 1” now… expecting around 6”
  16. brooklynwx99
    the heavier precip down in E PA will pivot in over the next few hours. most of the accumulations were always going to be between 21-03z… it’ll rip this evening into the metro
  17. brooklynwx99
    first plowable to potentially significant event for most on here in a while. excited! could see some nice rates this evening
  18. brooklynwx99
    it spitting out 3”/hr rates in E PA was a big red flag. just not happening in this setup
  19. brooklynwx99
    lol RGEM has totally caved
  20. brooklynwx99
    straight up cave from the RGEM
  21. brooklynwx99
    lol this is a wild trend from the EPS at this range
  22. brooklynwx99
    really nice trend to sharpen the vort on the EPS
  23. brooklynwx99
    well, this works
  24. brooklynwx99
    to be fair, it was very washed out a couple of days ago
  25. brooklynwx99
    ECMWF is a really nice hit. 3-6" area wide
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