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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. i think everyone would take a front end thump to rain at this point. certainly possible with the -EPO pattern. will be lots of cold nearby
  2. yup, didn't matter at all. the MJO isn't a silver bullet as much as some here would make you believe
  3. it’s just crappy wave spacing. all of the ingredients were there, they just didn’t come together correctly
  4. there's just too much cold air... it's a persistently wintry pattern with the EPO reloading and blocking lingering. my hunch is the 18-22nd produces some kind of event. just got screwed by a suppressive TPV lobe last week and bad wave spacing this week. the general longwave setup has been there
  5. this looks cooked for anything more than light stuff. what a waste of a great synoptic setup. luckily there will be no shortage of cold through the end of the month
  6. i’m not looking for a major storm. anything is better than nothing
  7. the GEFS and EPS aren't even fundamentally different, they just have different degrees of phasing. it's not a massive leap from one to the other. I would still expect a smaller event but it's not like it's that far off. all guidance this afternoon has also improved the northern stream
  8. the GEFS and EPS aren't even fundamentally different, they just have different degrees of phasing. it's not a massive leap from one to the other. I would still expect a smaller event here but it's not like it's that far off. all guidance this afternoon has also improved the northern stream
  9. euro, CMC, UKMET all made favorable shifts. nice to see
  10. yeah, if you see another bump like that, you could pass the inflection point where things become a lot more amped. but this could easily be an off-hour burp, we'll see
  11. the last thing i would worry about right now is coastal p-type. let’s get a storm first please
  12. yeah, I would agree the GEFS has more support than the EPS
  13. how else is one to show a trend without posting 12 consecutive images haha
  14. this is pretty solid across all ensembles
  15. it’s a significant improvement. there are multiple sub 990 members close to the coast
  16. i would ask what your thoughts on this are but i think i have an idea
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