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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    lol how predictable
  2. brooklynwx99
    so predictable. this is like the third time this has happened this winter
  3. brooklynwx99
    extended guidance underdoing the Pacific jet again
  4. brooklynwx99
    to be fair, this winter was supposed to be another warm one and that has busted tremendously. even I called for a warm year and it's been anything but. wouldn't be shocked if the upcoming warm spell just ended up near normal
  5. brooklynwx99
    lmao
  6. brooklynwx99
    lmao
  7. brooklynwx99
    wouldn't be shocking if it popped up again in March, but blocking is a wildcard. I wasn't expecting it to be nearly as blocky as it has been so far this year. if you told me that the Mid-Atlantic and South would do the best through late Jan I would have laughed
  8. brooklynwx99
    no, it isn't, though I could see a cutter dragging down cold air nearby and establishing a baroclinic zone farther south for a second wave to take advantage of. it's going to be quite changeable but will present chances... doubt it's persistently cold or warm
  9. brooklynwx99
    you are never going to get a warm pattern with the TPV on this side of the globe and -EPO. not happening
  10. brooklynwx99
    notice the trend for a stronger Pacific jet as we move forward in time, which has been common this year... this helps push the Aleutian ridging closer to AK, allowing the trough in the Rockies to push east a bit more. would be nice to see this keep going
  11. brooklynwx99
    notice the trend for a stronger Pacific jet as we move forward in time, which has been common this year... this helps push the Aleutian ridging closer to AK, allowing the trough in the Rockies to push east a bit more. would be nice to see this keep going
  12. brooklynwx99
  13. brooklynwx99
    meh, that AK trough is from a strong -WPO. it's just modified Arctic air, not nearly the same as a Pacific blowtorch. the pattern moderates but it never really gets all that warm. weird looking, though
  14. brooklynwx99
    SE ridge continues to be overmodeled in time
  15. brooklynwx99
    SE ridge getting squashed again
  16. brooklynwx99
    easily could have been very snowy up here, but we have had shit luck with kickers... one a couple of weeks ago and another this coming week. things just aren't coming together. however, the MA is going to be AN on the year through the end of Jan
  17. brooklynwx99
    i mean, it should take years between each KU. we've been spoiled with one every 1-2 years
  18. brooklynwx99
    southern stream vort into TPV is a good way to get snow. hopefully it works out
  19. brooklynwx99
    true. out of all the years that I thought were analogous, 13-14 might look the most similar at 500mb. we'll see if late Jan into Feb/Mar is any better for snow. it'll get wetter at least
  20. brooklynwx99
    although we get a bit more Nina-ish into the end of the month, it never really looks all that warm with the TPV nearby. we'll have chances
  21. brooklynwx99
    snowfall is much harder to predict at long lead times
  22. brooklynwx99
    Morristown
  23. brooklynwx99
    0.8 here as of half an hour ago, probably close to 1” now… expecting around 6”
  24. brooklynwx99
    the heavier precip down in E PA will pivot in over the next few hours. most of the accumulations were always going to be between 21-03z… it’ll rip this evening into the metro
  25. brooklynwx99
    first plowable to potentially significant event for most on here in a while. excited! could see some nice rates this evening
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