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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    much better WB -NAO blocking showing up due to the stronger phase of the Thanksgiving system. hopefully we see this continue
  2. brooklynwx99
    GEFS has a better phase with the Thanksgiving system and much more WB -NAO blocking as a result. let’s see if this can remain consistent
  3. brooklynwx99
    GEFS has a better phase with the Thanksgiving system and much more WB -NAO blocking as a result. let’s see if this can remain consistent
  4. brooklynwx99
    good overrunning look there. would be much more excited if it was a month later
  5. brooklynwx99
    shit is so annoying lmao
  6. brooklynwx99
    and you need multiple trimonthlies for a super Nino… really for any category of event
  7. brooklynwx99
    this should be a temporary spike… there doesn’t appear to be another WWB that will sustain the warmth. so i could see a week or so of values over 2C, but a monthly period will be tough to do. let alone a trimonthly period
  8. brooklynwx99
    still gets many on the board regardless, but it is a strong outlier
  9. brooklynwx99
    this is hilarious
  10. brooklynwx99
    i’ll never forget when he was posting about the above average temps for the following week during the Jan 2022 blizzard. told me all i need to know lmao
  11. brooklynwx99
    i don’t know how some are seeing that massive bullseye of warmth near the dateline and are calling this a canonical EP Nino that is not typical, and it’s definitely helping lean the forcing west
  12. brooklynwx99
    i think we just had one really shit winter and people kinda forgot that it can get significantly cold. the west has just had its run lately
  13. brooklynwx99
    you realize this month has been solidly below normal, right? i don’t think any stars have aligned… seems like a normal cold pattern Boston is -2.5 MTD and has had four -9 days compared to one +10 day. going to have more sig cold days coming up as well
  14. brooklynwx99
    why would the Aleutian low be placed farther east than even the canonical super events when 1) this likely won’t have the same magnitude of strength even with raw ONI 2) forcing has been well west, and will continue to stay west for the foreseeable future he has lost his damn mind. he is basically just saying shit at this point
  15. brooklynwx99
    yeah, probably. we could still see a decent event into NE (especially interior and north) through the end of the month before things moderate into early December the tropical forcing we're seeing now will pay dividends once we get later into winter, though
  16. brooklynwx99
    are you referring to like after the 26th or so? because it looks frigid for this time of year for Thanksgiving and the next couple of days that follow
  17. brooklynwx99
    seems like it's cooling the EP and warming the WP to me
  18. brooklynwx99
    if we were going to get on the board early, this would be the pattern to do it with
  19. brooklynwx99
    might as well try to start off hot going into December
  20. brooklynwx99
    yeah this EPO ridge is pretty wild
  21. brooklynwx99
    i think the issue with the 12z is that the TPV ends up phasing with the vort and shoots it through the lakes... that'll happen in a pattern like this from time to time but then it reloads. seeing a -EPO cutoff high like that is nice
  22. brooklynwx99
    and then we see what the trailing wave does. if it's going to snow early, this is how you do it. what a sick pattern
  23. brooklynwx99
    this forcing configuration is quite similar to the more favorable years and less so compared to the canonical super Nino years. more forcing in the western IO and closer to the dateline. again, we just aren't seeing the main VP in the same spots as we were for the torchy super Nino years
  24. brooklynwx99
    this forcing configuration is very encouraging once we get into mid-late December. very similar to forcing we'd see in the more favorable years, and it's certainly farther west and more prominent in the western IO than the super EP Nino years
  25. brooklynwx99
    what result? a winter like 1997? perhaps, but favorable winters also had cold novembers. there's just as much of a chance that NYC sees 40-50" as 10" this year IMO people weenied because of the obvious rage bait lmao
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