brooklynwx99
-
Posts
5,652 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by brooklynwx99
-
yeah the Pacific improves pretty dramatically once after the 5th
-
the Pacific really is night and day from last year. great to see
-
still a very nice look once into early-mid month. strong -NAO, ridging showing up into AK, and a deep E US trough. not the coldest, as has been discussed, but this can certainly get it done
-
no, i could never haha the boards are enough for me
-
i know this is a LR OP run, but notice how the GoA low continually forces a WC ridge. the confluence over the east allows for a potent coastal. the Pacific pattern is a complete departure from the last few years and is classic Nino
-
i know this is a LR OP run, but notice how the GoA low continually forces a WC ridge. the confluence over the east allows for a potent coastal. the Pacific pattern is a complete departure from the last few years and is classic Nino
-
you do have PTSD most likely. luckily the Nina paradigm is over. rejoice!
-
what exactly else would you like to use? the upcoming pattern looks great. if it was warm, people would have no question about it being right. it’s a silly argument the blocking develops inside day 5. the features that force this pattern are moving into the short range
-
there is always going to be a strong GoA low. this is still a colder than average pattern with a +PNA and blocking. really not much to complain about
-
the SPV and TPV are not always well coupled. we are already seeing this the fact that such an anomalous -NAO is going to develop bodes well for the entire winter. and a weak SPV does at least help blocking develop when combined with the -QBO and Nino forcing
-
all major ensembles are in agreement and they all look great
-
all major ensembles still look great and are in agreement
-
some weenie drew the GEPS in their basement
-
the -NAO develops at like day 5. how exactly is this getting pushed back?
-
i wouldn’t be nearly as annoyed if he wasn’t so sanctimonious about the whole thing beforehand
- 1,295 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- wishcasting
- almost winter
- (and 1 more)
-
that is the exception rather than the rule. a strong -NAO almost always overpowers unless the Pacific truly sucks
-
i know everyone always whines about the Pacific, but the -NAO and resultant confluence is king for you guys
- 1,295 replies
-
- 2
-
-
- wishcasting
- almost winter
- (and 1 more)
-
yeah. all in? no very intrigued and getting a bit excited at the potential? yes i would wait another few days to let the -NAO hit the short range
-
great trend in the -NAO over the last model cycle
-
one day trend in the blocking is very nice. this does not look like a head fake
- 1,295 replies
-
- 2
-
-
- wishcasting
- almost winter
- (and 1 more)
-
one day trend in the blocking is very nice. this does not look like a head fake
-
same. i do LR forecasting at my company with a couple others and 2009 was a top analog since the summer
-
i think you guys are getting too nitpicky and have a bit of PTSD from last year hell, Feb 2010 had a trough poking into AK and not really that much ridging out west. also had a deep trough south of AK. mean trough axis was offshore we could literally get this exact pattern again and people would complain about it. hell, if there was strong WC/AK ridging along with a -NAO, people would complain about suppression. it’s gotten to be a bit much
-
after all that ranting and raving about weenies, he has come full circle. life comes at you fast, i guess
-
now webb’s top analog is 2009. holy shit, you could cut the irony with a knife
