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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    12z EURO has a stripe of maybe an inch for Sunday in CVA but it’s generally a light rain/snow mix and not much to show for it.
  2. NorthArlington101
    Pretty borderline but it does the job verbatim
  3. NorthArlington101
    12z GFS also keeping hope alive for Sunday - need some help on surface temps though
  4. NorthArlington101
    12z ICON keeps a snowy solution on the table for Sunday and that's all the details that make sense to pull away from it.
  5. NorthArlington101
    Pretty tame year... Jan 16 snow was the best one I saw (missed the Cape storm) and I can't remember any interesting severe.
  6. NorthArlington101
    Epic sunset.
  7. NorthArlington101
    That was a fun two minutes or so… now I know how my girlfriend feels.
  8. NorthArlington101
    Windy snow in Courthouse. Already feels cold and the front hasn’t even gone through.
  9. NorthArlington101
    Not seeing it yet in the urban hell of 22201 but this is a nice sign. Wind has definitely kicked up
  10. NorthArlington101
    Hopefully this means we all flip over for a minute… I’m still salty that there is a good batch of precip after the line but that the temps didn’t line up w/ the line.
  11. NorthArlington101
    If the front had aligned with the temperature drop, that stuff out past Reston might’ve got the job done, if the job was a quick quarter inch of snow. At least the additional precip will add to the flash freeze fuel.
  12. NorthArlington101
    Heavy graupel and/or sleet. Might’ve even seen something that looks like it’s dancing in the precip up on the 8th floor of my building. There does seem to be some precip behind the line, but the cold obviously isn’t here yet. Figures
  13. NorthArlington101
    This is much better than that 12z EURO i posted. Ignore that post and enjoy this one. If I got an inch tomorrow I’d give December a B
  14. NorthArlington101
    While we were bickering I think we missed the EURO becoming the snowiest model with the anafront. It's not a lot but we are clearly desperate, lol. Would whiten the ground for some MD folks
  15. NorthArlington101
    It's willing to play ball with the anafrontal too -- massive grain of salt, given its the long-range HRRR, but seems to want to flip most to snow. Around B'More it even manages to spit out an inch on the ol' 10:1.
  16. NorthArlington101
    Unfortunately for our I-81 comrades the 12z EURO is putting out a icier solution than earlier runs. Cut back snow totals a decent bit.
  17. NorthArlington101
    @high risk-- figured I'd pull this over to banter, what's the deal with the SHiELD suite of products? As far as I can gather it's tied into the FV3, but perhaps more experimental? Hi-Res?
  18. NorthArlington101
    I'm not sure its ever been a useful tool but it's nice to see the FV3 hi-res kind of agree with the GFS. It doesn't always do that, e.g., it looks nothing like it's parent(?) for the Thursday morning part of the system.
  19. NorthArlington101
    Don't think that would solve the temperature issues for most of us but kinda cool to watch. Upped the ante for those who were already likely to see snow, though.
  20. NorthArlington101
    3k NAM leaves a bit of backend snow behind but not as plentiful as its 06z run. For once, I'm interested in seeing what the HRRR will say at range.
  21. NorthArlington101
  22. NorthArlington101
    @WinterWxLuvr trend gif just for you.
  23. NorthArlington101
    It was a big jump up. Surprised nobody noticed it earlier. The 10:1 is even weenier -- verbatim pushes the T line into DC. RA/SN line gets pretty far west. Guess stranger things have happened at 48 hours.
  24. NorthArlington101
    Too bad it wants basically nothing to do with the anafrontal. It’s a bit of torture knowing the GFS is all alone with a (truly) snowy solution and doubling down…
  25. NorthArlington101
    I'll stop digging into this clearly off the rocker run in a second -- but this is all the precip that falls clearly after the freezing line has passed DCA. The additional .3-.4" falls in the hour the temp change moves through -- probably a pretty wicked rain-to-snow.
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