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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    GEFS snow mean for Boston is like 6”. Starting to look a pretty classic Miller B sorta screwjob. 1-2” around here which isn’t awful though
  2. NorthArlington101
    I’ve moved onto Jan 24 - just one more punt. This was always the real window
  3. NorthArlington101
    We’re pretty capped on this storm IMO to someone maaybeee getting to 8” if the ULL pass is ideal. There are probably things that can be done to try and better lockdown an area-wide 2-4”, but I’m not sure we can improve much on the 12z offerings from the GFS/Euro
  4. NorthArlington101
    Was only snowing for maybe 20s as this formed overhead. Little too late. Pretty, though. https://ibb.co/Q3ywXwyn
  5. NorthArlington101
    Snowing in DC!
  6. NorthArlington101
    Also did not know you went to UVA. Lived in the upper JPA zone my whole time after first year. Quite a bit cheaper
  7. NorthArlington101
    Close as we’re gonna get to an area wide good outcome with this. And I’m not just saying that because I’m in the jackpot. Looks like the 6z EURO, reasonable outcome.
  8. NorthArlington101
    I feel like we’ve learned a fair bit about the character of this threat last night. GFS and EURO outcomes at 6z really aren’t that far apart, even in terms of distance. Storm has maybe a 6-8” max for those perfectly in its crosshairs but otherwise it’s gonna be pretty standard despite the awesome h5 look. We’re praying for the deform to cash in and missing all of the WAA. Tricky.
  9. NorthArlington101
    More realistic - EPS mean is better tonight. Goodnight!
  10. NorthArlington101
  11. NorthArlington101
    @Ji Another 1-2’ still to come honestly as depicted
  12. NorthArlington101
    End of EURO is 1-2’+. You’re gonna love the maps when they drop
  13. NorthArlington101
    EURO cooking up a monster at end of run, I think. Like 330
  14. NorthArlington101
  15. NorthArlington101
    Should snow this run but it’s not gonna bomb.
  16. NorthArlington101
    Taking zero credit for this analysis but what I’m hearing is that our low is developing too late and rapidly occluding - meaning we aren’t pulling in enough moisture in time. Solution could be a little more dig.
  17. NorthArlington101
    The “kicker” or whatever we want to call it these days is stronger/running more interference, I think
  18. NorthArlington101
    h5 was so good… surface so mediocre. Whatever. We’re alive another run.
  19. NorthArlington101
    Snow DC and a bit east by 120
  20. NorthArlington101
    Flipping over… would be a painful wait but hopefully worth it
  21. NorthArlington101
  22. NorthArlington101
    Would be pretty shocked if this GFS is a whiff. Said that about the ICON, though.
  23. NorthArlington101
    jk - but man it looks nice. TPV might run just interference to not have this be awesome. But really… cmon.
  24. NorthArlington101
    If this look on the ICON does nothing it’ll probably never snow in the mid-Atlantic again
  25. NorthArlington101
    Closed h5 in TN…
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