NorthArlington101

Time for a thread. Idk who wants to own this stinker, but it must be done. We’ve got other things to post here

This guy is smart. Good thing he’s all in on Jan 23-25.

I responded more aggressively than I wanted to but I think if you split the discussion into “pros” and “average joes” the discussion for the average joes will inevitably dry up. It doesn’t offer folks a chance to learn and improve. The mods would have to somehow decide how the “trusted non-Mets” can be verified. I don’t think it would work out and would be disappointed if it was implemented. Think giving folks flairs for being a meteorologist accomplishes what we need as far as filtering to our best and brightest.

It’s a horrible idea, honestly, and no shade to you or whoever suggests it when it always comes up. This is a community to talk about the weather - hobbyists, meteorologists, weenies, everyone in between. If you don’t want to see someone’s opinions mute them, but we start deciding who is worthy of posting and splintering threads off… nobody will be happy.

I’m all in on Jan 23-25. But until then, it’s no bueno. Gonna see if it’s worth a drive to WV this weekend and catch some extra sleep this week.

Out to 105 it looks like “what storm”

PM me - plausibly interested for sure, especially with some notice. Happy to meet up beforehand sometime to confirm we all like each other too.

GEFS snow mean for Boston is like 6”. Starting to look a pretty classic Miller B sorta screwjob. 1-2” around here which isn’t awful though

I’ve moved onto Jan 24 - just one more punt. This was always the real window

We’re pretty capped on this storm IMO to someone maaybeee getting to 8” if the ULL pass is ideal. There are probably things that can be done to try and better lockdown an area-wide 2-4”, but I’m not sure we can improve much on the 12z offerings from the GFS/Euro

Was only snowing for maybe 20s as this formed overhead. Little too late. Pretty, though. https://ibb.co/Q3ywXwyn

Snowing in DC!

Also did not know you went to UVA. Lived in the upper JPA zone my whole time after first year. Quite a bit cheaper

Close as we’re gonna get to an area wide good outcome with this. And I’m not just saying that because I’m in the jackpot. Looks like the 6z EURO, reasonable outcome.

I feel like we’ve learned a fair bit about the character of this threat last night. GFS and EURO outcomes at 6z really aren’t that far apart, even in terms of distance. Storm has maybe a 6-8” max for those perfectly in its crosshairs but otherwise it’s gonna be pretty standard despite the awesome h5 look. We’re praying for the deform to cash in and missing all of the WAA. Tricky.

More realistic - EPS mean is better tonight. Goodnight!

@Ji Another 1-2’ still to come honestly as depicted

End of EURO is 1-2’+. You’re gonna love the maps when they drop

EURO cooking up a monster at end of run, I think. Like 330

Should snow this run but it’s not gonna bomb.

Taking zero credit for this analysis but what I’m hearing is that our low is developing too late and rapidly occluding - meaning we aren’t pulling in enough moisture in time. Solution could be a little more dig.

The “kicker” or whatever we want to call it these days is stronger/running more interference, I think

h5 was so good… surface so mediocre. Whatever. We’re alive another run.