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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. I feel like we’ve learned a fair bit about the character of this threat last night. GFS and EURO outcomes at 6z really aren’t that far apart, even in terms of distance. Storm has maybe a 6-8” max for those perfectly in its crosshairs but otherwise it’s gonna be pretty standard despite the awesome h5 look. We’re praying for the deform to cash in and missing all of the WAA. Tricky.
  2. More realistic - EPS mean is better tonight. Goodnight!
  3. @Ji Another 1-2’ still to come honestly as depicted
  4. End of EURO is 1-2’+. You’re gonna love the maps when they drop
  5. EURO cooking up a monster at end of run, I think. Like 330
  6. Should snow this run but it’s not gonna bomb.
  7. Taking zero credit for this analysis but what I’m hearing is that our low is developing too late and rapidly occluding - meaning we aren’t pulling in enough moisture in time. Solution could be a little more dig.
  8. The “kicker” or whatever we want to call it these days is stronger/running more interference, I think
  9. h5 was so good… surface so mediocre. Whatever. We’re alive another run.
  10. Flipping over… would be a painful wait but hopefully worth it
  11. Would be pretty shocked if this GFS is a whiff. Said that about the ICON, though.
  12. jk - but man it looks nice. TPV might run just interference to not have this be awesome. But really… cmon.
  13. If this look on the ICON does nothing it’ll probably never snow in the mid-Atlantic again
  14. Squalls/gusty showers look fairly decent tonight on guidance… thread in the morning? Anyone? Bueller?
  15. The looks are pretty but we only have the GFS and like 100hr old runs of the ICON. Can’t say we weren’t warned if/when we get nothing
  16. Surface is warm on the parent EURO too. I wouldn’t count on a lot of that being snow
  17. Ultimate surprise storm in “recent” memory… worth a google.
  18. snowing at 186 for storm 2 - snow stretching almost down to the gulf coast in Alabama
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