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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Respectable GEFS mean for this range in November, for the very little that’s worth. Can’t see individual members, would wager it’s pulling in a heavy outlier or two.
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I’m eyeing it only because UVA has a date with destiny that Saturday. Snow game would be amazing but unlikely. Cold rain game would suck. Kinda hoping it just poofs.
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I don’t think anyone would’ve bet any sort of money on November snow lol. I’ll concur insofar as if we have another hyped December pattern only to get shut out I’m gonna make a New Years’ resolution to never care about December again. Might just not be able to snow here anymore til January
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Been there - picturing the water ride up the wheel to terrible places.
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Coulda been a good snowstorm a month from now. Alas
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I feel like some years the weeklies show jack squat in December. My only takeaway is that we’ll probably have an opportunity or two
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Yeah, right when I say the GFS has no company, the EURO pretty much spits out the same outcome. Temps are still bad... wouldn't exactly expect any of this to stick, but it's interesting. If the moisture didn't get totally shredded from 126 - > 132 it might've had more blues.
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I've had a similar thought... maybe I'll give it a whirl this year for DCA. Speaking of digital snow that's unlikely to happen, GFS is back to trying for Tuesday. Temps before, during, and after the "event" suggest it would be wet snow that doesn't really stick anywhere but it's the only game in town. Don't think another model has shown anything at all, so
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Still pretty cool! Nice shot
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I gave up and left before the aurora showed up. Least I got it yesterday lol
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Getting dinner out in Leesburg and hoping for progress in the next few hours.
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Whatever. Gonna drive out to Loudoun and see what happens. Get dinner somewhere different if it doesn't pan out.
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I’m still gonna try tonight but need the Bz to go negative stat.
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It's unfortunate happenstance that some spots further south are on a bit of a "run" (though I doubt if you asked the SE thread folks, they'd think they've been on a heater) but in the greater timescale of recorded meteorological history the streak you refer to is a blip. It'll average back out in the averages eventually.
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HRRR/RAP making me inclined to make somewhere in Loudoun or far-western FFX the target. MD not looking amazing
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Looks like we're on track for an impact in the next few hours. At this point, I don't think we need to worry about it being too early. More worried about a glancing blow. Undecided on if I go north/east/west tonight. Will probably look at the clouds and drive somewhere around sunset. Might base it on traffic lol
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Yeah, I think that's the one scenario where you have no other choice. But I guess my question would still be what the other option is. Underground tunnel just to get back to customs seems a tad $$$$. Maybe PenFed could sponsor it
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Meh - they are quirky and fun. Not sure what the better option is... IIRC you can already walk or take the mini-subway they have in most cases but it's a longer journey.
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My current plan is to roll out before/during sunset and drive north. Hoping the traffic isn’t heinous. anything around a 12pm hit should be good… substorms lasted til like 4am for yesterday’s.
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Barely counts but pretty sure it was snow.
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Stayed up for this because I’m a sicko I guess… hoping to report DC’s first flakes shortly. Not impossible it’ll be rain though lol
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Difference here is this is multiple flares… there are 3 coming. Tonight is the first and second, which might have essentially merged. Tomorrow is the third, which is also the stronger one. I definitely went out tonight because I didn’t want to count on a two-night feature, but real chance tomorrow as well.
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Tomorrow night really should be better… need to hope the flare doesn’t come too early.
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Shenandoah and Northern MD getting lights. Worth it to stick your head outside if you are a rural person!
