Barring any pop up surprises we seem to be pretty cooked until the 12th. Time to focus on the New Years’ resolutions that we’re all gonna drop by mid-January before getting back to tracking snow!
Delicate enough setup that it willing to wait til Friday night runs to call it dead.
Happy New Year and good luck to those who try and stay up for any squall action tonight!
850s are kind of shot though. Tricky balance for this one and we’re already playing behind. I’m cautiously unoptimistic (pessimistic?) but what else is there to do
A handful (4-5) of members bring the coastal far enough north to bring some wintry precip here. LWX actually shouted it out in their AFD as well. It would be an outlier outcome but something to watch while we wait for greener pastures.
I am actually super tilted this morning. I realize how stupid this is since I was ecstatic less than 24 hours ago, but I'm about ready to punt the first two weeks of January. Gross.
All jokes aside about losing a HECS overnight they were genuinely not nearly as awesome a look as earlier in the day. Not a dead look but not awesome. Hopefully just a blip
Can sorta see two distinct threat windows if you squint. Regardless, pretty active.
I'll take the GEFS control. 30" in one storm seems ok. 42" in 2 weeks
It's close but verbatim it isn't- though I don't exactly trust the AIFS on p-type. As was already shared the surface is too warm, whether you buy it or not is up to you
FWIW I am very bullish for January and am mostly just trolling JI