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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Time to stack it up. You got a much different measurement than a little less than an inch?
  2. I guess even the 3k at this point tries to crush us between 5-8am. Need to hold the line. Dunno what’s feasible.
  3. Only at like 0.6” off my balcony. Admittedly not a super amazing place to measure. Kinda doubt DC is gonna make it past 4” snow.
  4. Setting a 3am alarm so I can take a cat nap and hopefully see some good rates. OPM closure Monday should hopefully allow some sleet recovery. Good luck, everyone! Pretty much just flurries in DC for now. Small patio table dusted.
  5. Family saying flurries/light snow in Harrisonburg.
  6. The boom case is fairly easy, and each part kinda builds off itself... Wouldn't show this to a logistician but: We start earlier We have more QPF Starting earlier helps May also help us thump longer Ratios are better than modeled The earlier we start, ratios are better, seemingly We flip later
  7. Think I have to lower my bar down to 4” of snow. NAM tax.
  8. Such a mediocre hire to replace Tomlin. Someone young and cool who could be the future for your team is fun. This suggests we moved on from “the standard” to a less exciting, morale killing version of the same thing. Gross.
  9. There are nice reports down south that can give folks some huffs of copium. I say that in the nicest way, too… sometimes that stuff matters. It usually doesn’t translate up to here but hey, you never know.
  10. $900 is crazy… but I guess that tracks. I pay like $100 a month during the winter for a shoebox apartment that I leave at 66 degrees.
  11. I’m mostly talking to myself when I’m managing expectations like that (lol)
  12. This’ll be fun. Just not what we wanted. Would love 5” of snow and I’ll keep that as my O/U barring a really seismic shift at 18z. Kinda want to drop it to 3” snow but maybe I’m a total downer.
  13. Disturbing seeing more FRZA than sleet being modeled a bit there. Really rooting against that.
  14. Yep, @WxUSAF was 100% correct earlier in the week when he said a Nina was gonna fight back. Was hard to see every single failure mode teaming up against us but it did. Historic cold is the saving grace. One day our luck will flip, and even if we boom tomorrow, we did still fumble this one a bit.
  15. Almost everything that could go wrong with this one has, honestly. It’s a miracle the cold is so cold or we’d’ve been out of this one a couple days ago.
  16. Bullish. Hope you are right - though not sure I want to know how much of what you are spitting out is snow vs. sleet! I’ll pretend it’s all snow.
  17. Becoming fairly clear that if you want to see it snow for a decent bit of time, you better wake up by 5am at latest.
  18. I’m unfortunately running with the fact that the NAM is gonna win the changeover battle. Happens too often. Couple factors here could suggest it’s too aggressive but I think you have to give it the edge. At that point, you just gotta root to get pummeled as much as possible from midnight-8am. That’s all I’m checking for.
  19. EURO and CMC don’t do it. See if it’s an off run. Plenty of time
  20. AIFS likes Feb. 6. Not too far away for Feb. 1/2 either, but miss verbatim.
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