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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    GFS as advertised is an interesting event… just a little too far south. Was norther with the real slug of precip though.
  2. NorthArlington101
    It’s been fairly consistent with a 3-5” hit somewhere. Usually over us. Can’t be a bad thing
  3. NorthArlington101
    I think the broader point is that verification scores aren’t gonna translate to specific areas for specific events… just not how it works. You can take or leave them as how a model performs if you want to but it’s kinda the only objective measure And it’s correct to say the AIFS was first to ID a big east coast storm. It was just wrong for us. But thr GFS was even more wrong!
  4. NorthArlington101
    EURO AI good. Dunno if I’ll make it to the normal one. Stormtracker is on his own
  5. NorthArlington101
    I must say this was an off run anyway - def a lot less put together of a storm. Little precarious
  6. NorthArlington101
    Looks fine
  7. NorthArlington101
    This before FRZA. Not awesome but I’d take it
  8. NorthArlington101
    AIFS stubbornly south - nada for us; little bit for Central VA
  9. NorthArlington101
    EURO also looking like a partial cave to the GFS - least a step in the right direction. dont get too excited - best panel
  10. NorthArlington101
    AIFS took a little leap north but as far as WxBell depicts the ptype its not snow
  11. NorthArlington101
    Overnight timing is really critical for March events. Sun angle is a real thing, unfortunately. Nothing we can do about it though
  12. NorthArlington101
    About the 6th straight run of a south trend on the GFS. Can probably stop soon.
  13. NorthArlington101
    Hits us with both waves. Probably the best outcome - unless you can squeeze more juice out of them, of course
  14. NorthArlington101
    Storm 1 was a nice move south. Verbatim another 2 jogs would be great for us. Also hard to complain about the AI GFS’ 8-10”
  15. NorthArlington101
    GFS has like 4 different shots honestly thursday: see separate thread sunday: light t-1" nonsense monday/tuesday: FRZA for MD and interior NE/Boston MECS before it sinks down and gives everyone some frza LATER tuesday: 1-4" of snow
  16. NorthArlington101
    Would be pretty out at least. Might be a flee back to the burbs kind of afternoon for me again.
  17. NorthArlington101
    Big 3 all show something:
  18. NorthArlington101
    Gonna be really funny when this event nobody is paying attention to outdoes Sunday's storm
  19. NorthArlington101
    I'm an advocate for a thread for every event and even this one is really sketchy for me, lol. Some of the hi-res have moved a little flizzard in on Wednesday as has been noted. Think that's the best shot at flakes the remainder of the week, personally. Unless you live in PA.
  20. NorthArlington101
    In a marginal event you should legit drive 10 minutes into Arlington, it’s a game changer. Or real NW. If temps are sketchy you gotta bail
  21. NorthArlington101
    Dayum. Probably gonna go with 4” for my corner of Arlington since I think you got a better hit from the overnight stuff.
  22. NorthArlington101
    I think we’ve got a real shot or two in March whether we want them or not. Trackable, at least.
  23. NorthArlington101
    You haven’t sent enough pics yet. Send more. Or just to my DMs. That band on radar is unbelievable.
  24. NorthArlington101
    Little surprised that I think I’ve got .75” or so on the deck in DC. That all would’ve been in the last hour or so.
  25. NorthArlington101
    What do you think you are at? I think I bailed too fast - thought it was done at 10.
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