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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    RRFS replaces the NAM, right? Nobody should look at its 18z run for this storm, lol
  2. NorthArlington101
    I’m being delusional. If nothing has ran since, it’s the best guidance we’ve got still. awaiting my 5” storm
  3. NorthArlington101
    I’m still hugging the 12z EURO. Pretty sure no models have ran since
  4. NorthArlington101
    NAM much better
  5. NorthArlington101
    Yep - definitely a hold. EURO itself is an outlier to its outlier members with how snowy it is but nice to have it in the range of outcomes. 12z EPS mean - the median is essentially identical. 12z EPS 90th percentile
  6. NorthArlington101
    I'm pretty loyal to WxBell's UI - especially on mobile - but it does tempt me. Tomer Berg also at this point has almost everything for free so if I was smarter I'd just switch to that.
  7. NorthArlington101
    Definitely debating an angry email with a threaten to cancel. WxBell is already a premium product with what you can get for free out there. EURO can't keep getting stuck
  8. NorthArlington101
    Like the slightly wider strip of success. Still pretty scared with this storm honestly, but a verbatim borderline WSW criteria run from the EURO at 3 days out can't hurt.
  9. NorthArlington101
    If 12z EURO doesn’t mix precip maps suggest 3-4” 10:1 for DC-Balt corridor
  10. NorthArlington101
    2” as opposed to 0”
  11. NorthArlington101
    At least I took my grumbles into banter, lol
  12. NorthArlington101
    might be time for a delete of the storm thread if the EURO shifts badly
  13. NorthArlington101
    GEFS is a tick NE with the best stuff - that's my biggest worry for MBY... losing this to PHL-NYC
  14. NorthArlington101
    No way to know what's correct right now. Sure we all have our preferences - and we're all still in the game. Fingers crossed for an outcome that benefits as many folks as possible.
  15. NorthArlington101
    GFS pretty steady - very slight tick north but it's got such a tight band every tick matters I guess. ninja'd x2
  16. NorthArlington101
    RGEM not all that inspiring - still an inch DC-BALT but has the heaviest stuff from PHL- NYC. More NAM-y
  17. NorthArlington101
    Smith Mountain Lake is the snow capital of the Commonwealth. We've always known it to be true
  18. NorthArlington101
    Honestly wasn’t a huge fan of the tick north. I’d take it obviously but would rather have some more wiggle room
  19. NorthArlington101
    RGEM looked pretty darn good so not surprised since they are essentially the same. GFS, ICON, RGEM all good for DC, at least. Ways to go but pretty good 00z despite how quiet it is in here
  20. NorthArlington101
    Think NWS is running behind for ya’ll there again - I’d feel pretty good about 1-2” as a forecast right now. Snow on snow on snow in the first two weeks of December?
  21. NorthArlington101
    If the GFS is right and it’s a 30mi strip or so that’s gonna get the snow, we won’t know for a few days. Wouldn’t get hung up on where it is. Just nice to have something in the area.
  22. NorthArlington101
  23. NorthArlington101
    when are you coming back from finals and bringing the luck back? gotta be soon
  24. NorthArlington101
    You can see the same thing happening on the HRRR even though it works out on that model. Question is whether there is enough moisture to overcome the dry air/mountain shred. Further west has a better shot. we could in general use more north too... still a little too far south, really
  25. NorthArlington101
    Looks better put together on TT but this is still a buy at this point for sure
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