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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    LWX is down for hopefully just an hour but if you try and approximate with KDOX band doesn’t seem to be setting up too far north. Guess we’ll see.
  2. NorthArlington101
    Perfect placement here. Just needs to hold for a few more hours.
  3. NorthArlington101
    Been noticing the Kuchera is greater than 10:1 so that helps with the context here - thanks! Just hoping it’s for DC and notsomuch parts between
  4. NorthArlington101
    Eh, toggling the GFS I guess I can see 3hrs slower. I guess it couldn’t hurt to be closer to darkness
  5. NorthArlington101
    I see norther and wetter - idk if I see slower, but I’m not paying a crazy amount of attention to timing. Still feel like this band rolls in between 1-3pm. Def want Pt. 2 to be more amped. Very skeptical of the GFS solution but that’s what gets someone from a lucky 1-2” to have someone push 3”.
  6. NorthArlington101
    It's a lock
  7. NorthArlington101
    RGEM looks like a general ~1" of snow before light icing
  8. NorthArlington101
    ICON - all the afternoon. Some FRZA overnight. All models have temps cold enough at the surface... precip seems to do enough wherever it falls for this to accumulate on the grass, at least.
  9. NorthArlington101
    In all seriousness, my one takeaway from the early mostly-joke mesos is that they try to be snow with that second portion at the start. That would be a good trend.
  10. NorthArlington101
    Since this is kind of a joke event, why not randomly post the ARW control. We can dream!
  11. NorthArlington101
    We’ll see lol. Took the initial band a little north but essentially a copy/paste of 18z as the final result.
  12. NorthArlington101
    Nice improvement from 12z. Seeing a wetter trend for sure. Also norther. Could be a “congrats Parkton” if it continues but it’s been a while so that’s okay. Would appreciate any and all snow TV on tap
  13. NorthArlington101
    I think we’ve got at least one window in us after the thaw. We’re overdue April snow to some extent too
  14. NorthArlington101
    Some freezing rain west of I-95
  15. NorthArlington101
    I mean, idk, seems like it’ll snow a little tomorrow afternoon. Hopefully it’s a lil scenic out.
  16. NorthArlington101
    Someone order a clown map?
  17. NorthArlington101
    Not expecting much but I think people are ignoring this because they are done with winter. Most models showing a period of at least light snow Monday afternoon before a pause and mix-y stuff into Tuesday morning. Kinda doubt I see anything in the city but .5-1” for folks doesn’t seem unreasonable… ignoring the plausible glaze of ice.
  18. NorthArlington101
    GFS also is wintry enough to keep an eye open at
  19. NorthArlington101
    GFS as advertised is an interesting event… just a little too far south. Was norther with the real slug of precip though.
  20. NorthArlington101
    It’s been fairly consistent with a 3-5” hit somewhere. Usually over us. Can’t be a bad thing
  21. NorthArlington101
    I think the broader point is that verification scores aren’t gonna translate to specific areas for specific events… just not how it works. You can take or leave them as how a model performs if you want to but it’s kinda the only objective measure And it’s correct to say the AIFS was first to ID a big east coast storm. It was just wrong for us. But thr GFS was even more wrong!
  22. NorthArlington101
    EURO AI good. Dunno if I’ll make it to the normal one. Stormtracker is on his own
  23. NorthArlington101
    I must say this was an off run anyway - def a lot less put together of a storm. Little precarious
  24. NorthArlington101
    Looks fine
  25. NorthArlington101
    This before FRZA. Not awesome but I’d take it
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