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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
  2. NorthArlington101
  3. NorthArlington101
    Our best posters are out in full force!
  4. NorthArlington101
    But yes - no member has DCA over 6". To say the GFS is on a different world is an understatement. Different parallel universe
  5. NorthArlington101
    EPS really wants the IVT overhead. Get a nickel and dimer on the board even at the 10th percentile. Median looks solid
  6. NorthArlington101
    Identical to 06z essentially
  7. NorthArlington101
    IVT gonna look okay on the Euro I think. Looks like DC gets .3” of precip when it should probably be snow
  8. NorthArlington101
    SV maps look like 1-3” all IVT. Coastal is offshore Boston. So yea
  9. NorthArlington101
    EURO AI says no.
  10. NorthArlington101
    I appreciate any support I guess. This is about the range we started truly reeling in Jan 3, 2022, the last real GFS coup I remember. I can't think of any other event to hang a hopium hat on. I guess NYC only got Jan 2016 at the last minute but at least all models showed a storm.
  11. NorthArlington101
  12. NorthArlington101
    Final:
  13. NorthArlington101
    This is gonna be the nastiest kick in the nards
  14. NorthArlington101
    I mean...
  15. NorthArlington101
    I kind of figured we had one more jog west in us. Just absurd differences. Gotta be praying for a Jan 22 GFS-like coup. To every god.
  16. NorthArlington101
    GFS is a bomb
  17. NorthArlington101
    It's okay - I've heard through the grapevine the Navy model was a bomb
  18. NorthArlington101
    Took about an inch off the median. I'd guess this is all shot a scattershot of the IVT
  19. NorthArlington101
    ? we went from a mean of nearly 4" regionwide to this
  20. NorthArlington101
    12z EPS is a fairly significant step backward on the snow mean side of the house. Will update this post with a map once it's finished.
  21. NorthArlington101
    The SV maps are a decent match for precip but generally the common wisdom is WxBell ptype depiction is better.
  22. NorthArlington101
    wxbell
  23. NorthArlington101
    6z EPS were significantly better. Curious if we lose ground with the 12z EPS. I'm not exactly a believer in the off runs being worse but they do "feel" jumpier.
  24. NorthArlington101
    While we wait - PARA CMC has most of the snow with the IVT. Not a fan of the coastal bit.
  25. NorthArlington101
    EURO AI doesn't look dissimilar to the other 12z guidance so idk why we toss. I think there is something genuine to say that the AI is never gonna have a run like the CMC since 70" of snow over the Chesapeake Bay has never happened, did so you can hope it's missing some of the intricate details
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