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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Yep… QGIS and a couple YouTube tutorials. Seems like a good skill to have on the side, even if it’s hardly relevant to my current work. Maps are cool!
  2. NorthArlington101
    Least there shouldn’t(?) be much of a dry layer to overcome. Always frustrating when returns don’t turn to snow.
  3. NorthArlington101
    Not worth going back and forth more than this, but compare that to the radar image shared above, that’s all. If what you circled is what makes it here that won’t do it, hah.
  4. NorthArlington101
    Might be largely semantics, but looking at Cincy radar and mPING I don’t think that’s making it to the ground.
  5. NorthArlington101
    Post the 10:1... no need to be shy.
  6. NorthArlington101
    I don’t know about trending the wrong way, it’s just never liked this one. Minus that fifth run you mentioned it’s always showed the best stuff south and it’s been basically a non-event. I actually liked the 23z better since it at least has a semi-organized band of .5” somewhere, even if somewhere is SW of DC.
  7. NorthArlington101
    latest RAP is much better
  8. NorthArlington101
    Been attempting to learn some really, (really) simple GIS. Posting this here because the map isn't actually something I believe in -- it was a test -- but maybe later this evening I'd actually try something... or maybe there will be a storm with greater upside than 1" one day.
  9. NorthArlington101
    This is 100% true but it won't stop me from analyzing every 15m interval on the HRRR. Don't look now but the 20z is substantially jucier into VA. 20z 19z
  10. NorthArlington101
    The last decent HRRR run was 16z IMO. If you want to be on the weenie train, I'm rolling the infallible (lol) EURO/CMC/RGEM power combo. Unless something better comes around.
  11. NorthArlington101
    boom?
  12. NorthArlington101
    18z RGEM is gonna be a substantial bump up from its recent runs looking at the quick CMC maps. Waiting for better graphics but it looks like a 6hr storm at DCA with 3 good hours in there. Don't think its back to where it was a 24+ hours ago, but I'm interested
  13. NorthArlington101
    The Bad Base State -- maybe a stretch
  14. NorthArlington101
    I lied - one more graphic. It's my thread. Probs were at 0% at 06z over that 40-50% CMD jackpot.
  15. NorthArlington101
    just for fun -- there is decent room for one more tick NW. Unless that would also cause temps to rise, in which case I guess I'd pass 12z: 06z
  16. NorthArlington101
    Control and EPS/Parent look similar - "big" shift in the last 6hrs
  17. NorthArlington101
  18. NorthArlington101
    older? wiser?
  19. NorthArlington101
    12z ICON took a big jump north #dustingwatch
  20. NorthArlington101
    GFS has a more substantial system but it’s still really meh. And standards are low.
  21. NorthArlington101
    Don’t look at the NAMs or the FV3 though [emoji6]
  22. NorthArlington101
    Kinda looks like 09z - 15z was the only really off run. Regardless, good to see guidance like the HHRR (and sure, even the SREF [emoji51]) pivoting back a bit.
  23. NorthArlington101
    It’s a step in the right direction to that .5-1” “victory stripe” solution for our most populated spots. Fingers crossed.
  24. NorthArlington101
    3k is a little better. Seems to be because the coastal gets going a little sooner/stronger. Not sure that's how we'd win around DC/Balt but it that was a real trend at some point it could spell well for the southern parts of the subforum - couple models have had a "victory" stripe of 1" or so down there.
  25. NorthArlington101
    Anyone want to guess if the EURO was interested?
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