Early glance at RGEM per the Canadian gov site we haven't yet had to pull out this year suggests largely a hold, though a bit less juicy at 12z. We'll see what the better maps say
12z has maybe a hair stronger push of the confluence compared to 00z looking at hr111... see if it does enough to thump us.
Cutting straight to Detroit too unfortunately
No cool DIYs, but I'm in the fourth(?) month of my full-time 9-5. Girlfriend got into a great area law school -- which rocks. And we've moved in together! Things move fast. Snow is great, but glad to have actual progress in life too.
GEFS was quietly better for likely the same reason - getting carried pretty hard by a member or two that goes nuts though. Curious to see the EURO/EPS -- which is what winter wx tracking is all about!
The GEPS actually did shift towards a cut west, unfortunately. Last GEPS talk I'll add - here are member lows + what its actually outputting. Mix of hits because of a good (coastal) track and some thumps. This doesn't paint the *full* picture -- if people want I could make gifs of both plots. But it's the GEPS so maybe not worth the effort haha
I don't think anyone cares much about the GEPS but it has been growing increasingly in the midweek storm, run-over-run.
Think @Weather Willbeat me to this punch