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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Most of that comes from Sunday’s “storm” too
  2. NorthArlington101
    I wouldn’t - just nothing else to look at in the short or long term, lol
  3. NorthArlington101
    12k puts a decent band over DC - would make a few folks happy.
  4. NorthArlington101
    Appreciate you weighing in - seriously! Fingers crossed we have a reason to use those maps come tomorrow.
  5. NorthArlington101
    18z EURO has a better stripe of snow that runs thru CHO-DCA. Maybe a 10-1 inch so probably a bit better than a coating in reality.
  6. NorthArlington101
    probably not though @high riskusually chimes in at some point to say the snow depth map is wrong too. I'll take Kuchera and roll with the punches when it underdelivers a bit come snow time... if snow time comes.
  7. NorthArlington101
    GFS looks like the NAMs... is this the closest we've got to an event in the metro with two models agreeing on snow?
  8. NorthArlington101
    12z EURO has a stripe of maybe an inch for Sunday in CVA but it’s generally a light rain/snow mix and not much to show for it.
  9. NorthArlington101
    Pretty borderline but it does the job verbatim
  10. NorthArlington101
    12z GFS also keeping hope alive for Sunday - need some help on surface temps though
  11. NorthArlington101
    12z ICON keeps a snowy solution on the table for Sunday and that's all the details that make sense to pull away from it.
  12. NorthArlington101
    Pretty tame year... Jan 16 snow was the best one I saw (missed the Cape storm) and I can't remember any interesting severe.
  13. NorthArlington101
    Epic sunset.
  14. NorthArlington101
    That was a fun two minutes or so… now I know how my girlfriend feels.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Windy snow in Courthouse. Already feels cold and the front hasn’t even gone through.
  16. NorthArlington101
    Not seeing it yet in the urban hell of 22201 but this is a nice sign. Wind has definitely kicked up
  17. NorthArlington101
    Hopefully this means we all flip over for a minute… I’m still salty that there is a good batch of precip after the line but that the temps didn’t line up w/ the line.
  18. NorthArlington101
    If the front had aligned with the temperature drop, that stuff out past Reston might’ve got the job done, if the job was a quick quarter inch of snow. At least the additional precip will add to the flash freeze fuel.
  19. NorthArlington101
    Heavy graupel and/or sleet. Might’ve even seen something that looks like it’s dancing in the precip up on the 8th floor of my building. There does seem to be some precip behind the line, but the cold obviously isn’t here yet. Figures
  20. NorthArlington101
    This is much better than that 12z EURO i posted. Ignore that post and enjoy this one. If I got an inch tomorrow I’d give December a B
  21. NorthArlington101
    While we were bickering I think we missed the EURO becoming the snowiest model with the anafront. It's not a lot but we are clearly desperate, lol. Would whiten the ground for some MD folks
  22. NorthArlington101
    It's willing to play ball with the anafrontal too -- massive grain of salt, given its the long-range HRRR, but seems to want to flip most to snow. Around B'More it even manages to spit out an inch on the ol' 10:1.
  23. NorthArlington101
    Unfortunately for our I-81 comrades the 12z EURO is putting out a icier solution than earlier runs. Cut back snow totals a decent bit.
  24. NorthArlington101
    @high risk-- figured I'd pull this over to banter, what's the deal with the SHiELD suite of products? As far as I can gather it's tied into the FV3, but perhaps more experimental? Hi-Res?
  25. NorthArlington101
    I'm not sure its ever been a useful tool but it's nice to see the FV3 hi-res kind of agree with the GFS. It doesn't always do that, e.g., it looks nothing like it's parent(?) for the Thursday morning part of the system.
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