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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Also thought the 18z ICON looked interesting at the end of its run (hr120)
  2. NorthArlington101
    Nice to see - but ultimately slides offshore. Not close to cold enough either. We'll see if the ens can do any better.
  3. NorthArlington101
    I'd feel pretty good about you having something trackable at least for one of those. The lowlands... we've got work to do. Most important 18z of our lives.
  4. NorthArlington101
    Just out of curiosity - did you buy the land and then build the cabin? Or was the cabin there? And rental opportunity noted - seems like a great deal and a cool place if i need to flee west for snow-sanity reasons.
  5. NorthArlington101
    Not much of a difference in the odds between the Thursday storm and the next weekend one honestly on the 12z and the latter is dependent on the former, so might as well play ball w/ Jan. 4.
  6. NorthArlington101
    EPS ens aren't cold enough for Jan 6-8th unless you are out west either, unfortunately. I know the snow mean isn't what you should solely be looking at... but man, what a window /s. Obviously waaay too soon to know, but this looked better 24/48hrs ago.
  7. NorthArlington101
    There are more EPS members interested in the 4th than I'd assumed there would be. A slight step up from 00z... maybe 10 members with something "trackable" in the general area, which is good enough for this sicko. What a look in a winter of old. Right where ya want it alas...
  8. NorthArlington101
    I was almost going to risk something positive by saying I thought the previous wave on Jan 4/5 worked out better because i thought it was a 50/50 low... was that right? or was the timing just off regardless?
  9. NorthArlington101
    if it could climb the coast with any speed it might actually be cold enough at the surface but as you pointed out 850s are shot... it's notsopretty
  10. NorthArlington101
    suppressed anyway
  11. NorthArlington101
    the real trouble (rather than a cutter, at least on recent ens runs) is suppression/just not a strong enough storm. Nothing really climbs past the NC/VA border
  12. NorthArlington101
    Doesn’t make it. T-2” down from Winchester to Cville, more as you go SW with 6-8” around Roanoke.
  13. NorthArlington101
    Crawling up the coast - western and central VA doing alright through 213. Couple of inches
  14. NorthArlington101
    Snowing in favored zones west at 207 on the 12z- temps are marginal.
  15. NorthArlington101
    yeah I like the sun at least, lol.
  16. NorthArlington101
    I think we’re kindred spirits. That’s probably bad news
  17. NorthArlington101
    Looks best it ever has for the 6-7th wave. Some nice ones in there.
  18. NorthArlington101
    Was curious if they released a discussion, went looking and found this:
  19. NorthArlington101
    EPS has a signal but it's quite suppressed... it is cold enough, in theory.
  20. NorthArlington101
    not a lot of EPS interest on Jan 4... jan 7 tbd. Way too warm at the surface for Jan 4
  21. NorthArlington101
    Bombogenesis off OBX or bust
  22. NorthArlington101
    maybe with better rates/timing we could do something with this one. It looks close but man it's painful verbatim. Owch
  23. NorthArlington101
    if you like perfect track rainstorms
  24. NorthArlington101
    Well the 00z GFS goes for the “what storm?” approach which might be preferable
  25. NorthArlington101
    January 2022 probably
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