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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Don't think that would solve the temperature issues for most of us but kinda cool to watch. Upped the ante for those who were already likely to see snow, though.
  2. 3k NAM leaves a bit of backend snow behind but not as plentiful as its 06z run. For once, I'm interested in seeing what the HRRR will say at range.
  3. It was a big jump up. Surprised nobody noticed it earlier. The 10:1 is even weenier -- verbatim pushes the T line into DC. RA/SN line gets pretty far west. Guess stranger things have happened at 48 hours.
  4. Too bad it wants basically nothing to do with the anafrontal. It’s a bit of torture knowing the GFS is all alone with a (truly) snowy solution and doubling down…
  5. I'll stop digging into this clearly off the rocker run in a second -- but this is all the precip that falls clearly after the freezing line has passed DCA. The additional .3-.4" falls in the hour the temp change moves through -- probably a pretty wicked rain-to-snow.
  6. Sorry I forgot to post the Kuchera instead -- it's much more reasonable.
  7. As a Giants fan I’d probably take yours over mine
  8. Ant is invested in the period - always a decent sign.
  9. EURO doesn’t quite look like the GFS but it has a clearer signal for a little backend snow.
  10. Not in a great position to share images but yes, that’s right, though the Kuchera goes lower. It was an interesting run for the I-81 corridor… Kuchera EURO was 2-4” up and down it, with more (up to 6”) out in far western Augusta. .5” inch line pushes out into western Loudoun.
  11. Had to find some winter since it’s looking less and less likely I can see some outside of elevation any time soon…
  12. I’m all in on the rain-to-snow then quick flash freeze train now. Give me something intense
  13. the NBM seems to ingest a helluva a lot of data from models I've never even heard of -- but I'm pretty confident its not getting access to future runs/has predictive value for the next cycle. Think this is (unfortunately) just a byproduct of a HECS GFS run being added to the blend. It even has the exact same stripe of max snow totals
  14. Tomer Berg is writing an out an awesome thread on Twitter. Echos a lot of what everyone in here was saying too, which is always nice. Not sure it’ll end with a positive conclusion, but…
  15. This is where I'm immediately out of my depth haha. Toggling back and forth between 06z I see a possible narrow improvement on that same view -- if it's improved elsewhere would love if you could share
  16. Shockingly (not) the EPS is looking pretty similar to the OP. vs the GFS
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