People shouldn't mistake my limited enthusiasm for any hopes this is ends up being more than a sloppy inch, and even that is generous. I'd just like to see snow and this is a top 3 window we've had all season... as others have said, sad stuff.
GFS is actually an improvement - precip bumped north and 850s look great down to the south. Just need to have the usual 50mi jump north in 48 hours. Surface temps not as great around metro but maybe heavier precip would help?
Since people might need a mediocre pick-me-up after the RGEM, the 06z EPS was the best its looked for Weds in the past four cycles. Yes, we are talking a difference of tenths. I haven't yet seen a tenth, so...
Early glance at RGEM per the Canadian gov site we haven't yet had to pull out this year suggests largely a hold, though a bit less juicy at 12z. We'll see what the better maps say
12z has maybe a hair stronger push of the confluence compared to 00z looking at hr111... see if it does enough to thump us.
Cutting straight to Detroit too unfortunately