
poolz1
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Everything posted by poolz1
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Life was easier when the GFS was always more progressive and the euro was always amped/NW. They had to go and upgrade everything and confuse the s
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I guess saying "GFS things" is probably the best way to put it. There really doesn't seem to be an obvious bias. The GFS has been too far NW with some systems, too far SE with others and locked in on a few. The last system to affect the midwest was a good example of the GFS being stubbornly NW while the EC and CMC were pretty good if you blended the two.
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Feb 12/13 Event Quest for Blues to Envelop More Rather Than Less
poolz1 replied to North Balti Zen's topic in Mid Atlantic
,09" liquid. Def a lesson in ratios in that most of the snow fell at 31/32 degrees. -
Feb 12/13 Event Quest for Blues to Envelop More Rather Than Less
poolz1 replied to North Balti Zen's topic in Mid Atlantic
1.3" with light snow still falling. Good fluff factor....haven't measured qpf yet but definitely some nice dendrites falling around 330am when I woke up. -
Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
poolz1 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I love snow and would prefer a nice cold powder bomb but I also love anomalous winter weather. Id take what the 18z gfs is selling in a heartbeat. Not too often you see an event unfold like that around here. 18z GEFS compared to 12z. Better cold press on the mean and more ind members fell in line with the op.- 4,130 replies
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January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion
poolz1 replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
Absolutely! Finally hit 1" here....only took 7 hours. lol Models did pretty good out this way. Hoping to squeeze out another .5-1" but that may be pushing it. The pixie is coating everything now that we are firmly below freezing. Almost looks like rime on the trees. Good luck to those to the east! -
January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion
poolz1 replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nice steady light snow for the past 45 min. 33/23 Just give me enough for a few roof blizzards tomorrow... -
I wonder if we may see precip breaking out east of the mountains earlier. NAM and RGEM are the earliest but the current radar looks pretty decent coming out of southern OH. Certainly more robust than any of the models have shown for this time.
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
poolz1 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, the GEFS really had their hooks into the last really amplified system. Cant trust anything anymore. lol- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
poolz1 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
As Bob would say....if this plays out like this run there will be plenty of bruised and battered furry animals around my yard!- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
poolz1 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not only timing imo. The shape and placement of the west coast ridge when the energies start to make their slide down from western Canada into the us is key. 12z had a more N to S trajectory. 18z more of a SE slide which kicked the whole precess too far east. Something in between would have been money.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
poolz1 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Maybe some light clipper action Sunday night. Been starting to show up east of the mountains on some recent runs.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
poolz1 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
One thing that looks to remain is the fact that the coldest air (relative to avg) in the NH will continue to reside in NA. I wouldn't mind a gradient pattern with Arctic air pressing under some minor south east ridging. Obviously, the risk is always there that we end up on the wrong side.- 4,130 replies
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Thursday 1/20/22 Stat Padder Discussion and Observations
poolz1 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Mangled flakes starting to mix in here. 34.1 -
Jan 21 - 22 Weekend SE VA and Eastern Shore Snow
poolz1 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah hr39 was probably the only panel that improved... -
Jan 21 - 22 Weekend SE VA and Eastern Shore Snow
poolz1 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Was thinking the same thing...lol. More dig with the ns and less held back in the SW. We'll see if it continues -
What a beast of an Arctic high in a prime location. Would be a shame not to attack violently.
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Obviously, my preference would be for 100% cold smoke but if not at least give me something interesting. A pretty wild day... Single digit lows, snow with temps in the teens, rapid temp rise, rapid pressure falls and strong winds. Currently, gusts outside 40+ I would think. Its the loudest I can remember in this house (15yrs) and we live in a fairly protected spot. I am sure the ridge tops are getting big time gusts.. 988.5mb
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Roaring wind... 991.1mb
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994mb 34/33 Hoping the ULL pass can give a freshener early tomorrow morning.
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Maybe some down-sloping off of S Mtn going on imby. Temp up to 29
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Crazy temp rise. 27/26
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3.1" snow. Mostly sleet now. 21/16
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Finally some nice dendrites! Pouring snow. .75" in the past hour. Got 2-3 more hours to add up. My bar set at 3" looks to be too low.
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Whatever floats your boat! Im outta sorts this snowfall... Some leftover Bushmills is cabinet from the holidays, chili from whatever we could dig up and cornbread. Enjoy the powder bomb as long as it lasts. Heres to a +bust!