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poolz1

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Everything posted by poolz1

  1. poolz1
    I appreciate it! I am certainly no photographer...It was just a quick shot with an iPhone 13. Wish I could get Imgur links to work like they used to in here. I had to really reduce the resolution to get it to upload. Here is the link to the full res if anyone is interested. https://imgur.com/X2cX9Mh
  2. poolz1
    Thanks! It was a surreal scene with the sun breaking through.
  3. poolz1
    Took a stroll with the dog this morning. Looking east at S Mtn still shrouded in low clouds.
  4. poolz1
    Steady freezing rain. 31/30 dropped .8 degrees in the past 30 minutes as soon as steady precip moved in.
  5. poolz1
    Current wet bulb temps across NMD 28-30. Surface flow out of the NNE should maintain these temps with the high anchored north of Lake Ontario
  6. poolz1
    Most of the freezing rain potential comes after the sun goes down tomorrow eve. Dark, 30 and rain will have no problem on trees and power lines especially after a day of temps around freezing. You are going to be in a nasty spot if temps pan out as forecast, imo.
  7. poolz1
    The high does have staying power though... it fades but doesn't run off the to the east with rapid return flow. Typically, these trend colder as we near game time. I know my local climo though, 33.8 with rain is most likely. Just a little elevation to the the north could be in for a nasty icing event, imo.
  8. poolz1
    I'm with ya on that grade. 11.6" here. A march blizzard could change my mind but it has been frustrating so far. Starting to get the itch for some smallmouth fishing and it is still Feb.
  9. poolz1
    Life was easier when the GFS was always more progressive and the euro was always amped/NW. They had to go and upgrade everything and confuse the s
  10. poolz1
    I guess saying "GFS things" is probably the best way to put it. There really doesn't seem to be an obvious bias. The GFS has been too far NW with some systems, too far SE with others and locked in on a few. The last system to affect the midwest was a good example of the GFS being stubbornly NW while the EC and CMC were pretty good if you blended the two.
  11. poolz1
    ,09" liquid. Def a lesson in ratios in that most of the snow fell at 31/32 degrees.
  12. poolz1
    1.3" with light snow still falling. Good fluff factor....haven't measured qpf yet but definitely some nice dendrites falling around 330am when I woke up.
  13. poolz1
    I love snow and would prefer a nice cold powder bomb but I also love anomalous winter weather. Id take what the 18z gfs is selling in a heartbeat. Not too often you see an event unfold like that around here. 18z GEFS compared to 12z. Better cold press on the mean and more ind members fell in line with the op.
  14. poolz1
    Absolutely! Finally hit 1" here....only took 7 hours. lol Models did pretty good out this way. Hoping to squeeze out another .5-1" but that may be pushing it. The pixie is coating everything now that we are firmly below freezing. Almost looks like rime on the trees. Good luck to those to the east!
  15. poolz1
    Nice steady light snow for the past 45 min. 33/23 Just give me enough for a few roof blizzards tomorrow...
  16. poolz1
    I wonder if we may see precip breaking out east of the mountains earlier. NAM and RGEM are the earliest but the current radar looks pretty decent coming out of southern OH. Certainly more robust than any of the models have shown for this time.
  17. poolz1
    Yeah, the GEFS really had their hooks into the last really amplified system. Cant trust anything anymore. lol
  18. poolz1
    As Bob would say....if this plays out like this run there will be plenty of bruised and battered furry animals around my yard!
  19. poolz1
    Not only timing imo. The shape and placement of the west coast ridge when the energies start to make their slide down from western Canada into the us is key. 12z had a more N to S trajectory. 18z more of a SE slide which kicked the whole precess too far east. Something in between would have been money.
  20. poolz1
    Maybe some light clipper action Sunday night. Been starting to show up east of the mountains on some recent runs.
  21. poolz1
    One thing that looks to remain is the fact that the coldest air (relative to avg) in the NH will continue to reside in NA. I wouldn't mind a gradient pattern with Arctic air pressing under some minor south east ridging. Obviously, the risk is always there that we end up on the wrong side.
  22. poolz1
    Mangled flakes starting to mix in here. 34.1
  23. poolz1
    Yeah hr39 was probably the only panel that improved...
  24. poolz1
    Was thinking the same thing...lol. More dig with the ns and less held back in the SW. We'll see if it continues
  25. poolz1
    What a beast of an Arctic high in a prime location. Would be a shame not to attack violently.
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