poolz1
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Everything posted by poolz1
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Been watching it regularly also. That band just seemed to jump to the north. Looks like you can see the dark clouds from that band on the 1st cam feed. I've caught many salmon around that bridge. Cool little town especially if you like fishing/hunting.
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Little bit of light sleet falling. 31/18
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The end of the 6z gefs looks like it is a day or 2 from that JMA look. EPS also. GEFS
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Got it! Thank you. But what the hell is the white color? Not even on the scale. lol. I'm just bored, it doesn't really matter. Ready to track something other than the weeklies.
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I see no scale on the euro site, unless i am missing something? I mean, WB is to the 10th of a degree scale. To me, the Euro site is just much more broad scale. Which is probably better when analyzing a mean temp at range but Wb is probably more accurate if you want to dig into the weeds of a 30 day mean.
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Like you said, grasping a little here but the Euro and the GFS have the same ULL entering Cali and trying to make its way across under the ridge. I actually thought the 6z GFS was going to do something with it but the ridge just gets bullied east and squashes it.
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The end of the 06z GFS run is how I would hope to see things evolve and seems like a realistic evolution. Not every detail of course. Significant GL block develops, it takes several cutters and NS systems to feed the developing 50/50ish low. Eventually, the vortex trapped under the GL block becomes the dominant low compared to the one in the GOA/west coast. I don't see the GOA low vanishing but with ebbs and flows we get PNA spikes of varying degrees.
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Low of 11 and currently 12.
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Not enough to coat but a nice mod snow for a few minutes. Blustery, roof blizzards and sideways snow squalls. I like days like today. Looks like a few more coming from the NW. 20/9
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2.25" 23/15 Beautiful winter morning.
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.25" or so. Mod snow. 33/29
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Exactly my thoughts. Getting a system to take a track south of us may be asking a lot but any HP to the north should be a legit airmass.
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With such a narrow "win" zone it is going to be tough to please everyone. I'll hug the 18z euro because it is the best run for NW zones so far. Not going to jack out this way, just trying to get in on the action and have if look like winter.
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The temp crash during the day Sunday on the euro is pretty impressive. FDK is 32 at 4am and 18 at 1pm with a gusty NW wind.
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First single digit temp of the season. Currently 9.6/5 wish we had some snow cover up this way.
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I just got to work in Frederick after getting on 340 there by the bridge to Harpers Ferry. One of the worse drives I have had in a while. Bet I saw a dozen accidents.
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Well, that warm nose didn't take long at all. To be expected I guess. 100% sleet currently.
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Mod snow with good size flakes. Solid coating. 32/28
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Same here with a dp of 20. Not a bad airmass but I expect 3-4 degree bump when the clouds roll in. Hoping we can get a few hours of a winter wonderland tomorrow morning.
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Solid car and mulch topper. First measurable snow of the season on a gusty southerly wind.
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That's great to hear. The difference at day 12-15 between the GEFS and EPS is pretty significant. EPS is actually starting to get the look of its own weeklies forecast from a few weeks ago.
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I dug into the details too! lol I'll live in fantasy model land as much as I want.
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Give me the set up at the end of the Can run last night. Endless overrunning into a stout HP. I think these set ups only occur on model runs though.
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18z Euro would probably be a decent hit west of the fall line. Nice SLP track, just need a better HP position for everyone to win. Although it is stronger and and in a better spot than 12z.
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The quick rebound of the PV was forecasted weeks ago when the Euro Ext was first showing signs that there may be a reversal. I recall noting that before the end of the forecast period it appeared to rebound to around normal. Not sure how much this really matters tho. MJO possibly in 8-1 and a normal PV strength.
