Jump to content

poolz1

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,614

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by poolz1

  1. poolz1
    If anything, Sunday looks like an interesting weather day. A few GEFS and EPS members look like the Euro op. Obviously, a long shot and probably not many interested in cold chasing warm especially east of the BR. But hopefully this storm at least marks the end of our boring weather streak.
  2. poolz1
    Great explanation. Much appreciated...my comment about the PDO truly was a question. Wasn't trying for a doom and gloom post, just an observation.
  3. poolz1
    MJO is forecast to fade into the null phase out of warm phases and shows no interest in amplifying. SOI hovering around 0 the past week or so. Nino seems to be asleep when it comes to influencing the PAC pattern. Until something changes the -PDO will rule the PAC i guess?
  4. poolz1
    And is why we usually drip drip drip a few days after a big storm. Just like the h5 post from PSU yesterday about the mid-nov storm in 87. The plot was the day(s) of the storm. But leading into that storm had a great pattern....the day of not so much. Early in the winter season so far but the varying pattern makes me thing we shouldn't be surprised about a surprise.
  5. poolz1
    I thought the 06z gfs showed some promise for the Dec 5th period. Instead of one bundled lead wave it has a follow up wave that digs and a taller ridge on the west coast. A little more separation and maybe that run could have worked for us? Sure would be nice to track something...anything.
  6. poolz1
    Let's get the digital snow thread cranking. You would thing we would start seeing threats in the LR on the ops here soon. That WB NAO is just a thing of beauty. Maybe a bit of patience is needed? D10-15 with a PAC that seeds some Arctic air into the pattern may really kick things off.
  7. poolz1
    Seeing the Pacific pattern just continue to reload is beautiful sight. A little gun-shy after last season but starting to get the feeling we are seeing the winter pattern start to take form. SPV still doing its yoga moves late in the period this run as well.
  8. poolz1
    It is interesting that it seems like the op runs have been leading the way with the advertised HLB especially in the NAO domain. Getting there with each run but all 3 global ops have had some impressive blocking the past few days.
  9. poolz1
    I have no expectations after what we have dealt with over the past 3 years. But, here is just a week snapshot from mid Nov 2009. We were staring at a horrid Pac and no real signs of life on the Atlantic side either. We had to wait another 3 weeks until we started seeing positive signs.
  10. poolz1
    Have you ever tried replanting those suckers? I have had pretty good success with them as long as they are in the 2-4" tall range.
  11. poolz1
    This is the product I use. https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0BSKJLBRJ?ref=ppx_yo2ov_dt_b_product_details&th=1 My tomatoes do have blight but it doesn't seem to want to creep up the entire plant. or, at least at a much slower rate than years past. Typically, by september my tomatoes are done but I am still picking as of this morning. Maybe just having healthier plants give them the ability to be more durable when it comes fungus/disease? Or, maybe the hot dry weather lately (out this way) is the answer? Or maybe it was the low soil moisture in the early spring the past two years? Or... Ha! I'll be too old to garden by the time I get this hobby figured out!
  12. poolz1
    I have always had significant issues with blight and other diseases. Wet years, dry years, didn't matter. I did lay straw in my beds but but had to limit this because it increased the slug issue. Last year I tried an organic fish based foliar spray and it has been a game changer....at least for me. A weekly spray has improved the leaf color and fruit production on all our plants. Two straight years of a different gardening experience will keep me using it. Until some other issue crops up! lol
  13. poolz1
    Maybe a nod towards the GFS with how it handles SE Canada? Hopefully the GFS starts to bleed toward the Euro.
  14. poolz1
    Same obs here as well. Maybe it is just wishful thinking but with the look of radar and current dryish air I am feeling a bit more confident in something other than a slushy coating. I guess we will know in the next couple of hours.
  15. poolz1
    Not bad and probably realistic the way things stand now. Would be nice to a slow tick south with that initial "nose" of WAA precipitation.
  16. poolz1
    Or...southerly flow from the surface to the stratosphere may have something to do with it?
  17. poolz1
    Why do you think they are spending time in the LR thread? Its like a smoker saying they are going to quit smoking while smoking a cig.
  18. poolz1
    I grew up in a similar spot...Walkersville. Our driveway was about 100yds long and uphill. Remember my sister's car sliding down the driveway, after a failed attempt to make it up. Slid off the driveway and stayed on top of the snow and into the woods.
  19. poolz1
    12z EPS continues the trend of pushing the boundary further south and east for the 22nd storm and others after. The look up top continues to look better as well. Pretty impressive snapshot.
  20. poolz1
    I was surprised that he used the ext gefs to make a point about the strength of the SPV. I mean, a D10 forecast is pretty flimsy when it comes to predicting this stuff let alone 30 days. I don't know the dude he is replying to but he is making a point about a D10-15 op run. Which in itself is flimsy...
  21. poolz1
    It is premature, imo, to give so much weight to reverting back to a nina climo. It is more like "it has to happen at some point, right?" The recent mjo rotation sent it into the cod and then into the warm phases. But, those warm phases did not produce nina warmth, they produced nino warmth. One would have thought we would have seen a classic nina pattern once the mojo was no longer the driver...but not so. I don't claim to know much but going with enso as a lr forecasting tool seems a bit riskier than normal this season.
  22. poolz1
    7/-9 Fire in the fireplace and prime in the oven.....
  23. poolz1
    Check out the Mr. Pizza Cam in Buffalo... wow! https://buffalowebcam.com/live-webcams/buffalo-ny-elmwood-ave-mr-pizza
  24. poolz1
    Just a heads up...traffic cams past Frostburg show some rough driving conditions. Just tire tracks visible
  25. poolz1
    Looks like the front is about to push through Cumberland...as best I can tell. Single digits pushing into western WV/PA
×
×
  • Create New...