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poolz1

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Everything posted by poolz1

  1. poolz1
    6z GEFS really honking this run for the 3-5th window. Just playing follow the leader? Big difference from 0z.
  2. poolz1
    Just move on to the next op run. What are you new at this?
  3. poolz1
    Adreed. With as many op runs we see in a 24hr period I would think there would be a signal. Even if its scattershot. I remember the same thing last year. Beautiful h5 maps in the lr but we couldn't score even digital snow on the op runs.
  4. poolz1
    I know ops are just for entertainment purposes in the 10-15 but I do like to see potential on them....even in the LR.
  5. poolz1
    969 over ACY with blizzard conditions! Sign me up.
  6. poolz1
    Yeah, the ceiling is about as low as it gets especially for west of the Bay. I'd be happy with a solid coating kind of like the other day.
  7. poolz1
    So far the 12z GFS and CMC look a bit sharper and diggier for the Fri system. Would be nice to back ourselves into a light event.
  8. poolz1
    12/15 - .75" Season Total - .75"
  9. poolz1
    Flipped to rain here. Call it .75"
  10. poolz1
    First real snow fo the day. Ground starting to whiten up. Steady light/mod snow 33/30
  11. poolz1
    The spacing looked better to me than 12z. The dive out of Can was just a bit further east and did not dig as much. Subtle variations to the ridge out west.
  12. poolz1
    I bet you love that little white spot's location! Ha! An interesting time period to watch. The ops are all over the place in their progression from run to run but something significant looks possible.
  13. poolz1
    1.50" so far. Temp down to 42 from a high of 55 at 530 this morning.
  14. poolz1
    Mashed taters?
  15. poolz1
    At soccer practice in Smithsburg. Mod snow with a dusting. Glad I'm not on that field!
  16. poolz1
    Just your run of the mill 1076 high over Greenland.
  17. poolz1
    0z GEFS and Can ens show the Pac jet strengthening again toward the end of their runs with the trough pushing east. EPS not as much. Just anecdotal but it seems like the GEFS have been more reliable in the 10-15 than the EPS here lately.
  18. poolz1
    34 for the high and currently 23. Legit airmass especially with no snow cover.
  19. poolz1
    Down to 29 already with a few flurries/sn showers on the way it looks. Did a good fireplace and chimney cleaning today in preparation.
  20. poolz1
    I did notice some agreement between the GEFS and EPS on southern stream energy coming out of the SW late in their runs. A small detail late in the run that probably isn't worth mentioning but hoping the idea gains some traction in the coming days. Lets get the real life version of an epic overrunning event.
  21. poolz1
    Dec 12-15th seems like a good time for a major storm when this relaxes a bit!
  22. poolz1
    EPS continues the idea of bringing blocking back in over GL after D10. Massive west coast ridge with the bridge to GL intensifying through the end of the run. Pretty impressive look.
  23. poolz1
    Maybe its just the GEFS (06z) playing follow the leader with the op? But it does have the two wave idea which could be a sneaky way to maximize the potential.
  24. poolz1
    Im hopeful man. Anomalous cold is a must the first week of Dec and that seems likely. A little bit of a cold/dry look there but its a smoothed mean in the LR. IIRC 13-14 was the year of threats popping in the medium range?
  25. poolz1
    A pretty relentless cross polar flow in the LR. The PAC pattern seems stable at the end of all ens runs.
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