poolz1
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Everything posted by poolz1
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That is one amped system at h5. Damn
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So expect blizzard conditions imby, got it! What a great storm that was.
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Question...how would it affect things, if much at all, if the wave never opens up and remains closed as it passes to our south. The prolonged period of snow after the main WAA seemed better this run. I noticed that after opening up in SW VA it does close off again in SC VA. Is this the reason for a better ending to the show?
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January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....
poolz1 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
I know we are laser focused on the 6th and for good reason but starting to get good vibes for the uber LR. The end of all 3 ens today show a very nice pattern with a stretched PV that's in a good position, GL block becoming established again and heights rising in AK. I remember about a week or 10 days ago thinking around the 17th the pattern would start to break down based on the weeklies. -
January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....
poolz1 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
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January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....
poolz1 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Doesn't work this time but the ceiling is about as high as it gets with that look. Plenty of blocking but with so much ns energy being thrown around this doesn't look like a long track pattern. Big storm may not be consistent until D3-5 -
January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....
poolz1 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
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January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....
poolz1 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
We should be seeing eye candy like this with the advertised pattern. About time. -
January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....
poolz1 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Its the one after the one after. -
January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....
poolz1 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not a bad look from the 12z icon at the end of the run. Maybe setting up a front end thump type deal for the 6/7th. -
January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....
poolz1 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'll take historic cold if it comes as advertised by the 0z euro. Most likely an areawide blanket of snow from 1-2 events and likely more opportunities as the vortex lifts NE. The end of the euro op was a wild look. -
January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....
poolz1 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Seems the trend on the ops and ens at 12z is to improve the Atlantic during the 1/6-8 period. -
January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....
poolz1 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
6z GEFS really honking this run for the 3-5th window. Just playing follow the leader? Big difference from 0z. -
January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....
poolz1 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Just move on to the next op run. What are you new at this? -
January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....
poolz1 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Adreed. With as many op runs we see in a 24hr period I would think there would be a signal. Even if its scattershot. I remember the same thing last year. Beautiful h5 maps in the lr but we couldn't score even digital snow on the op runs. -
January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....
poolz1 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
I know ops are just for entertainment purposes in the 10-15 but I do like to see potential on them....even in the LR. -
January: Medium/ Long Range: May the Force be with Us....
poolz1 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Yeah, the ceiling is about as low as it gets especially for west of the Bay. I'd be happy with a solid coating kind of like the other day.
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So far the 12z GFS and CMC look a bit sharper and diggier for the Fri system. Would be nice to back ourselves into a light event.
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12/15 - .75" Season Total - .75"
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12/15 Possible I81 event. First inch of the season out here?
poolz1 replied to clskinsfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
Flipped to rain here. Call it .75" -
12/15 Possible I81 event. First inch of the season out here?
poolz1 replied to clskinsfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
First real snow fo the day. Ground starting to whiten up. Steady light/mod snow 33/30 -
The spacing looked better to me than 12z. The dive out of Can was just a bit further east and did not dig as much. Subtle variations to the ridge out west.
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I bet you love that little white spot's location! Ha! An interesting time period to watch. The ops are all over the place in their progression from run to run but something significant looks possible.
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1.50" so far. Temp down to 42 from a high of 55 at 530 this morning.
