poolz1
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Everything posted by poolz1
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That's great to hear. The difference at day 12-15 between the GEFS and EPS is pretty significant. EPS is actually starting to get the look of its own weeklies forecast from a few weeks ago.
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I dug into the details too! lol I'll live in fantasy model land as much as I want.
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Give me the set up at the end of the Can run last night. Endless overrunning into a stout HP. I think these set ups only occur on model runs though.
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18z Euro would probably be a decent hit west of the fall line. Nice SLP track, just need a better HP position for everyone to win. Although it is stronger and and in a better spot than 12z.
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The quick rebound of the PV was forecasted weeks ago when the Euro Ext was first showing signs that there may be a reversal. I recall noting that before the end of the forecast period it appeared to rebound to around normal. Not sure how much this really matters tho. MJO possibly in 8-1 and a normal PV strength.
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Nice to see the GEFS today at the end of its ens run show the pattern the weeklies have been showing. Always the risk of a can kick. My biggest concern has been that the trough gets stuck in the west and delays the cold coming east. Seems that risk is slowly decreasing. The 5-10th once cold is established it may be game on.
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31.4 for the low with heavy frost. Should have covered some of my late season greens. Had to end at some point I guess.
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1.48" for the event. Didn't expect a soaker like this but I can't say I have been paying close attention in the days leading up.
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2" on the nose from two rounds last night. Saw the classic trampoline in the middle of a farm field on the way to work this morning. Pretty solid storm.
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1.66" here. 10.23" for the month. I'd be perfectly happy to go back to tracking the drought.
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I wonder what ffg is like right now out this way. Lots standing water in the yard and creek remains high. I would think a quick .6+ would cause flash flooding. Storms to the south seem to be pushing in this general direction.
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Just fished the Monocacy last week and it was at about 2'. Currently at almost 13'. You gotta be a little off to try putting in a kayak. Point of rocks is set to crest at almost 23'. Been quite a while since we've had a good flush but unfortunate timing as the female smallmouth will abandon their beds in high flow.
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2.97" for the event. 7.75" for the month of may so far.
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Thought the same thing. Creek in the backyard is teetering on spilling over. A little convection could even cause some problems here locally. 1.86"
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That training from Middletown to Brunswick. WW needs to give an update. Tons of T&L to my east. Moderate rain leftovers here. 3.32" for the event.
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Got lucky this evening with both rounds adding up to 2.30". First storm did a little back building and had two rounds of pea size hail. Solid storm.
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100% That's our benchmark. 2016 without the stall
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12/15 - .75" 1/6 - 4.5" 1/10 - 1.5" 1/19 - 4.75" 2/11 - 2.5" Total: 14.5"
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First dendrites of the evening. Nice mod snow. 1.5"
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.75" with light snow. 29/26 2nd wave getting its act together in the OH valley. May hit 2" here if that beefs up a bit. Enjoy southerners!
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Steady light snow with a dusting. 31/25
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23/16 wishing I was 29/20 1-3 seems realistic here. 2-4 if wave 2 gives a thump.
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That high N of VT/NH isn't just sliding east like our typical ice-->rain scenario. Not that it is in a great spot but not bad for keeping CAD entrenched.
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RGEM with 2-4 with that second wave. Agreed, we need that to juice up if we want a shot at 2-4. Euro tried at it.
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Grain of salt no doubt. But 2 LR GFS op runs the past 24hrs that spit out sick amounts of snow. Just indicative of the high ceiling of potential in the pattern.
