poolz1
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Everything posted by poolz1
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Just a heads up...traffic cams past Frostburg show some rough driving conditions. Just tire tracks visible
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Looks like the front is about to push through Cumberland...as best I can tell. Single digits pushing into western WV/PA
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That traffic cam out of Keysers Ridge looks pretty intense. Hope travelers are prepared...this batch of rain moving through now increases the chance of flash freezing on the roadways.
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May be the first time I wake up early to track a cold front. Gonna be fun to watch even if no snow occurs. 2.08" so far and the creek has spilled into the yard. Sounds like a freight train outside. At least the dog won't be tracking mud in for the next few days.
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1.44" so far and the creek is almost out of its banks. Unfortunately, only about a half inch of slush left here.
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Column must be continuing to cool some. Now light returns are remaining all snow. Solid coating so far but hoping to hold on for a few more hours as the next batch moves in.
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Latest HRRR with plenty of 1"/hr+ rates tomorrow morning as NWS noted in their latest AFD.
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That coastal low will do its job in turning the flow NE even for your area temporarily. Out here, surface flow doesn't turn S/SE until 06z or so Fri. Kind of a crazy little micro climate before the big arctic push.
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Think maybe that DP is off? Im at 20 up here...HGR is reporting a 19 degree DP. Regardless...I do agree that temps are running a bit lower than forecasted. I am at 28 and the forecasted low is 29 here. I'll expect the typical few degree bump once clouds roll in.
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I care man! Ha! I do like the trend so far for temps to remain pretty much in the 30s west of the BR before the front moves through. Should be able to hold onto some snow cover if we can get a nice burst for a few hours. Typically, these things trend a bit colder and faster....as you know.
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Not to beat a dead horse but those temp drops are insane. MBY - 45 at 7am, 14 at noon, single digits by 5pm with winds gusting 40+. Just need a roof blizzard to go along with it....
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Cant deny the trend for more of the tpv being pealed off and creating some confluence. No indication that it makes a ton of difference so far, especially for eastern areas. But, if things keep trending for another 24hr it may create a scenario of more frozen. GFS - CMC
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Yes! '14. I remember being on the outside looking in with the majority of the ULL pass. Still put down around a foot imby but I think places east had close to 2'. Would you consider the GFS/Euro to be a similar evolution to the feb 14 storm?
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I have a terrible meteo memory but is this type of evolution similar to a storm we had in '15? I recall a distinct lull between the coastal and ULL. Great storm but disjointed iirc.
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This won't be a 06z type run. Looking ripe...
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As other have noted this morn...it really does look ripe for a major storm. I would love to start tracking something legit .
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Would be pretty sweet considering the time of year and we would have a much better base state to start from. Nothing in the NH needs major work and isn't a terrible look as it is.
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All 3 globals with a solid signal for scan ridging to return D12-15. With the MJO forecast to pretty much mirror its last rotation you have to wonder if we set this whole pattern progression up again early Jan.
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Exactly....Eastern shore signal. I think CAPE should start his own forum for coastal areas and off shore oil rigs. LOL j/k
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Agreed but I have found that light wind is best. Too much wind and or heavier precip both help to encourage mixing of what is typically a very shallow subfreezing surface layer.
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A lot is going to depend on cloud cover early in the eve/night. We are not coming out of a cold period where surfaces are already below freezing and temps seem to be in that 30-32 range during any icing. Unless things tick colder by 2-3 degrees I just don't see this being much of an issue outside of the far western valleys.
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I think I can hear the Jaws theme....
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Cheers my friend! Class of 2000... Showing my age! lol
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Had a roommate at WVU who's memory was very similar. So frustrating seeing him party while I studied my butt off and he still scored higher that I did. It is def a gift.
