poolz1
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Everything posted by poolz1
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Wow.... I have no clue what it takes for an eruption to actually affect weather patterns but that is some fascinating stuff. Would the easterly shear in the strat be our -QBO showing up on sat?
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Even being further NW I am looking for the next one. Don't get me wrong I am looking forward to the thump because I enjoy all snow. But I know this has 3-4" and a rapid changeover written all over it. Even up here. (5 miles west of the BR) 00Z EPS increased its signal for this time period.
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Thats my takeaway as well. The H5 track noticeably east from the time it rounds the corner down south. Hopefully these slight adjustments east continue today.
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Obviously, everyone is looking for that first sign this will tick east. Confluence to the NE, the diving energy on the backside of the storm but one other factor could be a weaker ULL in general. The 06 eps shows this to be the case vs 00z. The control shows it nicely...weaker ULL but same track produces a slp 30-40 east of 00z and doest hook back nearly as much.
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Just blend the GFS and ICON....thats my in house ensemble.
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And the fact that it is speeding up each run isn't helping us either. So much potential if it just had room to breathe..
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Yeah, the changes on the ATL side were the first positive move in several runs. Still a ways to go for this to go negative and be our storm.
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That is one heck of a piece of NS energy on the GFS. Confluent flow slightly relaxed...Dont know if it will make it this run but a positive move, imo.
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As long as it doesn't real us in and turn into another Boxin....
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Lol...they interviewed the couple that fell down their steps. That should be funnier than the video itself. "We want you for an exclusive zoom interview about how you fell down on your arse." Hard up for content I guess?
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Was just going to post....Went from a south ATL low north of the Bahamas to a coastal NE snowstorm. Just a wag, but there will likely be some slight adjustment in the coming days. 18z GFS was close to a repeat of the 12z run for late in the period. Too much squish this run but the phase tried! 12z eps had a few nice signals. Including a beaut for the 12z gfs' timeframe...
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Hey, plenty of time to pull this north! winds gusting 40+ at DCA. A true blizzard verbatim...
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Mid afternoon death band raging.....temps upper teens.
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Hey...I have family in Rye NH! Small place but beautiful New England beach town. Been visiting my cousins there around July 4th every year since I was a kid. ETA: Never mind! I see its NY you have family. lol
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Thanks for this... 6.6" reported about 3 miles to my N.....makes me feel better about my 6.2 measurement here.
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6.2" on the ground .41" liquid. 22/15 with a gusty NW wind. Definitely exceeded my expectations. .41" liquid is on the very high side of any model run for mby.
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4.5" and currently lake effect style dendrites. I can see the back edge of the best dynamics approaching but currently it is a fog outside.
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Good point. I wonder if models factor wind into their Kutchera outputs?
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Agreed. I honestly was scratching my head on my latest measurement. 1.25" in 45 min. Don't get me wrong, it is coming down nicely but I have seen heavier snow.
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Flake size definitely has changed outside of that band. But, like most storms in their height, the radar doesn't do it justice. Just ripping smaller flakes now. Probably the heaviest snow of the event right now.
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Absolutely pouring snow now....A classic banding with subsidence in between currently in the NW zones.
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1.2 on the snow board. Surprised honestly....it is snowing at a good clip but not crazy. Must be some good ratios occurring.
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Dude, that's awesome! 3.5 already! Mod/hvy here now in this band. finally some real snow....been jonesing a while for this.
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Nice puff balls falling at a light/mod clip. .5" so far. Lets get this cranking!
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Living on the edge....still light snow even though the radar looks meh right over mby. Enough for a coating so far.
