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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. Tornado watch for parts of the mid-Atlantic. Boring here.
  2. Love these kind of days. The sneaky setups often produce. I think the IR will look great when there’s more instability this afternoon in PA.
  3. Maybe I’m invested in this because it’s faux tropical in appearance lol, but here’s HM.
  4. Watch coming for N MD Mesoscale Discussion 0838 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0939 AM CDT Fri May 20 2022 Areas affected...much of central Pennsylvania into far northern Maryland Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 201439Z - 201615Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The severe threat is increasing across portions of central PA into MD. Damaging gusts and perhaps a few tornadoes may accompany the strongest, longer lived storms. A WW issuance will be needed within the next couple of hours. DISCUSSION...A remnant mid-level MCV (evident via water vapor imagery and 700-500 mb objective analysis fields) is currently located just west of the OH/PA border and continues to track eastward towards central PA, and is expected to support more robust convective initiation in the next few hours. Immediately ahead of the MCV center lies a highly sheared low-level environment, with recent PBZ VAD data showing relatively long, curved low-level hodographs and over 300 m2/s2 of associated 0-1km SRH. At the moment, buoyancy remains scant across portions of western into central PA. However, modest breaks in the clouds are contributing to modest surface heating, with mid 60s F surface temperatures already noted across central PA, with low 70s F along the PA/MD border. With surface dewpoints around 60F across several locales, RAP forecast soundings suggest temperatures need to warm into the lower 70s for appreciable buoyancy to develop given the presence of relatively poor (5.5-6.5 C/km) low and mid-level lapse rates. While buoyancy is expected to initially be marginal (i.e. at or below 1000 J/kg MLCAPE), localized deep-layer ascent and strong low-level shear associated with the approaching MCV should support at least a few strong to severe storms developing early this afternoon. Damaging gusts and perhaps a few tornadoes will be the primary concerns, though a brief instance or two of marginally severe hail cannot be completely ruled out with the longer-lived, persistent rotating updrafts. A WW issuance will be needed within the next couple of hours to address the severe threat. ..Squitieri/Hart.. 05/20/2022
  5. Not as robust as 06z but the 12z 3k NAM does get some activity through CT tonight.
  6. It was an absolute beauty yesterday in Missouri. It looked better on IR and radar than virtually all of the early season tropical we usually see in the Atlantic lol.
  7. More on the system in the Midwest.
  8. Beautiful mesolow over Missouri. Looks like tropical.
  9. If we’re gonna do it, let’s do it big. Big heat (95°+) or bust. None of this 93/62 crap.
  10. Issue is that it’ll likely be suppressed further south, significantly limiting any chance of development.
  11. A gradually intensifying TS that brings a good rain would be a nice appetizer.
  12. Nothing nearly as exciting up here but awesome to get the camera out.
  13. Didn’t need to be severe to make it a good day. Always feels good to get the camera out for wx. It’s been too long.
  14. Taken by surprise by the angle of the sun juxtaposed against the rain lol and hauled ass back up the hill to capture this.
  15. The line was trying to make a run at something interesting for a minute or two, but couldn’t get there. Meh overall, but I got pics so I’m happy.
  16. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Albany NY 540 PM EDT Mon May 16 2022 The National Weather Service in Albany has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Litchfield County in northern Connecticut... * Until 615 PM EDT. * At 540 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Torrington, moving northeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... New Hartford, Winsted and New Hartford Center around 550 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include West Torrington, Torringford, Haight Vineyard, Mooreville, Nepaug, Riverton, Kelly Corner, West Goshen, Beech Rock and Wrightville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. &&
  17. I’m skeptical but I’m only in it for good pics lol.
  18. Line looks robust in eastern NY. Looked pretty ragged not too long ago.
  19. Tornado warning near Lake Pleasant, NY. Decent couplet.
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