The 40 days between Aug 20- Oct1 appears to be the main stretch in hurricane season. Almost every active season has had above average ACE in that stretch.
Really can't say much about the season by what happens before then.
Imagine if there was a bulls ass that could talk, and screamed "Hey everyone look at me" every 2 minutes. You think people would catch on and stop falling for it after 70+ years but apparently sometimes they don't.
Freeport, spends 24hrs in the eye on the Euro. Plenty of buildings to destroy there, I don't know how well built they are, but they are going to need to hold up to CAT 4/5
Euro has a pretty strong low coming out of the central plains into the Ohio Valley late next week. It would likely result in a multiday severe outbreak. GFS looks totally different.
2018 Tornado stats from 4 states I handpicked. Tells most of the 2018 story.
WY: 14
OK: 10
VA:10
ID:9
Edit: Another tornado, right after I make the post. And of course, it's in Wyoming