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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. That setup looks exactly like 1/26/11 too bad it's not winter.
  2. Nice pinhole eye even though the cloud pattern isn't very symmetric.
  3. Adding more ACE to my already busted prediction for a low ACE season. Some models even get Oscar to CAT3 status.
  4. Josh measured 968mb unofficially and got in the eye, so it had a higher pressure than Florence at landfall and still had 120mph winds. Seems the storm was able to shrink on final approach rather than weaken. And the cloud pattern didn't resemble a storm battling a lot of shear.
  5. The first 15 miles of coast is flat islands and bays. So it's really hitting the hills now.
  6. Give the mountains 3-5 hrs to kill this thing according to the HWRF which has it at 1002mb by 6z.
  7. T numbers are going back up again, and the eye is trying to clear . Only a few more hours to landfall though. Suprising given the shear.
  8. That is really imploding fast. Looks more like a CAT 2 at this point. RAW T down to 4.9.
  9. Increasing shear usually gets to storms sooner than anticipated. Looks to be falling apart rather quickly. Too bad recon missed the peak intensity.
  10. Concervative estimate especially with the SLP. Willa has a chance of beating Micheals intensity over open water. HWRF shows it weakening quite a bit on final approach to land.
  11. Willa just exploded to a T7.0!!!!!!!!!!!
  12. It was about the same strength as the Joplin EF1.
  13. I don't see why you need more size and power than a smartphone to measure wind speed, temp and pressure. Edit: I forgot, sondes do all that and aren't that much larger than a phone.
  14. Agreed even 12 hrs before landfall is enough time for a 940mb storm to strengthen or weaken 20mb, and there are ones that have done both. Makes it hard to be a forecaster.
  15. So now we all agree there was no storm at all, these are crisis actors and the whole thing was staged, And even though there was no storm, the storm was created by HAARP.
  16. Yes a 975 low hit the coast with a microscopic 919 contour south of LA. I think this settles the debate, it was a Category 1.
  17. Why waste American tax payer dollars rebuilding Panama City and Mexico City? It's their own countries problem
  18. Watching the eye close off is like watching a dog chase it's tail. You keep getting dizzier and it never gets any closer.
  19. Update, Tsunami was larger than anticipated for a 7.5 for reasons yet to be determined. The underwater detection system was broken and never repaired, so they didn't have adequate warning. The ground liquefied from the quake in some areas and that caused some of the damage and deaths. This will happen in San Francisco when the big one hits.
  20. http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2018/09/30/quake-triggered-mudflow-flattens-palu-villages-thousands-feared-dead.html https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2018/sep/30/tsunami-indonesia-sulawesi-rescue-earthquake-deaths-live It might not have been on the same scale of the 2004 or 2011 Tsunamis, but it would take a very strong Hurricane to produce 6m of surge and cause this much damage.
  21. Anyone catch that storm SE of Bermuda day 10 on the Euro? It's Florence.
  22. 20" down and another 30" to go according to the HRRR. The only thing keeping this from being Harvey is the lower population of the area it's hitting.
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