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Everything posted by Amped
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January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Amped replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
There's an impressive inverted troff behind the storm. You can probably add another 4-6" to the jackpot to account for those "wrap around snow showers" This won't matter until we know more about the storm track though. -
Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Amped replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
00z Euro day7-8 storm looks almost identical to the 12z GFS. Mostly rain and ZR for us. -
Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Amped replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think we can do 50-60" with hurricane force winds. Give it a few more runs. -
Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Amped replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nice to see all models agree that this is going too far south exclusive or too far north. -
Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Amped replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
CMC 240 storm is a work of art -
Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Amped replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Baja cutoff this run. The strong gradient across the middle of the country is favorable for overrunning events though. -
Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Amped replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Epic -
The updated NWS radar is terrible
Amped replied to Heisy's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
https://www.marylandwx.com/radar-data/ This site always had the MD DC VA area covered pretty well. Just gotta copy it for every other major metro. -
The updated NWS radar is terrible
Amped replied to Heisy's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Loads slower than wundermap 15 years ago. I can't tell if tell if I'm looking at base or a composite. COD remade their old site without using flash pretty easily. That's what nws should have done. Add dual pole products and increase the resolution also. Most of all, make sure it loads fast. -
Active mid December with multiple event potential
Amped replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
PD 1 storm was a bomb. The ULL held together. I don't think it is a good analog PDII and the blizzard of 1983 are probably better analogs for SNE. High placement was nearly identical in 1983 PDII wad a similar troff lifting out and weak coastal, High placement was similar but a lot stronger. Also had a deep tropical connection -
Advertisement for the 2020 hurricane season Only 1 of these 30 storms will make it to category 5. Which one will it be? Spend 6 months watching the whole friggen season to find out.
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Implied 60% chance the 2020 Hurricane season is done.
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The EPS has quite a members that support the GFS intensity and make landfall further west than the OP or GFS.
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50-100cm or (20-40" ) of rain along the central America coast.
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Almost the perfect test storm. We will find out if Tampa has it's shit together for the big one.
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Feels like we're stuck in a time loop
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Not very strong, but it is taking a bad track for Tampa. Sometimes these types of systems can be a problem. The Isaias fiasco in CT,NY,NJ earlier this year was an example. Luckily there is no midlatitude storm nearby this time to give the winds a boost.
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2005 was better by a long shot, it wasn't even close. I really wish 2020 would just concede already, and congratulate 2005 on it's hard fought victory.
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Took it back into the Caribbean and hit Cancun as a 950mb Cat 4
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There's an outside shot this hits Miami or the FL keys as a CAT 1. It would be the 7th Hurricane landfall this season.
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Definitely still Eta. It drops below TD and a new center forms, but it's still within the same disturbance. Harvey and Lee in 2017 were gone for a lot longer before they reformed and kept the same name.
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He doesn't officially state why they turned back, but sounds like it was rough.
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It's been making more progress west the past few hours. It stalled just long enough to bust my prediction that the new eyewall would not have a chance to takeover.
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Anything but yesterdays 12z euro which had it ducking under the troff. That was a practically impossible stunt.
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This was supposed to be inland a long time ago. It's running around in circles offshore.
