Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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State College PA ripping fatties
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Don't think I've seen anything like this in late April.
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GFS day 8 has a major noreaster with some snow in Garret county. CMC is even colder but suppressed.
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Isn't even raining hard in the Howard county band. It's some melting layer crap fooling the radar.
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When you get to the mountains outside Bosie. 53 was fine for snow when I was hiking there last May, and people were out in Tshirts. Not here though, we always have to deal with the laws of physics.
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Seeing flakes on Frostburg traffic cams. Isn't exactly a winter wonderland though.
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A lot of thunder is better than we normally get with the synaptic system squall lines.. Usually it's indistinguishable from a gardener accidentally hitting the window with the hose for 10 seconds.
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Can we get a storm with winds stronger than the synaptic winds behind the coldfront? Thats all I want
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Of course 3km NAM is just showing virga
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HRRR has an STP max going into Mobile over the next few hours. Not counting out the southern end of the line yet.
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Precip shield appears to be compressing a bit finally.
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More cells breaking out west of Lake Pontchartrain. Going to be a long night if those become Tornadic also
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Going to make for a tough survey if the same area gets hit twice.
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The warm front is creating heavy WAA precip and slowing itself down. This is part of the problem. Things may change if it eventually makes a northward surge in a few hours.
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Was that the best you could do for your 1st post?
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SPC really needed a narrow high risk area from Monroe- Chattanooga. You can see the HRRR and NAM3km shows a semidiscrete line training over that area for the next 8-10 hrs!!!!! \ Likely to be a parade of tornadic cells along that line, while they remain scattered everywhere else.
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The SW end of the main line is breaking up. Possible it becomes discrete in the next few hours
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NE LA was right where the STP bullseye was on the NAM
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So NAMed this run
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I haven't noticed much difference in the parameters since yesterday.
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Are there any recons doing extra soundings in the gulf tonight?
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And it goes nuts overnight tomorrow. I don't know if that's a NAM thing or a legit threat.
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LLJ is way stronger in this outbreak. It will quickly shove any morning crapvection to the north of the outbreak area.
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The potential outbreak area is now much bigger than it was a couple days ago due to the west trend. TX all the way to VA could potentially see Tornados from this. Even if most of the main areas is a bust there's still plenty of potential around the edges .
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It's still not as far west as the GGEM and Euro, so it probably will.
