Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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SPC really needed a narrow high risk area from Monroe- Chattanooga. You can see the HRRR and NAM3km shows a semidiscrete line training over that area for the next 8-10 hrs!!!!! \ Likely to be a parade of tornadic cells along that line, while they remain scattered everywhere else.
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The SW end of the main line is breaking up. Possible it becomes discrete in the next few hours
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NE LA was right where the STP bullseye was on the NAM
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So NAMed this run
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I haven't noticed much difference in the parameters since yesterday.
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Are there any recons doing extra soundings in the gulf tonight?
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And it goes nuts overnight tomorrow. I don't know if that's a NAM thing or a legit threat.
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LLJ is way stronger in this outbreak. It will quickly shove any morning crapvection to the north of the outbreak area.
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The potential outbreak area is now much bigger than it was a couple days ago due to the west trend. TX all the way to VA could potentially see Tornados from this. Even if most of the main areas is a bust there's still plenty of potential around the edges .
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It's still not as far west as the GGEM and Euro, so it probably will.
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You can see in the 700-400 RH field that likely deform band is going to crush the NYC metro and a lot of New England and cause tons of power outages. Good thing the GFS has been the worst model this winter and it's 9 days out cause it's the last thing anyone needs right now.
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If only they ran the Euro out to 12 days..
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A 104 year old WWII veteran and another 95 year old WWII veteran managed to get the virus and survive it. If that makes anyone feel better. https://www.wsbtv.com/news/trending/world-war-ii-veteran-recovers-coronavirus-celebrates-104th-birthday/YC5YUY2SBJFFHBK2BSA6Z4MIUU/ https://abcnews.go.com/US/95-year-world-war-veteran-shares-positive-message/story?id=69931359
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Stay away from NYC/NJ unless you've already had the virus.
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I was about to say the same thing. It's confusing with too many exceptions to be enforceable. I guess when a gathering gets too big the police can disperse it. But they really can't enforce it on individuals taking a ride or a walk.
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Nothing is good for us this time a year except waiting another 8 months.
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So now the GFS decides it wants to trend south with a coastal in the medium range
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Euro day8-9 has a cutoff and rainstorm. Looks similar to April 2007..
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It can always trend a couple hundred miles further north, but we'll never get it to trend 30 miles south
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The models have been changing shortwave configurations quite a bit from run to run. Don't think anythings settled yet.
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Would be the ultimate April fools joke if the GFS 384 actually verified.
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Gfs is close day 7. Low scoots out to sea, But the Arctic high over the great lakes is impressive. Id rather just give up on this winter but I've had my eyes on that high pressure for a couple days now. Might be the best of the season actually.
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Big improvement from yesterday
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Models finally getting ridging into AK day 7-16. The SE ridge is still killing us.
