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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    This is going to get pretty ugly for Tokyo and a lot of Japan, hopefully they are well prepared.
  2. Amped
    So it was a bit underdone here.
  3. Amped
    Not sure how -75.9, +19.5 is only a T6.3.
  4. Amped
    Looks like Lan finally got it's bandwidth upgraded.
  5. Amped
    You nailed it. That has been the issue. Lam developed as multiple surface circulations formed within a large surface trough. Over the past week, surface vorts have been competing within the large gyre. When you have that scenario, deep convection within one vort can suppress convection or create subsidence that affects parts of the overall core structure. However, it looks like a deep band is getting established and a dominate vortex will take over. The SSTs are plenty warm up to southern Japan. It may not reach Super Typhoon status, but I think it will definitly be a Cat 3/4 before the the typhoon nears Japan. Perhaps holds intensity enough to landfall as a 3. Latest microwave pass says big but healthy. HWRF shows a decent 36hrs ahead. Edit: Also you can see a second band on Himawari 8 rapidly making the core symmetric. Probably bombs away for real this time. http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=himawari-8/himawari-8_band_03_sector_04&width=1020&height=720&number_of_images_to_display=48&loop_speed_ms=100
  6. Amped
    I really don't know whats killing convection on the north side, there doesn't seem to be enough shear or dry air to account for that look. Maybe the storms just too damn big. A 200mb right entrance region should start aiding it in about 24hrs, so pressure falls can resume despite the crappy structure.
  7. Amped
    More convection on the NW side now. Should start to intensify rapidly. Euro would be a major hit for nearly all of Japan.
  8. Amped
    Microcane? Nah to make up for the missing storms we'll just have one thats as big as all of them combined.
  9. Amped
    Just when I thought this was the Irene of the WPAC, somehow it has made a comeback while skimming the coast. Very nice looking for a CAT1
  10. Amped
    12z Gfs and Euro went west and stronger. Going to be a good chase for josh. Possible sub 930 landfall.
  11. Amped
    Not supposed to stay small. Ecmwf and Gfs now make landfall next Monday/Tuesday.
  12. Amped
    Certainly possible, Going to be nuts in the west pac, even if it doesn't make landfall.
  13. Amped
    Maybe up to 3" in the NE MD crush zone!!!
  14. Amped
    DCA doing better than Frederick. I have about 1.0-1.2
  15. Amped
    Nice pinhole eye trying to reform. Forecast has it a CAT 1 close to Manilla early on the 26th.
  16. Amped
    The best way to become a troll magnet is to take jokes seriously.
  17. Amped
    Holy sheeet
  18. Amped
    Hurricane Mathew linking problems are back, or never went away in the first place.
  19. Amped
    Wow models continue to show a lot of warmth near the polls in the long range. This year has just been insane record warmth.
  20. Amped
    ADT 7.4
  21. Amped
    Lots of icepack getting destroyed, demolished, obliterated, who's going to give a play by play?
  22. Amped
    No, This is a bomb cyclone which will transfer lots of heat to the surface and mix up subsurface water. It's Icemageddon basically.
  23. Amped
    Here's the Iowa state site national loop that doesn't jump everywhere. You can mess with the settings as desired. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=usrad&java=script&mode=archive&frames=50&interval=60&year=2016&month=1&day=22&hour=0&minute=55
  24. Amped
    That shows how nicely we got death banded during the 4 hours I tried to sleep.
  25. Amped
    Rock On!
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