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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    This pattern isn't exactly in a hurry to stop
  2. Amped
    Joaquin and Andrew were. They were both below normal ACE seasons, which this one will likely be.
  3. Amped
    CFS looks the best and it still isn't good. Going to have a lot of trouble getting anything from Africa or the Caribbean this year.
  4. Amped
    I doubted it was 65mph at 11pm, but low and behold the Atlantic is the new Gulf of Aden.
  5. Amped
    Low shear + Lots of dry air + Warm water = Midget Storm
  6. Amped
    There is a small well defined vortex, the kind that's usually underestimated by guidance. 95L would be a TD already maybe even a TS if there was a recon. Still has another 24-36hrs before the environment becomes too hostile.
  7. Amped
    Both the GFS and the Euro have a AEW that teeters on the edge of being a TD for a couple of days this week before getting ripped a part. Would be interesting to see something this far east this early in the season even if it's weak.
  8. Amped
    AMO and El Nino are show a pretty strong signal for below average activity. Probably going to need the Gulf, Caribbean and subtropical Atlantic to produce if this is going to be a decent season.
  9. Amped
    Euro has a pretty strong low coming out of the central plains into the Ohio Valley late next week. It would likely result in a multiday severe outbreak. GFS looks totally different.
  10. Amped
    One of the most photogenic tornados I've seen. LP supercell, in an area with great visibility. Also it has a symmetric barbell shape instead of a cone.
  11. Amped
    2018 Tornado stats from 4 states I handpicked. Tells most of the 2018 story. WY: 14 OK: 10 VA:10 ID:9 Edit: Another tornado, right after I make the post. And of course, it's in Wyoming
  12. Amped
    Looks like it went straight for the biggest tree in West Virginia. I think that's one of the worst hits I've seen a house take from a tree. Feel sorry for the crew who has to remove that thing.
  13. Amped
    GFS looks bizarre Saturday night. It drops some sort of deathband down from the northeast.
  14. Amped
    https://envisionfrederickcounty.org/ellicott-city-flood-stop-calling-it-a-natural-disaster/ This guy from 2016 also agrees
  15. Amped
    https://www.buzzfeed.com/lamvo/national-guard-flash-floods-eddison-alexander-ellicott-city?utm_term=.rmA34VbAw#.owB2b586B It was a woman with a cat, not just a cat.
  16. Amped
    1 death is not a lot, considering how bad the video looked. Most people must have gt to higher ground in time.
  17. Amped
    http://darkroom.baltimoresun.com/2016/07/from-the-vault-historic-floods-in-ellicott-city-maryland/#1 Even take it a step further Baltimore Sun has reported on a lot of them.
  18. Amped
    Rain totals are bad, but downtown Ellicott city is in a bad geographic spot. 144/Frederick Rd was built parallel to a Patapasco tributary that has a funnel point right where it enters the a Patapasco, which is right where downtown is. Water has nowhere to go but up and faster during a big rain, hence the class death rapids that destroys anyone and anything unlucky enough to be on that part of 144 when a flash flood happens.
  19. Amped
    Lots of thunder. Surprised the storm isn't warned.
  20. Amped
    Now this is almost like a storm moving up the Gulf of California.
  21. Amped
    Luckily that's in the SW part of the county well away from Frederick, easy to bypass without causing a traffic nightmare. But of course we have more chances for flooding the next few days, in case yesterday didn't do it.
  22. Amped
    Hope so. Returns have dropped off quite a bit so hopefully that means the new line won't be as strong.
  23. Amped
    They caught up to downtown. It is on the top of ridge though so it drains a lot faster.
  24. Amped
    Don't drive at all in Frederick right now. Easier than naming specific streets.
  25. Amped
    A lull, but only cause it back-built to our north again. Bad news cause we'll probably go back through it again.
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