Jump to content

Amped

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    13,657

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    Same here, if there was any golfball hail it washed away before I saw it, clearly not the primary concern. This is pushing the limits of the flood control system.
  2. Amped
    2.11" of rain already at ballanger creek KMDFREDE106. 4.13"/hr rate Edit: 5.25" at Monacacy village This is bad https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMDFREDE77
  3. Amped
    Radar estimates will be off cause of hail but I think we've had 1" rain in under 10 minutes
  4. Amped
    Impressive downpour, hail mixed in but it's getting washed away fast.
  5. Amped
    That circulation is not small enough to be a tornado. I wouldn't underestimate the winds and hail in it though.
  6. Amped
    Looks like the deathband totals got killed by the upslope totals in a very slow painful way.
  7. Amped
    15:1 should be about the maximum ratio allowed on large snowstorm >20". If you have more than 30, you better have >2" liquid.
  8. Amped
    NH and Maine look like they're getting rocked just as hard as MASS
  9. Amped
    Poor Tolland, they got fringed.
  10. Amped
    Yeah kind of an odd sounding there's lift above and below H7
  11. Amped
    So a deathband forms over ORH even if no model has one there.
  12. Amped
    00z EURO is almost identical to the HRDPS with precip amounts.
  13. Amped
    HRDPS looks halfway between the GFS and the NAM, so does the CMC and the HRRR. Probably best to toss the NAM and GFS.
  14. Amped
    GFS has the 700mb front 50-75 miles east of the NAM at 18hrs. Looks like NAM just pulls the midlevel warmth further west. I'm usually for playing it safe and splitting the difference.
  15. Amped
    so it's RGEM, GFS, vs NAM, HRRR and RAP.
  16. Amped
    Not sure why the NAM has over twice as much precip as the RGEM. The track is not that different, it should be 30 miles east instead of 75.
  17. Amped
    You can already see a deathband south of long Island on the NJ and NY radars.
  18. Amped
    NAM really captures everything with the NS ULL, look how much moisture gets tossed back into the dacks and the finger lakes. Wouldn't expect that from an offshore track either.
  19. Amped
    GFS and ECMWF D9-10 showing a possible Philippines storm. Storms don't often form below 10N, but when they do, there isn't much shear, and SSTS stay high year round in these areas.
  20. Amped
    Direction changes looked too fast to be mesos, it changed at least 5 times in 3 minutes. My guess is it probably has something to do with the 1500ft ridge to the south of Yabucca disrupting the airflow. 58 seconds is the strongest gust, parked cars were skidding around.
  21. Amped
    Harvey was the costliest hurricane in US History. But it appears PR is in a lot worse shape than Houston, so it appears Maria caused more damage to the local infrastructure.
  22. Amped
    Sandy definitely looked worse. If they had satellite in 1938 it probably wouldn't have looked much better. Transitioning storms aren't going to look as good on satellite.
  23. Amped
    Probably down to a tame 100kts with a 10 foot storm surge over the worlds most populated area. No big deal.
  24. Amped
    Taken a big jog west of the forecast track the past few hours. Moving due north as far as I can tell.
  25. Amped
    You can see it's fighting off shear and dry and maintaining intensity. It will hit cooler SSTs after 00UTC but still above 26C until close to landfall. Also models show landfall between 15 and 18utc, this track looks a tad slow.
×
×
  • Create New...