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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. There's a slight troff in western Canada at 138hrs that wasn't there 18z
  2. We may get another snowstorm, cause the resolution on the NCEP maps seems to be stuck in 2003.
  3. A lot of our storms are right before a warmup. Cold air exiting Canada is essentially what causes a 50/50 low to form.
  4. Agreed, it isn't easy for a storm that produces that much rain over Tennessee to slide off the coast to our south, especially when there is a high moving offshore.
  5. SEuro has a 555dm almost closed low, so there's no real northern stream involvement. The SLP pattern looks almost perfect though.
  6. Don't worry it will come north 60 hrs out like 2009. That's only 26 runs away.
  7. That is a weird looking pattern on the December 9th storm. The only Analog I can think of is the PDII. Maybe something in February 1998 looks close at 500mb, but none of those were snow for us.
  8. Maybe not your strongest, but it is the only one I've heard you compare to a nuke.
  9. Impressive lake effect event next week. Doesn't see any threats for us unless the PV trends way north.
  10. For the record I am not canceling winter, or the upcoming pattern. Just playing devils advocate and trying to point out the negatives.
  11. Not impressed with the last several Op runs. The Pacific isn't cooperating. And teleconnections don't work as well this early in the season.
  12. I don't care if it changes to rain. This is the H5 map we've been waiting for.
  13. Impressive setup on the GFS in Fanatasy land. It changes to rain, but h5 resembles March 58.
  14. Looking at the SLP anaomolies the GEFS is hinting at something DEC 3-4. You can see a bit of a CAD signature with a high over S Ontario.
  15. One more thing. This storm produced about a 5-6f of wetbulb + dynamic cooling. Temps dropped from about 36f-30f between between 4 and 8 am when the precip moved in. This helped cause the disaster on the roads.
  16. Finally, the map we've been waiting for, but it isn't as fun without Ian here.
  17. That's a pretty strong wind and rain storm showing up offshore day 10.
  18. Made it back from king of Prussia. It's worse in Frederick than anywhere along I95, I70, I695. Glad I waited for 32 and rain before I left. They are just starting to get Frederick cleaned up now.
  19. Eps showed a 50 percent chance of over 6". Looks like that will verify.
  20. I am stuck in king of Prussia. Was done with work an hour ago but I decided not to leave
  21. Yes the laurels got 2' from that one.
  22. I just want to see a good solid thump for a few hours. Back end will probably be too far north for us, not enough cold air for the closed low to tap at this latitude. IT will be interesting from the poconos to central ne though.
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