Amped
-
Posts
14,184 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Amped
-
NAM looks like it extends the snow way further north into PA than the 18z NAM or Euro did. Probably because it's the NAM
-
GFS has a bizarre snowstorm at 318hrs for l PA and NJ. At least the old GFS fantasy range snowstorms looked somewhat physically possible.
-
I really don't see how we make this setup work. The high is over West Virginia, and doesn't extend north into New England . The scenarios suppressed enough for snow all have weak sauce
-
I'm suprised the NWS hasn't put up an "Oh Look, Flakes" Watch yet.
-
Still show a horrible H5 pattern after day 7
-
Nope we still need a late overhyped pattern change followed by a couple of small overhyped events, and a big PHL-BOS event that misses us.
-
Appears to be rather transient though. Not liking the Pac look overall. Going to be an warm period for the foreseeable future.
-
Wishing it was December 18th 2009
-
I think this is the most inconsistent I've seen models with a day 7 storm in a long time.
-
Euro is pretty bad at 120, not as far southwest as the UKMET, but close.
-
Euro gives us some snizzle. A decent hit for Eastern New England. It now has a 950mb low south of Nova scotia where there was nothing yesterday.
-
CMC has a low over hudsons bay. Not a hit unless it digs as fast as the GFS. J/K
-
That was a nasty dive. The ULL went north of STL, then still went over Jacksonville. Edit so does the surface low. Forms near Wilmington then Drops south from 180 to 192, One of the most bizarre runs I've seen.
-
GFS trying real hard this run. Edit probably going to get NC and Richmond. Took a sharp right after hr 156
-
Digging for China on this run. Just need it to come about 700 miles north. Not good when the ULL goes over Jacksonville.
-
Euro is really really doesn't want to let the southern stream take on a negative tilt. It could have started phasing in the MS valley instead of over the Bahamas, but the southern stream keeps moving southeast and stays positively tilted.
-
The cmc has like 5 different surface low centers off the coast on the 22nd.
-
GGEM going to nail the florida keys at 240.
-
Need a bit more northern stream. Usually the troff is riding the 546dm or 552dm contour in the plains when we get a hecs. This one is on the 558
-
Produces a very similar snow shield. The FEB 2010 storm had a 50/50 low much further west, and the ridge didn't fold over into the lakes like that. I'd give this one a more 2016/ 1983 hybrid look. It would easily close off H5 and match 2016 if the kicker was 12 hrs slower.
-
This thing really fizzled. Big win for DR NO and dry air. Some models from last night had warning criteria snow in a few spots. Now we're down to "Oh look flakes"
-
Thats a pretty good impression of the February 22 1987 storm on the GFS
-
Kind of an odd wind trajectory. We had a storm like this in December 2013. It was rain for a lot of the metro area although the northwestern folks got snow.
-
Well most people use the HRRR. I'm not sure what advantage the RAP offers.
-
I'm still on the fence about whether or not the 12z Euro was a hiccup. 18z will be telling.
