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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    UKie did this with the last big storm. One run 60hrs out had me with like 8". Ended up with nada.
  2. Amped
    Yeah, I just don't like these snow to 50 and heavy rain setups. Probably how this one ends up.
  3. Amped
    Can't get your Hope's up to much when the ULL track looks this bad.
  4. Amped
    Winter is always 10 days away.
  5. Amped
    Nah, we get one on February 30th every year.
  6. Amped
    Both disturbances just disappear this run. GFS is showing us some magic tricks here.
  7. Amped
    Splits the low off too far south this run. Kind of looks like what models did 1/25/00. If the baroclinic zone is a couple miles NW it will greatly affect the outcome.
  8. Amped
    GFS is digging even further west than the Icon at 126. Going to show something impressive this run.
  9. Amped
    Icon 180 has a 990mb low in the gulf. That would be the deepest non tropical low in the gulf since the blizzard of 93
  10. Amped
    1000mb south of Alabama, impressive.
  11. Amped
    Day 7.5 is the one I like the best.
  12. Amped
    Turning out to be one of the biggest rainstorms of the winter.
  13. Amped
    Got a mixed bag of shit here in Frederick
  14. Amped
    Better model agreement in the medium and long range then I've seen over the past few days.
  15. Amped
    GFS has been all over the place in this pattern. It's no more believable than it was 6 hrs ago.
  16. Amped
    We can get snow without a 50/50 low. It's just going to be more of a 2013-2014 pattern than a 2010 pattern.
  17. Amped
    I simplified it and factored out some terms. 50% rain=100% rain
  18. Amped
    GFS has a similar trend 18hrs.
  19. Amped
    NAM ICON RGEM all have the same trend, lower heights out ahead of the storm and a further southeast track. Seems like all of our trends are a day late and a buck short.
  20. Amped
    Sanity check, 2.5 hrs of snow isn't going to give you 6-10"
  21. Amped
    Icon just gave us our lemonade.
  22. Amped
    Only 10" here, half of it's probably sleet though
  23. Amped
    Sounds a bit east of the Icon
  24. Amped
    Our best chance were the runs where a lot of energy from the southern stream hung backed to the southwest. If it ejects in one big - tilted bowling ball, there's going to be a much stronger low and it's going to be a lot warmer. Unfortunately it's been trending that way.
  25. Amped
    That Temps going to jump from 19-27 between 11:59PM Monday and 12:00AM Tuesday.
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