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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    GEFS has more members and is more dispersive than it was prior to the upgrade, so I'm not really surprised.
  2. Amped
    Well if the euro is going to keep trending less progressive with tomorrows system and more progressive with the 28th then 2021 sucks as badly as 2020. It's only the one storm we need to trend slower coming out of the southwest that doesn't.
  3. Amped
    Euro has another system incoming day 7-8.
  4. Amped
    For once the GFS is slower and more amped up with the troff than the Euro.
  5. Amped
    Yes, And it will slow down through the middle of the country it always does inside 72hrs, Of course the confluence can still shove it out to sea if it doesn't lift out somewhat
  6. Amped
    The deepening rates models have been consistently showing with this storm are insane. 994-976mb in 6 hrs. 1005 to 967mb in 18hrs.
  7. Amped
    GFS is slower with higher heights ahead of the storm compared to 18Z. Also PV in canada is slower and weaker The high is back also.
  8. Amped
    Gets down to 957mb 500 miles east of Atlantic City
  9. Amped
    That is the ULL from the first storm and it did not treat our high kindly.
  10. Amped
    CMC has an ULL north of the great lakes. No other model shows this feature. It's our only hope at getting something to phase and come up the coast.
  11. Amped
    Fringed, but who cares? It's weak sauce anyways. A miller B with a 997 primary. Jackpot east of ohio is 6".
  12. Amped
  13. Amped
    Would be odd to have a historic storm on both the east and west coasts at the same time.
  14. Amped
    You can see the trend of higher heights over E Canada which caused the shift north in track. 700mb temps also look pretty ugly at the height of the storm. Sleet wouldn't be suprising up to the NY PA border. -2c 700mb temps usually means there's a layer above 0c in there somewhere.
  15. Amped
    Retrograding ridge as HM pointed out
  16. Amped
    Josh would chase this thing if it were over land.
  17. Amped
    1003-984 in 6 hrs
  18. Amped
    Almost like we've seen that map before
  19. Amped
    Euro looks very good at 162hrs. Low heading up the southern apps. Lots of cold air ahead of it.
  20. Amped
    Icon looks a bit strung out.
  21. Amped
    Looks very similar to PD I. Small fast moving ULL with a strong high over NNE
  22. Amped
    Yes, doesn't look like it was on any prior Euro runs.
  23. Amped
    ULL north of MN causes probelms, but it does not phase. The coastal goes east off NJ
  24. Amped
    CMC is not digging the NS as much as the GFS or it's 00z run at 72hrs. Probably good news.
  25. Amped
    GFS digs the NS too much. We need it flatter and more progressive so it gets out of the way and allows the HP to build in before the SS.
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