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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Most of the CAM don't have storms in our are until well after 00z. Not the best time for tornados. NRN PA and NY get convection earlier in the day, they probably have a better chance.
  2. I can't see the center, but it's likely way west of the forecast track
  3. Looks like it's snowing all the way down to the coast in Fairfield/ Bridgeport.
  4. A lot of thunder is better than we normally get with the synaptic system squall lines.. Usually it's indistinguishable from a gardener accidentally hitting the window with the hose for 10 seconds.
  5. Can we get a storm with winds stronger than the synaptic winds behind the coldfront? Thats all I want
  6. GFS has a bizarre snowstorm at 318hrs for l PA and NJ. At least the old GFS fantasy range snowstorms looked somewhat physically possible.
  7. Still show a horrible H5 pattern after day 7
  8. Appears to be rather transient though. Not liking the Pac look overall. Going to be an warm period for the foreseeable future.
  9. Imagine if there was a bulls ass that could talk, and screamed "Hey everyone look at me" every 2 minutes. You think people would catch on and stop falling for it after 70+ years but apparently sometimes they don't.
  10. I hope a hurricane permanently stalls off the coast so we can hallucinate on which way it's moving 365 days a year.
  11. Somebody smash the HMON and the HWRF now. Their track outputs are not supposed to be taken seriously.
  12. TV Mets are going to have to start calling "the eye" of the Dorian "The Pupil" so they don't confuse the public.
  13. Freeport, spends 24hrs in the eye on the Euro. Plenty of buildings to destroy there, I don't know how well built they are, but they are going to need to hold up to CAT 4/5
  14. After the performance over the past 24hrs, I think every model and every ensemble member should should be completely tossed.
  15. Euro has a pretty strong low coming out of the central plains into the Ohio Valley late next week. It would likely result in a multiday severe outbreak. GFS looks totally different.
  16. 2018 Tornado stats from 4 states I handpicked. Tells most of the 2018 story. WY: 14 OK: 10 VA:10 ID:9 Edit: Another tornado, right after I make the post. And of course, it's in Wyoming
  17. Now this is almost like a storm moving up the Gulf of California.
  18. Looks like the deathband totals got killed by the upslope totals in a very slow painful way.
  19. 15:1 should be about the maximum ratio allowed on large snowstorm >20". If you have more than 30, you better have >2" liquid.
  20. NH and Maine look like they're getting rocked just as hard as MASS
  21. Yeah kind of an odd sounding there's lift above and below H7
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