andyhb
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Everything posted by andyhb
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Tomorrow's threat is legit in Upstate NY and Central PA, Beryl has already been a prolific tornado producer.
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Great catch for a TC chase. The dry air aloft that interfered with Beryl's redevelopment in the Gulf definitely helped these things yesterday and the hodographs were quite favorable for long lived/cyclic supercells.
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That makes me seasick just watching it, yikes. -
Nevermind yes, looked like it stayed barely off the coast. Otherwise it probably would've been another Gilbert for them.
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Extensive, high end wind damage on Carriacou. Many, many structures with roofs torn off and a good number that are completely destroyed, near complete vegetation loss.
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That's just a straight buzzsaw.
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Definitely making a run at a 5 right now.
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150 mph at landfall, absolutely unreal.
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Carriacou and Union Island are getting absolutely smashed right now. For reference, this is perhaps the most powerful hurricane to ever affect this portion of the Windward Islands. The catastrophic 1780 hurricane was likely more intense, but it passed further north with a direct hit on Barbados. Only Ivan and (less so) Janet are comparisons in the modern era. Utterly insane for this to be happening on July 1st.
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That’s a Cat 4, FL winds of 126 kts and a less suspect SFMR of 124 kts. Easily should be enough to push it to 115 kts. Unprecedented.
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Microwave passes continue to steadily improve. Nearly a closed eyewall now.
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Thank you, good lord.
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New SHIPS run continues with amazingly high probabilities of RI for this region this early in the season, especially the 65 kt/72 hour threshold. Can't be stressed enough that this part of the Atlantic and Caribbean is usually where TCs go to die this early in the year.
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Sunday looks potentially impressive.
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This cane season is really going to go to hell in a hand-basket, isn't it...
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Also that very intense (unwarned for a time, yikes) tornado near Whitman Nebraska. That supercell in N OK was massive, good local chase.
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Ryan has the best seat in the house.
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Pretty great structure on the cell coming into Hartford too.
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Tornado warning for Hartford.
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They don't make them like this very often in these parts.
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Look out for that cell coming into the Hartford metro. Rapidly strengthening.
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Wonder if that cell gets a boost as it comes down into the Merrimack Valley, which would not be ideal for Manchester.
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