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andyhb

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by andyhb

  1. andyhb
    Not going to to get much more into specifics on this one right now, but the trough ejection on multiple models here looks favorable for a higher end threat, especially in Oklahoma.
  2. andyhb
    Supercell on that boundary in the Austin area could be bad news, especially with rush hour on I-35.
  3. andyhb
    Looks like a tornado approaching West Union OH with the same storm.
  4. andyhb
    Strong tornado in progress in E TN NE of Wartburg right now. Edit: also a tornado in progress NE of Louisville.
  5. andyhb
    Significant tornado in progress in central WV. Also its 71/64 with a south wind at Covington KY (Cincinnati metro) rn. Anyone calling bust/counting out at least SW OH for later needs to take a step back.
  6. andyhb
    A lot of convection over OK and MO that is going to need to be worked out before we figure what tomorrow's ceiling is. I will say that this is on the "more inhibitive" side in terms of convective coverage from what I've seen in past events.
  7. andyhb
    Outbreak potential with intense/long-tracked tornadoes mentioned in that outlook.
  8. andyhb
    12z HRRR was knocking on the door of a high risk for IN/OH.
  9. andyhb
    Yeah there's definitely something eerie about a potentially significant severe threat one day before the 50th anniversary of, hands down, the worst tornado outbreak to ever affect the Ohio Valley.
  10. andyhb
    Probably should consider a separate thread for this one soon. The 12z NAM also brought back a significant threat after losing it at 00z.
  11. andyhb
    Yes the 18z NAM is absolutely nasty on Tuesday. Granted, that probably won't hold, although its 500 mb setup isn't much different than the other models. The low levels will make or break this along with prior convection from Monday.
  12. andyhb
    Well yeah, you used to live in Florida.
  13. andyhb
    Tuesday looks potentially volatile in the OV on the 12z GFS and Euro. 40-50 kt SW/WSW LLJ with a potent vort ejecting out of the Plains positive tilt trough. Moisture looks like a non-issue, the primary fly in the ointment looks to be the degree of veering in the surface winds, which will also be tied to the timing of the ejecting wave/potential phasing with the northern stream.
  14. andyhb
    7 tornadoes confirmed thus far in the ILN CWA.
  15. andyhb
    Now high end EF3. Have some suspicion that there are a few points that may be consideration for EF4. The Taco Bell and the church that were both completely destroyed in particular.
  16. andyhb
    I'm not sure on the number of confirmed dead. The last more official statement I saw was 3 dead with the likelihood to rise. Also I believe the Lakeview tornado has been upgraded to EF3 from the earlier EF2 PNS in Orchard Island.
  17. andyhb
    The fatalities in Winchester were redacted later. I think someone got "casualties" lost in translation or something of the sort.
  18. andyhb
    https://www.whio.com/news/local/injuries-storm-related-damage-reported-mercer-county/ZE7JIPWZNNAFVKOUSCV3VTT5N4/ Fatalities confirmed in Logan Co. OH from the Wapakoneta/Lakeview tornado.
  19. andyhb
  20. andyhb
  21. andyhb
    Need a separate thread for this.
  22. andyhb
    00z ILN sounding is very favorable for strong tornadoes.
  23. andyhb
    Tornado in Lakeview OH earlier.
  24. andyhb
    Winchester IN just had a tornado go right through the middle of town. This is turning into a tornado outbreak very quickly.
  25. andyhb
    Big wedge tornado approaching Lakeview OH.
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