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andyhb

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by andyhb

  1. andyhb
    Warning has that line moving E at 75 mph. Widespread wind damage likely in the Pittsburgh metro. Also TPIT is down.
  2. andyhb
    Significant severe wx event is possible tomorrow across much of MO. Very strong shear and favorable boundary orientation for semi discrete supercells should instability be sufficient. CAMs are in strong agreement.
  3. andyhb
    Potentially significant severe event setting up for MO/W IL on Sunday with instability/moisture being the main question. Potent, negatively tilted wave quickly ejects across the S Plains during the afternoon and a 50+ kt LLJ provides very strong low level shear ahead of the Pacific front most of the day.
  4. andyhb
    Violent tornado with that Byhalia MS cell. 80 kt VROT, huge TDS.
  5. andyhb
    Large tornado moving directly into Selmer TN, pop nearly 4500, this could be bad.
  6. andyhb
    And another strong tornado near Senatobia MS.
  7. andyhb
    Strong tornado in progress near Middleton TN currently, perfectly discrete supercell.
  8. andyhb
    Warehouse collapsed with people trapped near Brownsburg IN (west side of Indy) from the tornado earlier.
  9. andyhb
    This ACARS profile from St. Louis is bad news from E MO/central IL should any storms get loose ahead of the line. Extremely favorable hodograph for tornadic supercells and a weakening cap.
  10. andyhb
    IN/W OH may have some issues later.
  11. andyhb
    Tomorrow could be a very serious severe weather event across KS and southward into OK, particularly in the evening. Incredible shear profiles will overlap with rapidly returning moisture along a 50-70 kt LLJ and weak CIN ahead of a rather potent dryline.
  12. andyhb
    12z Euro is also a major event. Very volatile parameter space across a very large area with relatively subtle forcing for ascent and a weak cap is a recipe for trouble.
  13. andyhb
    Really, really need a thread for 4/2-3 here soon. Major outbreak on the 12z GFS from IL/IN all the way southward to central MS.
  14. andyhb
    Could be a pretty nasty nocturnal threat with this one especially closer to the Ohio River.
  15. andyhb
    Volatile, potential widespread severe setup on the 12z Euro/EPS/AIFS next week around 4/2 @RCNYILWX. Have seen that synoptic pattern before and it's consistent with significant GL/Midwest/OV severe events. This has been showing up for several runs now while the GFS is off in la-la land.
  16. andyhb
    Moisture is mixing out too much, temperatures getting too warm.
  17. andyhb
    Pretty much a no-brainer on the 21z RAP. There's enough columnar CAPE for robust updrafts as well.
  18. andyhb
    The LCLs on the 15z RAP and 18z HRRR are plenty workable for some tornadoes should the thermodynamics verify this way.
  19. andyhb
    Another EF4 tornado confirmed near Tylertown MS on 3/15. First outbreak to have 3+ violent tornadoes since 4/12-13/2020.
  20. andyhb
    High end EF4 tornado confirmed in Diaz AR from 3/14 with 190 mph winds. First violent tornado of the year. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/lsr/#LZK/202503150423/202503150423/111010
  21. andyhb
    Heavy damage reported from the earlier tornado near Plantersville and Maplesville AL, with deaths. Large tornado currently in progress north of Jackson's Gap in Tallapoosa Co. AL.
  22. andyhb
    3 fatalities near Tylertown MS with that earlier large tornado that went through there.
  23. andyhb
    Extensive damage near Poplar Bluff with possible fatalities, trailer park hit.
  24. andyhb
    At least 4 separate large tornadoes in progress simultaneously right now. This is insane.
  25. andyhb
    Large tornado in progress near Des Arc, MO.
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