Holy jesus, just had a meso go right over top of me that then produced a tornado on the E side of Moore moving up towards Midwest City. That was way too close.
We might have severe weather problems on Halloween around these parts into KS. Trough orientation has become increasingly favorable with time and good moisture available for the time of year (low-mid 60s dewpoints).
One thing that would be unideal would be Milton impacting the northern coast of the Yucatan from the west, which would be an extremely rare event and would put Merida (the largest city in the state) and several resort towns at high risk.
Kind of leaning towards this one underperforming given the magnitude of dry air and shear that begins to influence it as it moves closer to landfall. Environment is going to become very hostile and we should see rapid weakening from whatever the peak is.