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1234snow

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Everything posted by 1234snow

  1. I know that our focus is the snow but check out the 2m Temp anomaly on Tropical Tidbits from the 12z GFS. Wild watching the cold front plow thru the Gulf of Mexico and Southeast states. One thing seems to be guaranteed is that this is a potent cold shot. 12z GFS was a fun run in general. Plenty of opportunities to track on that run after Christmas storm.
  2. Nothing at all here. Mostly light rain with maybe some flakes mixing in. Down to 35 now. Micro climates can suck. Get downsloped in every direction possible. Warm pocket always stays here the longest and the precip gets eaten away. Congrats to all on a nice start to the season.
  3. Very surprised that MRX has accumulating snow wording already for a system next week. That is a rarity for sure. I hope that everyone has a great Thanksgiving! I’ve been reading and lurking in the background. Pleasantly surprised that we already have multiple chances to track over the next few weeks. I did not expect that at all. I figured we would continue the wall to wall warmth straight out of our warm fall into most of winter with minimal cold shots. The atmosphere seems to be acting like a Nino instead of a Nina for the next few weeks. Give me some high latitude blocking potential, +PNA, and an active subtropical jet and we will surely score one hit in December.
  4. Very cool the last few mornings. I didn’t happen to look at what the records are but low 40’s feels really darn cold to my body this early lol.
  5. Couplet has intensified in KY northeast of Pineville:
  6. Finally the KY storm is tornado warned. I got -91mph on the last RadarScope scan.
  7. Just crossed I-40 minutes ago. An area that certainly doesn’t need another tornado this year.
  8. Tornado warned storm east of Lebanon/Nashville is moving along I-40 with possibly a couplet developing:
  9. Etowah storm report of 1.75” hail (golf ball). If in the path northeast of there I would certainly cover vehicles if possible. Appears Tellico Plains will get squeezed in between the 2 cells. Also a warned storm on the plateau.
  10. Have our first severe warned storm with up to 1” hail working into Etowah and up the southern portions of the Valley.
  11. 0z HI-RES NAM is wanting to move the line into the mountains by morning.
  12. The line appears to be making good progress eastward. I guess time till tell where it may get hung up at.
  13. Really concerned about the Plateau counties into SE KY tonight and into the morning. If the 18z HI-RES NAM is to be believed 4-6” of rain will fall by tomorrow afternoon. 23z HRRR shifts the axis of the heavy rain of 4-5” from over Chattanooga up the spine of the mountains. Anyway you slice it someone in our forum area will have some very dangerous flash flooding.
  14. Camp Creek gust of 123mph was ruled erroneous after quality control. Gust was revised to 81mph.
  15. All local tv Mets have used the 123mph measurement on social media this morning. [emoji2960]
  16. This morning’s rains have already brought .75 to over an inch for much of SWVA.
  17. Kingsport needs to watch out for hail over the next hour or so. Already half inch hail reported. Also some idiot lit a brush fire about 10 minutes ago. Wind is howling.
  18. SPC outlook today. Large hail and damaging winds the threat this evening across NETN/SWVA.
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