Brian5671

any cold air? The GFS is warm

Not much cold air anywhere per the GEFS in the next week to 10 days. January will have some fairly high positive temp deparatures given that many places around here are running +4 to +6 -

we'll need to rely on clippers or small events-maybe one will bomb out ala Miller B.

models coming into line for a big rain event mainly NY east Friday night into Sat will break a 15 day streak of no precip -

Nothing on the ground down here outside of parking lot piles from the 12/17 storm-reached 43 degrees....has been b/w 34 and 38 for a good week here until today....

did feel nice in the sun today. If it isn't going to snow give me warmth

stop reading what out of area forums are saying-a great pattern for Boston does not necessarily mean a great pattern here. if you look at models and what people are saying HERE 1. PAC jet is strong, record breaking and shows no sign of abating 2 airmass is polar/continental and not arctic-hence Saturday's event is rain 3. models continue to push the great pattern out, first it was 1/15, now it's 1/20...see the trend-remind you of anything? - it will snow probably a couple to a few times but this pattern doesn't seem as exciting as it did last week

that's 7 to 10 days away as usual. The calls for colder weather and storms have not come and models verify warmer and drier as it gets closer....

Pac hasn't cooperated in 3 years....doubt it starts now-this pattern doesnt look all that exciting anymore

Starting to feel like last year where the models had a great pattern then right about 1/15 or so, the rug gets pulled out....

This remains the big issue. Most places have less than a quarter inch of precip this month and the trend looks to continue-can argue over cutters and what's a great pattern but without any storms who cares what the pattern looks like.

I'd tend to agree-I feel like we get our best patterns with a -EPO

if there's no cold air behind the front it's not all that tricky. This looks like a garbage airmass...

No cold air though

The weeklies can be iffy-last 2 years they showed a great pattern that never came to fruition. I take them with a grain of salt past week 3

tick tock tick tock we better get something by the end of January....

next 10 days on GFS: Bone dry

Most stations are +4 to +5. Night time lows driving the warmth. Daytime highs are not that far from normal.

that's why you have to be cautious and limit the reading the twittersphere hysteria with calls of 09-10 and other stuff meant to click on their posts.. - people starting to fight on other forums, that's another sign the pattern is going down the tubes....

most of northern Louisiana is under a winter storm warning. LOL-can you say southern storm track?

truly cold air has been scarce since the cold winters of 13-14 and 14-15.

it's quickly falling apart now. We'll be lucky to squeeze in one decent event at this rate

Boring pattern for sure. Winter storm watches in central TX where the storm track is.

I remember a stretch were we once got 3 in one week!