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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    what a horrid model-there's nothing to keep it SE like a big high or extreme blocking
  2. Brian5671
    Give me one or two of these tracks later in winter and we'll all be happy....
  3. Brian5671
    a foot for Worcester and inland SNE east of I-91. Not much for Boston or other coastal spots. Sharp cut off of QPF N and W areas....
  4. Brian5671
    DT has a check list on his site for HECS/MECS type storms-this is one them-want the ridge axis over Idaho or somewhere like that. 50-50 low, banana high, etc
  5. Brian5671
    Let's get this track later in Dec and early Jan when the airmasses are better!
  6. Brian5671
    precip field much further west on the 3K NAM. Regular NAM only has about .50 QPF for the NYC area when as the 3K is triple that amount.
  7. Brian5671
    going to be tough right on the coast for BOS
  8. Brian5671
    Ski resorts rejoice after a slow start...
  9. Brian5671
    Yeah the lack of a cold high ahead of time is the killer here.
  10. Brian5671
    18z GFS with its usual suppressed solution at this range....
  11. Brian5671
    Go with warmth, you'll rarely be wrong these days....
  12. Brian5671
    I'd agree. Classic case of later and later development as someone above noted...
  13. Brian5671
    Euro has been slowly moving the precip max east last 3 runs. NE PA and Catskills get close to nothing now where the big rains and snows are now over New England.
  14. Brian5671
    Thats why OP models are a waste of time beyond day 5 or 6
  15. Brian5671
    GFS and CMC show a suppressed solution with almost no precip north and west of NYC. With no cold high to the north, I'd doubt such solutions
  16. Brian5671
    it's a wind driven rainstorm for 98% of the board on a weekend day no less, why would anyone get excited over that?
  17. Brian5671
    It's the 84 hr NAM, that's why....
  18. Brian5671
    Euro is wet with up to 5 inches of rain in areas
  19. Brian5671
    the coming days in the 40's will feel frigid....
  20. Brian5671
    Coldest day here on Upton's forecast is next Monday with a high of 43-rest of the days are warmer. Seasonable to slightly above
  21. Brian5671
    Good show here-had their been leaves on the trees we'd have a fair amount of issues-also the 11/16 storm took down some of the weak/dead wood.
  22. Brian5671
    once the rain ends winds have a tougher time mixing down plus the LLJ is moving east now.
  23. Brian5671
    Good thing the leaves are down...
  24. Brian5671
    winds picking up here-heavy windswept rains 58 degrees
  25. Brian5671
    High wind warning for Suffolk Cty
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