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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    it's just that it will feel bitter after the warmth of the last 7 weeks
  2. Brian5671
    no leaf buds here-but some daffodils stalks have pushed through a bit.
  3. Brian5671
    No cold air....
  4. Brian5671
    I remember it well. A 4 inch snowstorm was like a HECS back then. (hell, this year a 1 inch storm would be a HECS) just days of gloom and light rain
  5. Brian5671
    this is one difference from the mild winters of 01-02 and 11-12-those came with dry/sunny days for basically weeks on end
  6. Brian5671
    great year for VT/NH/ME ski resorts. I'm heading to Okemo in March-hoping the snows continue for another month
  7. Brian5671
    almost comical at this point
  8. Brian5671
    BDR here has 10-11 inches which is amazing given the horrid pattern...we got 4 in the Jan storm and some smaller stuff in early December
  9. Brian5671
    upton has us near 50 on Thursday....
  10. Brian5671
    yep know when to hold em and when to throw them. When models backed off the late Jan pattern change about a week out, that's when I threw in the towel personally.
  11. Brian5671
    it's the CFS so take it for what's it worth....(or any model 2 months out)
  12. Brian5671
    Borrowed from JB's post this AM-but the CFS for April-here comes winter! -
  13. Brian5671
    No cold high to the north is the other issue here
  14. Brian5671
    The 80's had some incredible cold shots. Alot of cold with bare ground back then as it was hard to get anything to line up with a storm (+NAO/AO pattern then) We've seen none of that the past 2 years. I did tell my kids the same thing this AM when they asked why it hasn't snowed much...I said, "welcome to my childhood"!
  15. Brian5671
    nothing to support a snowstorm-every telly remains unfavorable.
  16. Brian5671
    if the seasonal trend is any indicator-those projected temps will warm as we get closer
  17. Brian5671
    same ol pattern-any cold shot either doesn't happen or moderates as it gets closer in time. GFS/GEFS terrible with the LR cold bias. Best to stick with Euro/EPS
  18. Brian5671
    not a bad look-if (big if) we can get on the right side of the gradient b/w the SE ridge and the cold air, the storm track could work for us-models show the corridor from TX to NE to be wetter than normal next few weeks.
  19. Brian5671
    the third reason is the AO/NAO-I wonder if either the MJO or the PV influenced that at all?
  20. Brian5671
    that warm water N of Australia was a warning shot that our winter was going to have issues (warm water would point to the MJO wanting to go back to 5/6 which it has now done twice)
  21. Brian5671
    When I see a cold pattern, I'll go cold, the last 3 years have been an inferno...deal with it. Just because the EPS has a solution you don't like is not reason to call it a terrible model when it has the highest verification score....had the model showed an ice age I'm sure you'd be saying it's great.
  22. Brian5671
    How many times has it snowed this winter?....yeah, I'll go with more futility. EPS is the highest verifying model to answer your question. Ignore it at your own risk
  23. Brian5671
    missing that blocking we used to get
  24. Brian5671
    Pattern is so hostile-too much to fix...even if the pattern became 50% better, it might not help....confidence growing that we just torch right into March
  25. Brian5671
    fitting for this winter
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