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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. could be a rain to snow storm if it were to be a slow mover-anything fast will outrun the incoming colder air mass. We finally get a nice track and then have no cold air! Can't make this stuff up.
  2. 2-4 is a good bet, CT and HV 3-5. South facing shores less, maybe 1-2
  3. it's a couple of inches of snow, they are not canceling for that lol
  4. if you made that call at this point last year one would have been correct. NYC finished with about 20 inches with a similar YTD going into the 1/20 period. Finished around 30 here but most of that was from the Nov storm (6) and March storm (11)
  5. tomorrow will be pivotal for this call. If NYC gets less than 2 inches then this call is looking good-if they put up a 4 or 5 then much tougher IMO.
  6. classic nuisance event, but it's a HECS this year. Happy it's a Saturday-no kids getting out early etc.
  7. I actually hope this becomes the 50/50 low for the next storm...
  8. LOL. I did think you were talking CMC and not Euro. My Bad, but that's not an arctic airmass (outside of ME/NH/VT and even that is retreating) and the overall pattern sucks and does not look to be changing. It's like last year but only warmer... I hope we get something in Feb, but I won't bet the ranch on it.
  9. you're putting lipstick on a pig---..and who cares anyway it's a 216 hr prog on an OP model.
  10. that "cold air" is rain back to JB and some ZR/Sleet in the Hudson Valley. Better than yesterday too, but pattern still not anything to get excited about
  11. that's not great either-awesome track yet's it's rain back to JB....
  12. on the canadian? No it's in the 40's (edit-sorry I thought this was the CMC you were referencing-did not see the euro)
  13. Boring run for sure-granted after day 6 it's all fantasy but it has 2 cutters the entire run after this weekend's cutter. At least give us an exciting Southeaster or something....
  14. Too many other things to fix IMO. We will certainly see some snow chances but if you read Iso's update, there's not much to get excited about if you're looking for anything cold/snowy sustained pattern
  15. completely agree. Seems like nothing wants to work out this year....no help anywhere
  16. COD or low amplitude 4/5/6 could be ok-any amplitude in the warm phases and we'll torch like the 1st half of the month
  17. -PNA and SE ridge sounds like more cutters or at best snow to rain as noted in the outlook. (and any cold to dump out west or best case midwest)
  18. Reminds be a bit of Jan 2002 and Jan 2012-a very warm dry month with one moderate snow event around 1/20 (which was the biggest of the winter both times)
  19. OP models are a joke after 5-6 days, but it's amazing to see them with zero snow for us for the entirety of the run after this weekend. Not even a 384 hr fantasy blizzard
  20. Brutal out there with the wind today-19 degrees with 35mph gusts
  21. It's not all that different from last year. (it's actually warmer) The same issues exist. Locked in poor pattern with no sign of an end
  22. Like Bluewave said-the 11-15 day range is not all that accurate, it gets more play these days with the rise of social media.
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