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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. MJO has also been correcting longer and stronger into 7 and now 8....Interesting piece on the bias to the COD at the end of the run I never knew that
  2. imagine that-we get a crazy -NAO and NC and VA get the snow...I think heads would pop off here if that happened...LOL
  3. Amen, we've only had an inch at a time this winter so a few inches would be like a HECS. LOL. Currently partly sunny here and 62. We've had colder days in April!
  4. Yep-it's out here too. Tomorrow will have the same possibility.
  5. Yep-favored the coast for sure-had about 15-16 inches here in CT.
  6. early Jan 2018 storm was widespread I believe-that came at the end of a bitter cold 10 day outbreak-was all snow I think
  7. The early March snow here last year (2019) was all snow and I'm on the coast (I know it wasn't further south)
  8. you're definitely in the wrong place-we rarely keep snow on the ground for more than a couple of days-a week is big.
  9. great trends last few days, let's hope for a nice period of cold and hopefully some storms
  10. remember 06-07-tropical to freezer in a week and it stayed that way.
  11. the cool down is starting to look legit, however there will be a crazy MTD +++ departure by 1/15. Some will obviously get erased depending on the extent of the pattern change,.
  12. turned out it was-I think we had 3-4 inches after the pattern broke down in early February....it never reloaded, just became warm and dry which was a god send with 50 inches of snow on the ground....imagine if a bunch of cutters had set up ala Jan 96?
  13. wonder if someone could put up a +35 this weekend? Saturday Nightime lows alone are close to record daytime highs
  14. Always true, however there is history, 06-07 when from blowtorch to freezer for the 2nd half. 89-90 was freezer to blowtorch. So it's on the table. But I agree, there's nothing at present to show that.
  15. Weeklies have been horrid last 2 years, so I would toss them even if it showed a 95-96 pattern. Last year it showed that every run for the LR and it never came.
  16. I would think we could see a crazy storm (liquid or frozen) somewhere with this???
  17. actually feels like January with a low of 19 here. Upton going for 62 here Sunday!
  18. We could see a rare January thunderstorm this weekend, we'll have to settle for that, but agree, very boring pattern going back to mid-December or so.
  19. A trip through 7/8/1/2 would be the holy grail-still in lala land though but better trend last night.
  20. Saw an article that great lakes ice cover trails even last year...LOL. Stores have stocks of ice melt, snowblowers, sleds that are just sitting there. On the bright side Jan heating bills will be lower especially those with Nat Gas
  21. Polar vortex-strong Atlantic blocking-nowhere to be found Pacific blocking-neutral to slight PNA-negative MJO-warm phases - model runs are only part of the package-if they are getting something noted above wrong the error only gets worse as one heads further out... what I see above is not exactly what I want to see for a prolonged wintry stretch (not just temps, but snow/ice) in our area
  22. I'll give an example-several days ago models had an ice storm for Cleveland this weekend. Now they have thunderstorms and record warmth this weekend. SE ridge way under modeled so everything will end up further N and W and thus warmer for many
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