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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. If at all. No guarantee on 7/8-that's out in lala land at this point 2012 was a dry inferno after the 10 day winter in January-March was dry and 60's and 70's and we even had an 80 or 2.
  2. Lots of new Terrain in the past 5 years-Peak 6 and 7 are great, your ticket is also good at Vail, Beaver Creek Keystone and A-Basin
  3. I'm heading out to Breck 1/19-1/26-looks like another banner year out there....
  4. crazy gradient there...Jesus-looks like an April Back door front, interesting if the gradient can slip south a bit...maybe some chances for mix precip or snow in an awful pattern
  5. Total waste-way too early for good snows most of the time. Need that in February
  6. Let's hope, but when was the last time we saw a good 7/8/1/2 rotation? My concern is that it goes into the COD and then comes back to 4/5/6 again
  7. my comment was noting that it's been on roids last 2 years, not neccesarily going forward...(but that would not shock me given the dumpster fire we find ourselves in)
  8. weeklies have been iffy past week 3-4, I would not put too much stock in those-remember last year? Horrid beyond a doubt. With that said, if we CAN get the ridge pushed far enough south and there's good cold to the north, could be a nice conveyor belt of storms/battle zone-we just need to be on the right side of it.
  9. SE ridge on roids last 2 years....as noted above, very Nina like
  10. What I hope we don't see is a continued push back into 4-5-6 like we saw last year. That Australian hot water doesn't bode well IMO as it doesn't appear to be going anywhere.
  11. Agreed-models always seen to nail the warmth--even in cold periods, it seems the cold is on the doorstep before the models catch on....
  12. DCA +6.0 NYC +5.0 BOS +4.5 ORD 0 ATL + 6.0 IAH +3.0 DEN -3.0 PHX -4.5 SEA -4.0
  13. Hideous for cold/snow lovers. Only hope is some of the cold in Canada bleeds south and we can get a well timed system. Otherwise, close the shades for a month and maybe more.
  14. the GFS has a cold bias in the LR and you're looking at an OP model past day 10....
  15. this could be one of those crazy +5/+6 monthly temp departure
  16. reminds me a bit of 01-02 and 11-12-not that we're warm and dry, but those years I looked at the maps and saw what we are seeing today-way too much to fix at least in the short to medium term...
  17. hideous pattern....+EPO, +AO, +NAO, -NAO, strong PV over the pole, MJO warm phases of 4/5/6 on repeat. Can't get any worse really.
  18. Back to tracking the long term again....Euro had us all for a moment....
  19. That's all it takes really. That's always on the table no matter the winter or pattern. Ok maybe not 01-02 or 11-12
  20. True. The other thing I don't like is the strong PV over the pole. Want to see that weaken or get broken up. I don't see alot to get excited about honestly.
  21. we're 2.5 days out-today's model trends are certainly a big disappointment. If we miss this week and early next week, it's possible we go virtually snowless for Jan unless the very end of January delivers. The 80's are back!
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