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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. I don't recall a winter like that. Last year was close-but the biggest snow was in Nov, without that we would have gone close to snowless until the March events came...
  2. if we get to 2/1 and we're still where we are now, it's all but over-usually if the pattern doesn't really change by then, it's not going to. Last year is a good example-we did get a 6-10 day stretch in early March but by and large things stayed the same, mild and relatively snowless
  3. that's 72/73 type bad. Even 01-02 and 11-12 had 4-6 inches by the end of January.
  4. IF NYC gets to 1/31 with 1.5 inches of snow that has to be among the all time lows for the first 2/3 of met winter
  5. I'm going out of LGA Sunday morning-headed to CO to ski for a week-I'll get my fill of snow out there.
  6. I have yet to take out a snow shovel or snow blower. Big 5 gallon bucket of rock salt has been sitting in my garage untouched since Dec '18. Feels like the 1980's have come back
  7. Agree. And it was not even a true arctic airmass. Once this became slower and drier we were in trouble. By the time precip gets here we are warmer with south winds
  8. close the shades for a week. It's not worth losing sleep over. More important things in life...
  9. reminds me of a storm last year on this same weekend-trended warmer and warmer right up to the event-got a sloppy inch here and then it rained moderately all day
  10. Stronger lows in the eastern Lakes won't work out here....I could see a mainly rain event if that trend continues
  11. Even if so, what an amazing run, 12 years without a below normal couplet. I had thought BDR was close to normal last year after the March snows brought us up but if we did finish below it was just below.
  12. it's not purely arctic and winds off the relatively warm water will change it quick-I'd expect an inch or less right on the south coast of LI, NC and NJ coast unless something changes
  13. sounds like Feb 89...although there was absolutely nothing before this storm-garbage winter and then a bust on a KU to end it....
  14. That would be great and then torch late March into April for a change....
  15. GFS slower-turning into a Sat night event - looks like mainly rain epscially city and south after a burst of snow up front
  16. The Euro is cold for that time as well, but not quite that cold.
  17. Cool If we get a run through 7/8/1/2 we should really be in business here
  18. agree with BX not much will close for this-you need a monster storm for that to be the case.
  19. One thing that helped us in November 2018 was that the snow came in like a wall, went from nothing to heavy snow in a matter of 30 minutes. That setup always helps b/c by the time the warm midlevels arrive the bulk of the precip has fallen.
  20. the other issue is that midlevel warmth usually comes in faster than modeled, I'd expect a quicker change to sleet as it transitions from snow to rain
  21. I actually turned off the heat here Saturday to Sunday-set it back on last night before we went to bed. Amazing
  22. feels frigid out there at 38 degrees. You know winter's been bad when that's the case. Let's hope the weekend system works out.
  23. Front moving through shortly-one last burst of rain here 55 degrees
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