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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    Go with warmth, you'll rarely be wrong these days....
  2. Brian5671
    I'd agree. Classic case of later and later development as someone above noted...
  3. Brian5671
    Euro has been slowly moving the precip max east last 3 runs. NE PA and Catskills get close to nothing now where the big rains and snows are now over New England.
  4. Brian5671
    Thats why OP models are a waste of time beyond day 5 or 6
  5. Brian5671
    GFS and CMC show a suppressed solution with almost no precip north and west of NYC. With no cold high to the north, I'd doubt such solutions
  6. Brian5671
    it's a wind driven rainstorm for 98% of the board on a weekend day no less, why would anyone get excited over that?
  7. Brian5671
    It's the 84 hr NAM, that's why....
  8. Brian5671
    Euro is wet with up to 5 inches of rain in areas
  9. Brian5671
    the coming days in the 40's will feel frigid....
  10. Brian5671
    Coldest day here on Upton's forecast is next Monday with a high of 43-rest of the days are warmer. Seasonable to slightly above
  11. Brian5671
    Good show here-had their been leaves on the trees we'd have a fair amount of issues-also the 11/16 storm took down some of the weak/dead wood.
  12. Brian5671
    once the rain ends winds have a tougher time mixing down plus the LLJ is moving east now.
  13. Brian5671
    Good thing the leaves are down...
  14. Brian5671
    winds picking up here-heavy windswept rains 58 degrees
  15. Brian5671
    High wind warning for Suffolk Cty
  16. Brian5671
    would be rain anyway-no cold high-we usually don't do well with Low pressure north of the lakes
  17. Brian5671
    all snowfall duds. The only one that delivered was 10-11 with the strong blocking that developed.
  18. Brian5671
    That's why I'm hoping the pattern delays a bit-12/10- to 12/30 would be bit better....
  19. Brian5671
    blocking would be great as long as there's some decent arctic air to lock in....
  20. Brian5671
    I'd want to see the ridge more pronounced, that would promote airflow from the NW vs a W to E flow across Canada which would just be PAC garbage air.
  21. Brian5671
    Canada is torched with that fast PAC flow-there's no blocking either-yes it's a deep trough but that's not overly cold and it's very early december-climo still against us
  22. Brian5671
    too bad there's no cold air. That will just give us 30's and rain....
  23. Brian5671
    JB always gives hope to the weenies. He does say that he expects a mild winter overall in the east...
  24. Brian5671
    JB hasn't nailed a winter pattern in 3 years....
  25. Brian5671
    66 here
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