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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    The 401 hour GFS showed something yesterday so he had to wait for that....
  2. Brian5671
    seems like it happens every 10 yrs or so, 2001 and 2011 featured an exceptionally strong PV over the pole which kept the cold air locked up there and Alaska.
  3. Brian5671
    Not much cold air though even if it did flip. I think this ends up being a 2002, 2012 style spring-warm and dry with a mainly zonal flow.
  4. Brian5671
    I'm thinking of moving all my stuff back to the shed-takes up room in the garage and it's just collecting dust at this point.
  5. Brian5671
    Then the PV strengthening in Jan (after showing some signs of splitting in Dec) and becoming record strength sealed our fate with the crazy ++++AO and +NAO. In terms of sensible weather it was like 01-02 and 97-98 blended together.
  6. Brian5671
    January was a coast to coast torch....
  7. Brian5671
    Looks like the big warmth is over for awhile-colder Thurs-Mon-we'll see what happens after that
  8. Brian5671
    embrace the torch, it's the only torch ya got.
  9. Brian5671
    Like a broken record it skips back to 4/5/6. However I think 5 is not as warm come March
  10. Brian5671
    another day of overperforming wamth, up to 57 here. Sun angle rapidly increasing, so it adds to the warm feel
  11. Brian5671
    1989-90 had a very warm Jan/Feb/March-I remember lawns being cut in late March that year....this could be another spring like that one
  12. Brian5671
    I'd think the EPS torch has a better chance than any prolonged wintry stretch given the persistence of the poor pattern the last 2 months
  13. Brian5671
    crazy-the only thing I am seeing here is the ladybugs
  14. Brian5671
    might as well be April down here-close to 60 today and no measureable snow in over a month
  15. Brian5671
    reminds of 01-02 and 11-12, we've moved into a dry torch regime-no end in sight really. Time to wrap it up, let's go torch!
  16. Brian5671
    yep, has the feel of some famous clunkers...let's just torch 2002, 2012 style....
  17. Brian5671
    was down to 22 here and 18 the night before-at least that will keep trees dormant and bugs at bay. Has a feel of Feb 2002 and Feb 2012-days of blue skies and well above normal temps-hopefully the cloudy damp pattern is behind us. That's when you tend to see all the red flag warnings-lots of dry brush, winds and very low humidity.
  18. Brian5671
    Some people never learn....
  19. Brian5671
    really? IP ban?
  20. Brian5671
    actually after the models bailed on the late January pattern change, they just showed cutters and torches from that point on--yep it was so bad we could not even get the fantasy pattern change to show up...
  21. Brian5671
    yep it came at the end of a relatively snowless winter-the day it started it was in the mid 50's in NYC....
  22. Brian5671
    11 inches here which seems high given how bad it's been. 2 events in December for a few inches, the icestorm and then the 01-02, 11-12 style January 20th special with 4 inches...since that date a snow squall that melted on contact has been it....just pathetic. Lowest temp is something like 15 as well.
  23. Brian5671
    my days of knocking back 6 of anything are over....
  24. Brian5671
    Relax. Better odds of an inch of snow this winter....
  25. Brian5671
    Cat 5 into Long Island...calling it now. Also of note, some models develop a strong Nina later in the summer/fall-that would favor Atlantic activity.
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