Jump to content

Brian5671

NO ACCESS TO PR/OT
  • Posts

    39,665
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. the 2nd wave is coming in as a massive cutter on the GFS-it will vaporize the dusting from Monday
  2. What went wrong (so far) Strong Pac Jet into the West Coast SOI-mostly positive AO/NAO-mostly positive MJO-mostly in bad phases of 4/5/6 for the bulk of the winter
  3. Later sunsets, DST starts in a little over a month...let's go TORCH!!!!
  4. I think most are lamenting the death of a decent wintry period. Sure we could get a storm or two, but the big winter is dead and weeks of disappointment on individual threats has certainly taken its toll. One of the worst winters to date by far....
  5. welcome to the dark side-a few holdouts left, but most have jumped ship by now....
  6. the ultimate kick in the teeth-blocking develops 4/1 and lasts till Memorial day....
  7. at some point we'll get something, but it's getting late early. Looking at the real possibility now of an inch of snow for all of met winter...(dec-feb)
  8. no blocking, transfer would be sloppy at best-primary would stay stronger longer...not a good setup.
  9. you need an 13-14, 14-15 style massive EPO press to get that. I don't see that here-the EPO ridge is a bit far west verbatim.
  10. you generally need blocking to get a storm to transfer properly. That was the end problem with the 1/20 storm-the primary just ran up the coast about 50-100 miles inland...
  11. Persistence. Crappy seasonal pattern....I'd bet on a cutter any day. Also zero blocking....
  12. Twitter and the internet are the worst thing that could have happened with LR forecasting-too many click baits for "memorable" winters with I-95 getting big snows and too many 93-94, 95-96, 13-14 analogs tossed around-every year has these big expectations now....
  13. if we miss out on the "big pattern change" we could see a Met winter with an inch of snow for many reporting stations around here...
  14. I would tend to agree with that-if we could get a wave train or overrunning event we'd be good-a storm that deepens/amped will just cut over or west of us
  15. Yeah, agreed. And will a -PNA the ridge will be there. Need any storm to be weak-a deepener will cut N and W with no altantic blocking
  16. he's gone from a 60 day period of cold/snow that would "Strain energy resources" to a 30 day period. With no blocking, not sure how any cold is going to lock in. That's part of the reasons the 2 arctic blasts were in and out so fast....
  17. I'm talking about the run in a general sense. Not doing play by play on one storm and talking about rain/snow lines and who's getting what. Big difference.
  18. I'm happy to mail it in at this point...give me 50's and 60's the rest of the way
×
×
  • Create New...