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Everything posted by Brian5671
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February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
the 2nd wave is coming in as a massive cutter on the GFS-it will vaporize the dusting from Monday -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
What went wrong (so far) Strong Pac Jet into the West Coast SOI-mostly positive AO/NAO-mostly positive MJO-mostly in bad phases of 4/5/6 for the bulk of the winter -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Euro weeklies horrendous beyond belief this season.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Later sunsets, DST starts in a little over a month...let's go TORCH!!!! -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
At this point who cares....it's over for the most part. -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Late October/Early Nov Snow-the kiss of death -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
I think most are lamenting the death of a decent wintry period. Sure we could get a storm or two, but the big winter is dead and weeks of disappointment on individual threats has certainly taken its toll. One of the worst winters to date by far.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
welcome to the dark side-a few holdouts left, but most have jumped ship by now.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
the ultimate kick in the teeth-blocking develops 4/1 and lasts till Memorial day.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
at some point we'll get something, but it's getting late early. Looking at the real possibility now of an inch of snow for all of met winter...(dec-feb) -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Euro is a cutter as well....LOL-this winter makes 11-12 look snowy -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
no blocking, transfer would be sloppy at best-primary would stay stronger longer...not a good setup. -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
you need an 13-14, 14-15 style massive EPO press to get that. I don't see that here-the EPO ridge is a bit far west verbatim. -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
you generally need blocking to get a storm to transfer properly. That was the end problem with the 1/20 storm-the primary just ran up the coast about 50-100 miles inland... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Persistence. Crappy seasonal pattern....I'd bet on a cutter any day. Also zero blocking.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Twitter and the internet are the worst thing that could have happened with LR forecasting-too many click baits for "memorable" winters with I-95 getting big snows and too many 93-94, 95-96, 13-14 analogs tossed around-every year has these big expectations now.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
if we miss out on the "big pattern change" we could see a Met winter with an inch of snow for many reporting stations around here... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
TORCH! -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
I would tend to agree with that-if we could get a wave train or overrunning event we'd be good-a storm that deepens/amped will just cut over or west of us -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah, agreed. And will a -PNA the ridge will be there. Need any storm to be weak-a deepener will cut N and W with no altantic blocking -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
8 days away -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
66 here...feels great... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
he's gone from a 60 day period of cold/snow that would "Strain energy resources" to a 30 day period. With no blocking, not sure how any cold is going to lock in. That's part of the reasons the 2 arctic blasts were in and out so fast.... -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
I'm talking about the run in a general sense. Not doing play by play on one storm and talking about rain/snow lines and who's getting what. Big difference. -
February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
I'm happy to mail it in at this point...give me 50's and 60's the rest of the way