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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Weenies on a forum are different than mets. I didn't see many mets (even JB) barking about a great pattern.
  2. Who said that? Never looked all that great with the lack of any arctic air....
  3. that statement is one of the 7 stages of denial when the threat begins to fall apart
  4. that was a classic weenie statement there! LOL 3 weenies for you
  5. what a horrid model-there's nothing to keep it SE like a big high or extreme blocking
  6. Give me one or two of these tracks later in winter and we'll all be happy....
  7. a foot for Worcester and inland SNE east of I-91. Not much for Boston or other coastal spots. Sharp cut off of QPF N and W areas....
  8. DT has a check list on his site for HECS/MECS type storms-this is one them-want the ridge axis over Idaho or somewhere like that. 50-50 low, banana high, etc
  9. Let's get this track later in Dec and early Jan when the airmasses are better!
  10. precip field much further west on the 3K NAM. Regular NAM only has about .50 QPF for the NYC area when as the 3K is triple that amount.
  11. Yeah the lack of a cold high ahead of time is the killer here.
  12. 18z GFS with its usual suppressed solution at this range....
  13. I'd agree. Classic case of later and later development as someone above noted...
  14. Euro has been slowly moving the precip max east last 3 runs. NE PA and Catskills get close to nothing now where the big rains and snows are now over New England.
  15. Thats why OP models are a waste of time beyond day 5 or 6
  16. GFS and CMC show a suppressed solution with almost no precip north and west of NYC. With no cold high to the north, I'd doubt such solutions
  17. it's a wind driven rainstorm for 98% of the board on a weekend day no less, why would anyone get excited over that?
  18. Euro is wet with up to 5 inches of rain in areas
  19. Coldest day here on Upton's forecast is next Monday with a high of 43-rest of the days are warmer. Seasonable to slightly above
  20. Good show here-had their been leaves on the trees we'd have a fair amount of issues-also the 11/16 storm took down some of the weak/dead wood.
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