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Everything posted by Brian5671
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
cutter looks weak on the CMC and GFS -
yeah it's not in its useful range yet (48 hrs or less) NE forum note NAM also has a NW bias in the long range
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this is nothing like the last storm...
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Mostly out of this subforum except C NJ
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the phase is gone, the arctic air is on the way out-this is trending towards a dud presently. Still early but not a great trend the last 24 hrs
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very disjointed with the precip field....meh verbatim.
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yeah won't really have a good idea until 12z tomorrow at the earliest. Too many live and die by every model run-there's people analyzing the 84 hr NAM...
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
coating of snow here this am -
agreed. I weigh heavily on Euro at this stage of the game even if the Euro is not what it used to be.
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GFS right where you want it 72-84 hrs out-south and a miss for many....
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always seems to be the case and then there ends up a monster snow band on the NW fringe
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another day another solution-still 3-4 days away so can't really lock anything in right now....
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yeah-you'd want a stall east of LI or somewhere there vs a stall near ACY or the Delmarva
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Not really-it's mostly a Monday event
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Models have been nothing short of horrific-especially in the long range (where they were never that good anyway) The December storm 2-3 days out showed the areas getting 20-30 inches close to nothing....
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it's a weird forecast. If it were me I would say there's a chance of a storm-but to say rain or snow showers? LOL Why get that specific 5 days out?
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It's stuff like this that makes me glad I haven't watched a local TV weather cast in 15 yrs
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it's been bad. Even yesterday's 1 incher was exciting here. Only the 3rd time it's snowed all winter.
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No sun today-if it was even partly sunny it would have been vaporized by noon!
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Brian5671 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Last year was the MJO of 4-5-6, this year it's all 7 -
OBs and nowcast later Tuesday morning - Noon Wednesday 1/26-27
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
1 inch here total
