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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    some gusts over 50 here for sure with some squalls
  2. Brian5671
    That feeder band jumped over most of us-far eastern LI may get into it....
  3. Brian5671
    wind products on these models are almost always over done-reduce by 25 to even 50%
  4. Brian5671
    impressive winds with last night's storm-gusts to 50 with it...was like a glorified warm front moving through
  5. Brian5671
    winds ramping up here. Not much rain so far-a shower around 5am and the thunderstorm last evening
  6. Brian5671
    crazy winds here-not alot of rain
  7. Brian5671
    interestingly the 3K nam was one of the few models to show a miss to Florida's east coast.
  8. Brian5671
    I see your point but every model has that same narrow band of heavy rain....
  9. Brian5671
    Fay was like that east of the city-one firehose band and that was it....
  10. Brian5671
    classic east of track situation like we saw with Fay 3K NAM is even further west with the 2 inch rain line over the Delaware River and west
  11. Brian5671
    quick hitter on the nam-precip is done by 7-8pm tomorrow eve
  12. Brian5671
    Even cutting by 25-50% is still impressive.
  13. Brian5671
    Euro winds are rough city on east-overdone but wow
  14. Brian5671
    Dry city and east-wet N and W
  15. Brian5671
    That is certainly true. We'll see tomorrow right?
  16. Brian5671
    Moving awfully fast to dump that much rain IMO
  17. Brian5671
    yes, but it's a quick hitter. some of the more damaging storms have 30-40 mph winds for hours before the main show arrives-I agree with him-fast moving event with a couple inches of rain on relatively dry ground and a few hours of wind.
  18. Brian5671
    not as much rain-2-3 inches for most of the subforum
  19. Brian5671
    heavy rains for sure-maybe some gusty winds, but nothing crazy. The flooding threat is the big concern for places that get storms tomorrow, the possible PRE and then west of the storm track for the main show...
  20. Brian5671
    I doubt it's a hurricane on the next update....
  21. Brian5671
    Looks intense! LOL
  22. Brian5671
    Friction with the land too coming in at that angle. Michael missed entirely...wonder if the 3K nam is onto that....
  23. Brian5671
    Once it became clear this would not intensify, that took away the poleward option some talked about had that happened. The weaker storm will just cruise NW and into FL. edit-however the 3K nam has a stronger storm further east....
  24. Brian5671
    NAM landfalls a weak storm in SE Florida tomorrow overnight
  25. Brian5671
    that and the shear are likely why this won't develop much more (at least according to today's models)
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